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On May 2, Nick Timiraos, the "Feds mouthpiece," said that the April jobs report made a rate cut in June less likely (although June is still a long way off) because there will only be one more jobs report before then. For now, this means that the Fed does not have to say anything about the June meeting next week.Important news 1. April non-farm payrolls data was higher than expected, the unemployment rate remained unchanged, and the total non-farm payrolls in February and March were revised down by 58,000. 2. After the non-farm payrolls, Trump issued a statement calling for a rate cut, and the article again included "DJT". 3. According to Japans Kyodo News, the United States is unwilling to grant Japan auto and steel tariff exemptions and a 10% reciprocal tariff exemption. Individual stock news 1. According to The Information: Nvidia (NVDA.O) adjusted its AI chips after the US export regulations and restarted customized chip research and development. 2. Apple (AAPL.O) second-quarter revenue exceeded Wall Street expectations, but service revenue was disappointing. CEO Cook estimated that tariffs will increase costs by $900 million. 3. Amazon (AMZN.O) first-quarter revenue and profit both exceeded market expectations, but the operating profit guidance for the second quarter was lower than market expectations. 4. Chevron (CVX.N) first-quarter EPS fell 36% to $3.5 billion. 5. Airbnb (ABNB.O) forecast second-quarter revenue below expectations and pointed out that US travel demand weakened. 6. ExxonMobil (XOM.N)s adjusted earnings per share in the first quarter were in line with estimates. 7. Airbnbs (ABNB.O) quarterly revenue outlook was lower than expected for the second time in a row. 8. Shells (SHEL.N) first-quarter profit exceeded expectations.On May 2, analyst Cameron Crise said that the combination of data in the non-agricultural report gave traders reason to lower their expectations for the Feds easing. That is, since they still expect the Fed to cut interest rates more than twice this year, if "hard data" such as non-agricultural continues to challenge the economic weakness signals recently sent by "soft data", then there is room for further reduction in bets on the Feds interest rate cuts.Yemens Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for a second missile launch towards Israel.On May 2, Gregory Faranello, head of U.S. interest rate trading and strategy at AmeriVet Securities, said that due to the impact of tariffs and tax policies, there will be obvious problems in the future job market. As for the future policy path of the Federal Reserve, given that employment remains a key driver of economic growth, the Federal Reserve will still "stand by and watch."

WTI Price Analysis: Oil traders test multi-day-old resistance at $78.30

Alina Haynes

Mar 03, 2023 13:49

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Buyers of WTI crude oil take a break near a two-week high, registering slight losses close to the $78.00 threshold on Friday morning. In doing so, the price of black gold retreats from a four-month-long resistance line and snaps a three-day winning streak.

 

Noting the bullish MACD signals and the firmer RSI (14), which are not overbought, as well as the quote's successful trading above the one-week-long ascending support line, keeps WTI bulls optimistic about overcoming the adjacent resistance line, close to $78.30 at the latest.

 

Nonetheless, the 100-DMA barrier encircling $79.75 and the $80.00 round number functions as an additional filter to the north.

 

In the event that the price of oil remains firmer than $80.00, the January 2023 and December 2022 peaks, which are located near $82.55 and $83.30, respectively, could attract commodity investors.

 

Thereafter, a rapid decline to the previous weekly low of $73.85 cannot be ruled out. However, a clear downside break of $73.85 will emphasize the bottom of February and the December 2022 lows, near $72.50 and $70.25, as the key support to monitor during the commodity's further decline.