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Real-time News
March 11 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures fell for the second consecutive trading day on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract closing down 0.3%, mainly due to a sharp decline in international crude oil futures. Trumps prediction that the war with Iran might end soon lowered market expectations for prolonged supply disruptions, causing crude oil prices to plummet by more than 13% on Tuesday. The previous trading day had seen prices surge to their highest level since 2022. Reports indicated that a convoy of at least 25 supertankers was diverting to the Red Sea due to shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. This news also negatively impacted the crude oil market. The USDAs supply and demand report showed that U.S. corn ending stocks for 2025/26 remained unchanged at 2.127 billion bushels, lower than the market expectation of 2.155 billion bushels. Brazils corn production forecast was revised upward by 1 million tons to 132 million tons, while Argentinas production forecast was revised downward by 1 million tons to 52 million tons.On March 11th, according to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed lower on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract down 0.7%, mainly due to a sharp drop in international crude oil futures. International crude oil futures plummeted by over 11% on Tuesday as US President Trumps statement that the war between the US and Iran would end quickly eased concerns about long-term global supply disruptions, putting downward pressure on the Chicago soybean oil market. The USDAs supply and demand report showed that soybean oil production was slightly revised down to 29.92 billion pounds, despite an increase in crush volume forecasts, due to a lower soybean oil extraction rate. Domestic soybean oil consumption in the US was slightly revised down, with a decrease in soybean oil usage in the biofuel industry, but this was largely offset by an increase in usage in the food, feed, and industrial (FSI) sector. The expected soybean oil usage in the biofuel industry was lowered by 800 million pounds to 14 billion pounds, while ending stocks were slightly revised up to 1.782 billion pounds. The 2025/26 US soybean oil price forecast was raised by 2 cents to 55 cents per pound.On March 11th, according to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures closed higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract rising 0.6%. Despite a sharp drop in international crude oil futures, Chicago soybean futures still closed higher. The U.S. Department of Agriculture released its highly anticipated monthly supply and demand report in the morning, but the market reaction was muted due to minimal adjustments in the data. The 2025/26 U.S. soybean ending stocks forecast remained unchanged at 350 million bushels, higher than analysts forecast of 343 million bushels. Brazilian soybean production was estimated at 180 million tons, while Argentinas production forecast was lowered to 48 million tons from 48.5 million tons last month. Global soybean ending stocks for 2025/26 are projected at 125.31 million tons, a decrease of 200,000 tons from February. Traders quickly refocused their attention on the impact of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, U.S. spring planting intentions, and upcoming biofuel policies.Japans corporate goods price index fell 0.1% month-on-month in February, in line with expectations and down from 0.20% in the previous month.Japans corporate goods price index rose 2% year-on-year in February, below the expected 2.1% and the previous reading of 2.30%.

Yesterday's gains in WTI Oil are reversed

Alina Haynes

Aug 31, 2022 11:25

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WTI oil prices decline as Iraqi demonstrations pose little threat to oil production. Gold settles below $1730 as a stronger currency and rising Treasury yields exert downward pressure on precious metals. Copper tests support around $3.55 as market participants continue to focus on recession worries.

 

As yesterday's protests in Iraq failed to cause instability in the country, WTI oil prices returned to the $93 level. There is no threat to oil output, therefore following yesterday's gain, traders opted to take profits.

 

In the meantime, commodity markets experienced widespread pressure as the U.S. dollar approached its annual highs. Concerns over the robustness of economic growth were sparked by a stronger currency and rising Treasury yields, which was unfavorable for oil markets.

 

As the decline in European markets continues, natural gas prices are attempting to settle below the $9.00 mark. The aforementioned recession concerns act as a further adverse impetus for the U.S. natural gas markets.

 

Gazprom recently alerted Engie of its intention to decrease natural gas delivery due to a contractual dispute. Interestingly, this action did not support European natural gas prices further. Traders currently expect that Europe will attain the required natural gas storage levels prior to winter, which acts as a bearish catalyst.

 

In the United States, traders will continue to monitor the natural gas markets in Europe. In addition, they will remain focused on the outlook for economic growth. If markets remain concerned about the possibility of a recession, natural gas prices will likely fall below $9.00.

 

Strong dollar and rising Treasury yields exerted further pressure on gold prices, which fell below the $1730 support level. If gold settles below this level, it will move toward the $1715 level, the next support. A successful challenge of the support level at $1715 will drive gold towards the support level at $1700. If gold falls below $1700, it will seek support near the $1680 lows for the year.

 

A rise above $1730 will take gold towards the $1755 resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average. If gold settles back above the 20-day exponential moving average, it will move toward the 50-day moving average at $1,770.

 

Silver, which is vulnerable to economic forecasts, is attempting to settle below $18.50 per ounce. The gold/silver ratio has reached annual highs at 94, and the pressure on silver markets continues to be intense. Platinum fell toward the $830 mark, while palladium fell to the $2075 mark.

 

Copper continues to decline amid a widespread commodity market sell-off. Copper is currently attempting to fall below the $3.55 support level. Copper will get extra negative momentum if this attempt is successful. RSI remains in the moderate region, therefore there is possibility to gain extra momentum if the appropriate catalysts materialize.