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On May 10, UN Secretary-General António Guterres spokesperson, Stéphane Dujarric, issued a statement on May 9, welcoming the announcement by Russia and Ukraine of a three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11 and plans for a large-scale prisoner exchange. The statement said the Secretary-General reiterated his call for an immediate, comprehensive, unconditional, and lasting ceasefire as a first step toward achieving a just, sustainable, and comprehensive peace, consistent with the UN Charter, international law, and relevant UN resolutions. The statement added that Guterres appreciated the efforts made by the United States to facilitate the agreement and fully supported its implementation.On May 9th, Hong Kong Stock Exchange data showed that the total market capitalization of the securities market reached HK$48 trillion at the end of April 2026, a year-on-year increase of 24%. The average daily turnover in April 2026 was HK$253.5 billion. The average daily turnover for the first four months of 2026 was HK$271.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%. The average daily turnover of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the first four months of 2026 was HK$39.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%. There were 49 new listed companies in the first four months of 2026, a 158% increase compared to 19 in the same period last year. The total funds raised through initial public offerings (IPOs) in the first four months of 2026 amounted to HK$151.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 604%.On May 9th, the National Healthcare Security Administration released the "Work Plan for Adjusting the National Basic Medical Insurance, Maternity Insurance and Work Injury Insurance Drug Catalog and the Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug Catalog in 2026 (Draft for Public Comment)" for public comment.On May 9th, Japans Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) announced on social media that Japan may send government officials to Russia as early as the end of May to maintain communication channels and provide support to its companies still operating in Russia. METI stated that it is necessary to protect the assets of Japanese companies remaining in Russia, and to support these efforts, the Japanese government has been maintaining government-level communication with Russia and has made relevant requests.May 9th - As the war with Iran disrupts oil transport in the Persian Gulf, global oil inventories are being depleted at a record rate, eroding the buffers originally intended to withstand supply shocks. The rapid shrinking of inventories means the risk of more extreme price spikes and supply shortages is looming. With the Strait of Hormuz nearing closure for two months, governments and industries have fewer options to cope with a supply loss of over 1 billion barrels. The sharp depletion of inventories also means that even after the conflict ends, the market will remain vulnerable to future supply disruptions for a longer period. Morgan Stanley estimates that global oil inventories fell by an average of about 4.8 million barrels per day between March 1st and April 25th, far exceeding previous peaks in quarterly inventory declines compiled by the International Energy Agency. Crude oil accounted for nearly 60% of the decline, with the remainder being refined products. Crucially, the oil system also needs to set a minimum inventory level. Natasha Kaneva, global head of commodities research at JPMorgan Chase, stated that this means that the untouchable safety stock will be reached before inventories truly bottom out.

USD/CHF Jumps on a Weak Open Near 0.9310, Tracing the DXY's Recovery

Drake Hampton

Apr 11, 2022 10:46

  • USD/CHF has shrugged off the bearish opening and is aiming for last week's high of 0.9370.

  • The Fed's big interest rate hike is premised on a forecast of a higher US CPI print of 8.3 percent.

  • Mester of the Federal Reserve anticipates that inflation will remain elevated even next year.

 

The USD/CHF pair is surging higher on Monday following a slightly negative starting gap at approximately 0.9310. Typically, a stronger positive response by market players following a gap-down opening signal a bargain purchase for investors.

 

The pair is extending last week's optimism, as the Swiss unemployment rate remained constant at 2.2 percent, supporting the strong greenback against the Swiss franc.

 

The asset is tracking the US dollar index (DXY), which is predicted to continue printing huge swings as investors await Tuesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). This will have a substantial impact on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) probable monetary policy move in May.

 

The market consensus estimates annual US inflation at 8.3 percent, far higher than the prior number of 7.9. On the inflation front in the United States, Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) president Loretta Mester indicated on Sunday that inflation will continue high this year and next despite the Fed's gradual slowing of price hikes, according to Reuters. To keep inflation below the target of 2%, a reasonable healthy time is required, and the Fed is expected to maintain a robust hawkish position until then.

USD/CHF

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