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February 2nd - With Kevin Warshs nomination as Federal Reserve Chairman, market focus has abruptly shifted from short-term interest rates to the Feds $6.6 trillion balance sheet and its fundamental role in the market. Zach Griffiths, Head of Investment Grade Bonds and Macro Strategy at CreditSights, noted, "He has consistently been a vocal critic of the Feds balance sheet expansion." Warsh hopes to fundamentally reverse the trend of asset expansion and push for other reforms. However, this move will face complex challenges, directly impacting not only long-term interest rates but also the core markets upon which large global financial institutions rely for daily interbank lending. If policymakers agree to shrink the balance sheet, the transmission effect in the market could lead to a conflict between the Feds and the governments goals of reducing long-term borrowing costs. This could force the Treasury or other US agencies to become more deeply involved in market management, which will face even greater challenges given the continued rise in total borrowing demand and the already over $30 trillion national debt. PGIM points out that if Warshs predictions are true, then the pressure to regulate will shift to the Treasury.February 2nd - On February 1st local time, Mexican President Sinbaum announced plans to send humanitarian aid to Cuba, including food and other basic necessities, while simultaneously seeking to resume oil shipments to Cuba "through all diplomatic channels" despite US restrictions. On the evening of January 31st, US President Trump publicly stated that he had asked Sinbaum to halt oil shipments to Cuba. On the same day, Mexican Foreign Minister De la Fuente responded that Mexico would not suspend humanitarian aid to Cuba.February 2nd - On February 1st local time, US President Trump, answering reporters questions about Iran at Mar-a-Lago, stated his hope that "a deal can be reached." Responding to Iranian Supreme Leader Khameneis warning that a US strike would trigger a regional war, Trump said that if a deal cannot be reached, "then well see if he (Khamenei) is right." Trump emphasized to reporters that the US has deployed "the worlds largest and most powerful ships" in the region. Earlier that day, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated that Iran "remains confident" of reaching an agreement with the US on the nuclear issue.Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.

Commodity Investing: How to Get Started

Larissa Barlow

Mar 25, 2022 17:36

What Is the Definition of a Commodity? 

Commodity is a term that refers to a basic good used in trade that is interchangeable with other similar items. Commodities are frequently utilized as raw materials in the manufacture of other items or services. While the quality of a particular commodity may vary somewhat amongst producers, it is generally uniform. Commodities must also fulfill set minimum requirements, referred to as a base grade, before they may be traded on an exchange.


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Commodities: An Introduction

The basic premise is that there is minimal distinction between a commodity produced by one producer and a commodity produced by another. Regardless of the manufacturer, a barrel of oil is essentially the same commodity. In comparison, when it comes to electronics, the quality and functionality of a particular product might vary significantly depending on the manufacturer.

 

Commodities include wheat, gold, meat, oil, and natural gas. The term has been broadened in recent years to cover financial instruments such as foreign currencies and indices. Technological advancements have also resulted in the introduction of new commodities into the marketplace. For instance, minutes and bandwidth on a cell phone.

Commodity Buyers: There are Several Types

There are two distinct categories of commodity buyers: those that engage in transactions with producers and those who behave as speculators.

Buyers and Manufacturers

Commodities are often sold and purchased via futures contracts on exchanges that regulate the quantity and minimum quality of the commodity being traded. For instance, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) specifies that each wheat contract is for 5,000 bushels and specifies the grades of wheat that may be utilized to fulfill the contract.

 

Commodity futures traders fall into two categories. The first category includes commodity buyers and producers who utilize commodity futures contracts for the hedging reasons for which they were designed. When the futures contract expires, these traders produce or receive delivery of the underlying commodity.

 

For instance, a wheat farmer who plants a crop can protect himself from losing money if the price of wheat declines before the crop is harvested. When the crop is sown, the farmer can sell wheat futures contracts, ensuring a set price for the wheat at harvest.

Speculators in Commodities

The speculator is the second sort of commodities trader. These are traders that participate in the commodities markets solely to benefit from the market's erratic price changes. When the futures contract expires, these traders have no intention of producing or taking delivery of the underlying commodity.

 

Numerous futures markets are extremely liquid and exhibit a high degree of daily range and volatility, which makes them quite attractive for intraday traders. Many index futures are utilized to hedge risk by brokerages and portfolio managers. Additionally, because commodities do not normally trade in lockstep with the equities and bond markets, some commodities may be utilized to diversify an investment portfolio successfully. 

How Are Commodities and Derivatives Related?

The current commodities market is primarily reliant on derivative instruments such as futures and forward contracts. Without the need to exchange real commodities, buyers and sellers may deal simply and in big numbers. Many buyers and sellers of commodity derivatives do so in order to bet on the underlying commodities' price fluctuations for risk hedging and inflation protection objectives.