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On January 1st, JPMorgan Chase stated that the US labor market has cooled after a year of economic and financial market turmoil, and is expected to show a slowdown at the start of 2026 followed by a gradual improvement in the second half. A forecast report released earlier this month by the bank indicated that the weakening momentum in job growth in 2025 can be attributed to business uncertainty caused by tariffs and trade policies. Economist Michael Ferroli stated, "Therefore, businesses continue to face difficulties in both long-term and short-term planning, with both layoff and hiring rates remaining low. When businesses lack confidence in the situation over the next six months, they tend to be cautious about large-scale increases or decreases in staff." Furthermore, the Trump administrations immigration controls and deportations have been more stringent than expected. The reduced labor supply, coupled with a relatively stable labor force participation rate, means that the monthly job creation needed to maintain a stable unemployment rate may plummet from 50,000 to just 15,000. Although the rate of job growth is slowing, the unemployment rate is expected to continue to rise gradually.U.S. Special Envoy Witkov: Focus on how to advance discussions on ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including strengthening security guarantees and developing a de-escalation mechanism.According to sources and shipping data, Venezuela’s remaining fuel stocks are nearing capacity limits as exports have almost come to a standstill.EIA Natural Gas Report: For the week ending December 26, total U.S. natural gas inventories were 3.375 trillion cubic feet, down 38 billion cubic feet from the previous week and down 55 billion cubic feet from the same period last year, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%, while 58 billion cubic feet higher than the 5-year average, an increase of 1.7%.The U.S. EIA natural gas storage data for the week ending December 26 will be released in ten minutes.

Commodity Investing: How to Get Started

Larissa Barlow

Mar 25, 2022 17:36

What Is the Definition of a Commodity? 

Commodity is a term that refers to a basic good used in trade that is interchangeable with other similar items. Commodities are frequently utilized as raw materials in the manufacture of other items or services. While the quality of a particular commodity may vary somewhat amongst producers, it is generally uniform. Commodities must also fulfill set minimum requirements, referred to as a base grade, before they may be traded on an exchange.


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Commodities: An Introduction

The basic premise is that there is minimal distinction between a commodity produced by one producer and a commodity produced by another. Regardless of the manufacturer, a barrel of oil is essentially the same commodity. In comparison, when it comes to electronics, the quality and functionality of a particular product might vary significantly depending on the manufacturer.

 

Commodities include wheat, gold, meat, oil, and natural gas. The term has been broadened in recent years to cover financial instruments such as foreign currencies and indices. Technological advancements have also resulted in the introduction of new commodities into the marketplace. For instance, minutes and bandwidth on a cell phone.

Commodity Buyers: There are Several Types

There are two distinct categories of commodity buyers: those that engage in transactions with producers and those who behave as speculators.

Buyers and Manufacturers

Commodities are often sold and purchased via futures contracts on exchanges that regulate the quantity and minimum quality of the commodity being traded. For instance, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) specifies that each wheat contract is for 5,000 bushels and specifies the grades of wheat that may be utilized to fulfill the contract.

 

Commodity futures traders fall into two categories. The first category includes commodity buyers and producers who utilize commodity futures contracts for the hedging reasons for which they were designed. When the futures contract expires, these traders produce or receive delivery of the underlying commodity.

 

For instance, a wheat farmer who plants a crop can protect himself from losing money if the price of wheat declines before the crop is harvested. When the crop is sown, the farmer can sell wheat futures contracts, ensuring a set price for the wheat at harvest.

Speculators in Commodities

The speculator is the second sort of commodities trader. These are traders that participate in the commodities markets solely to benefit from the market's erratic price changes. When the futures contract expires, these traders have no intention of producing or taking delivery of the underlying commodity.

 

Numerous futures markets are extremely liquid and exhibit a high degree of daily range and volatility, which makes them quite attractive for intraday traders. Many index futures are utilized to hedge risk by brokerages and portfolio managers. Additionally, because commodities do not normally trade in lockstep with the equities and bond markets, some commodities may be utilized to diversify an investment portfolio successfully. 

How Are Commodities and Derivatives Related?

The current commodities market is primarily reliant on derivative instruments such as futures and forward contracts. Without the need to exchange real commodities, buyers and sellers may deal simply and in big numbers. Many buyers and sellers of commodity derivatives do so in order to bet on the underlying commodities' price fluctuations for risk hedging and inflation protection objectives.