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On September 20, the Peoples Bank of China announced that it would keep the one-year and five-year loan prime rates (LPR) unchanged at 3% and 3.5%, respectively.On September 20, the U.S. embassies in Bahrain, Oman, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, and Iraq issued security alerts stating that given the tense situation in the Middle East, the current security environment remains complex, with unforeseen escalation risks. U.S. citizens currently in the Middle East should remain highly vigilant and be aware of potential flight cancellations, airspace closures, and travel disruptions. U.S. citizens outside the Middle East should seriously reconsider their travel plans to or transit through the region. The security alerts all mention the recent conflict between the Houthi rebels in Yemen and Saudi Arabia, stating that this military conflict has the potential to escalate rapidly, and U.S. citizens traveling to or from the region should closely monitor the latest information regarding airport and airline operations.On September 20th, it was reported that on the 18th, Spanish government sources estimated that, based on information provided by national security forces deployed in Ceuta, approximately 10,000 migrants remain stranded in Ceuta. Some are housed in government-established facilities, while others are displaced and forced to live in makeshift tents in mountainous areas and beaches. The Ceuta local government estimates that approximately 13,000 migrants remain in the area. In late July, a large influx of migrants from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta triggered Spains worst border migration crisis in recent years.On September 20th, the Gaza Strip health department and Shifa Hospital stated that on September 19th, local time, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted airstrikes on areas surrounding Gaza City and the Jabaliya refugee camp in northern Gaza, resulting in the deaths of two Palestinians. As of now, the IDF has not responded to this report.On September 20th, it was reported that on the evening of September 19th local time, Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council, stated that Iran had presented the US government with seven conditions necessary to initiate any negotiations. Irans message was clear: "If the US wishes to extricate itself from the predicament it created and avoid becoming increasingly entangled, it has no other option but to accept Irans conditions." In an interview that day, Rezaei confirmed that Qatar, as a mediator, had conveyed Irans negotiating conditions to the US and was awaiting a response from US President Trump. Rezaei said that Irans proposed negotiating conditions included the US ending all hostilities against Iran, unfreezing frozen Iranian assets, and ending the naval blockade.

WTI anticipates a decline to reach $80 per barrel as global growth predictions diminish

Alina Haynes

Sep 23, 2022 11:58

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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) are experiencing selling pressure while attempting a positive reversal. Oil prices are hanging at $83, and it is anticipated that they will continue to decline to roughly $80. In a larger sense, the black gold has had a weak performance over the past three weeks after giving up the psychological support of $90.00.

 

Numerous global resisting triggers have caused a severe decline in oil prices. As a result of the hawkish posture of western central banks on their interest rates, the objective of achieving price stability is at the expense of the breadth of economic activity. There is a fall in economic activity because corporations are not investing because cheap money is unavailable. In addition, the delay of expansion plans has reduced demand projections. Eventually, there is a substantial decline in oil demand.

 

The demand for oil in the huge economy of the United States is declining sharply. In the previous four weeks, the daily demand for gasoline in the United States has dropped by 8.5 million barrels. This is the result of intensifying pricing pressures, which have led households to purchase only the necessities.

 

In the meantime, an unaltered policy pronouncement from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) dampened oil price sentiment. As China's total demand is not increasing and pricing pressures are falling, a rate drop was anticipated. However, the oil bulls were undercut by the PBOC's neutral position.

 

On the supply side, OPEC+ has reduced output by 3.58 million barrels per day, corresponding to 3.5% of world demand. Despite a drop in global production, oil stockpiles are increasing, which bolsters the indicators of an impending recession.