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June 28 - The United States launched a military strike against Iran on June 27 local time.June 28 - Neuberger portfolio manager Joseph Purtell said, "In the short term, the dollar is likely to remain strong due to rising US real interest rates." He believes the dollar is poised to break out of its six- to nine-month range, but added that in the long term, the dollar may weaken given structural issues such as the fiscal sustainability of the US government.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a magnitude 6 earthquake off the east coast of Honshu, Japan.On June 28th, Gavekal Research stated in a report: "In 2025, the market is widely concerned that Trump will weaken the independence of US monetary policy, nominate a political puppet as Federal Reserve Chairman, force the Fed to cut interest rates, and cause inflation to remain persistently above the Feds 2% target." "Developments over the past seven months have made this scenario unlikely." These developments include the appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed and the re-election of 11 of the 12 regional Fed presidents. At Warshs first meeting earlier this month, the Fed emphasized its commitment to price stability, surprising some market participants who had expected a more dovish stance from the new chairman.On June 28, US President Donald Trump nominated Lance Schroyer to be the new Director of US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Trump stated that Schroyer, a former Oklahoma State Trooper and US Marine, has extensive experience working with ICE and is adept at combating illegal immigration and deporting undocumented immigrants. Trump also urged the Senate to confirm Schroyers nomination as soon as possible.

WTI bulls near $92.00 resistance

Alina Haynes

Aug 19, 2022 11:53

101.png 

 

Black gold posted its highest daily gains in a month the day before, bouncing off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line of December 2021 to March 2022 upside, approximately $86.85 at press time.

 

The price stays below a convergence of the 21-DMA and a downward sloping resistance line from mid-June, $92.00. Stable RSI and sluggish MACD signals also show lack of rising momentum.

 

Before celebrating, crude oil purchasers should wait for a daily close above $92.00. After that, a run up to July's swing high above $101.00 is possible.

 

The important Fibonacci retracement level at $86.85 precedes the recent multi-month bottom around $85.40 to limit short-term WTI downside.

 

If energy bears keep reins below $85.40, the January 2022 high near $81.70 may act as an intermediate halt before sending prices to $80.00.