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US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iran claims simultaneous strikes against four US military bases. 2. Irans Supreme Leader reiterates "will seek reparations from the enemy." 3. Iran claims most of the missiles launched so far were manufactured 10 years ago. 4. US-Israel attacks have damaged over 40,000 civilian facilities in Iran. 5. Iran arrests 13 people suspected of espionage and sabotage. 6. Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claims it will "hunt down" Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. 7. Iran claims to have launched a large-scale attack on Israeli security centers and police headquarters. 8. Irans Foreign Minister states the end of the war depends on two conditions: ensuring the war never resumes and paying reparations. 9. Irans Foreign Minister: Welcomes any regional initiatives that can justly end the war. Never made a ceasefire or negotiation request. 10. Iranian media: Irans Foreign Minister states that Iran is prepared to form an investigative committee with regional countries to investigate the targets of the attacks. Israel may be behind the attacks on civilian targets in Arab countries. ②United States 1. The US called on multiple countries to send warships to the Middle East, with South Korea, Japan, France, and other countries responding. 2. US media: The US government may announce a multinational joint escort mission in the Strait of Hormuz as early as this week. 3. US Central Command: The Iranian Foreign Minister claimed that the US is using one-way attack drones to attack Gulf countries and shifted the blame to Iran. This is a lie. 4. US Energy Secretary: "Clearly" we will have the support of other countries on the Strait of Hormuz issue. The conflict with Iran will end in the "next few weeks," after which oil supplies will recover and energy prices will fall. ③Israel 1. The Israeli military claimed to have struck an Iranian drone launch site. 2. Israeli media: Iranian missile debris hit the US consulate building in Israel. 3. The Israeli Prime Minister released a video confirming he is still "alive" and said he will continue action against Iran. 4. Israeli military spokesperson: Military action against Iran will continue for at least another three weeks. 5. Israeli Foreign Minister: Israel is not facing a shortage of missile interceptors. 6. Israeli military: Expanding the strike range on Iranian infrastructure in more areas of western and central Iran. 7. According to Israel Today: A senior Israeli official stated that the possibility of overthrowing the Iranian regime is lower than initially estimated. ④ Other 1. Switzerland refused to allow two US military aircraft to fly over its airspace. 2. Bahrains worlds top aluminum smelter initiated a production cut plan. 3. Iraq claims that Baghdad International Airport and its surrounding area were attacked by rockets, injuring four people. 4. The British Prime Minister spoke with the US President, mentioning the importance of reopening the Strait of Hormuz. 5. Iraqi Ministry of Oil: The Kurdish Ministry of Natural Resources currently refuses to resume oil exports. 6. The French Foreign Minister will discuss joint naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz with EU foreign ministers on Monday. 7. Iraqi Ministry of Oil: Ready to resume exports via the Ceyhan pipeline, with daily exports not exceeding 300,000 barrels. 8. Senior Kurdistan government official: Welcomes the use of pipelines for oil exports, but only if the dollar embargo on the region is lifted. Gaza Situation: 1. Gaza medical personnel: An airstrike targeting a police car in the Gaza Strip killed eight people. 2. Israel announced that the Rafah border crossing will reopen in both directions starting March 18. Other developments: 1. The Syrian transitional government has taken over the US military base in Rumailan. 2. Israeli Foreign Minister: Israel does not intend to hold direct talks with the Lebanese government in the coming days. 3. Lebanese Ministry of Health: Since March 2, Israeli attacks on Lebanon have resulted in 850 deaths. 4. According to Israels GLZ radio: Israeli Energy Minister Cohen stated that the government is considering canceling the gas agreement with Lebanon. On March 16, Madagascars interim head of state, Landrianirina, appointed Mamitiana Rajonarison as the new prime minister in the capital, Antananarivo, on the evening of March 15. Landrianirina expressed his hope that the new prime minister would quickly form a government, implement national reconstruction policies, and achieve tangible results. Rajonarison was a former officer in Madagascars National Gendarmerie and became the director of the Financial Intelligence Bureau in April 2021, an agency primarily responsible for combating money laundering and terrorist financing.On March 16, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba posted a message late on March 15 on his social media account, Telegram, reiterating that Iran will "demand reparations from its enemies" regardless of the circumstances. If the enemies refuse to pay, Iran will confiscate assets of equivalent value; if confiscation is not possible, Iran will destroy assets of equal value.March 16 - According to a report by Irans Fars News Agency on the evening of March 15, a spokesperson for the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that most of the missiles currently being launched by Iran were "produced 10 years ago," and many missiles produced by Iran after the "12-Day War" in June last year "have not yet been used," and many of Irans missile arsenals "remain untouched."U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: Prices today are still far below those during the Biden administration, when they were asking Iran for favors, haggling, and even bribing Iran to “perform better.”

US open: Caution ahead of FOMC minutes

Alice Wang

Jul 08, 2022 15:14

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US futures

Dow futures -0.2% at 30617

S&P futures -0.85% at 3822

Nasdaq futures -0.3% at 11731

In Europe

FTSE +1.7% at 7140

Dax +1.6% at 12597

Euro Stoxx +1.55% at 3418

Stocks are declining

As caution reigns in advance of the publication of the minutes from the June Federal Reserve meeting, US markets are indicating a somewhat worse opening.


As investors worry about the effect of central bank action on growth, fears of aggressive monetary policy tightening have led markets down in recent weeks. The bond market's 10-year yield dropped below the 2-year yield, which is a classic recession indicator.


The minutes from the most recent Fed meeting will be released today, and they might provide more insight into the direction that short-term interest rates will go. The market will be watching for signs that the Fed will increase interest rates by 50 or 75 basis points in July. Watch out for any indications that the Fed would lower the rate of rises if symptoms of a declining inflation trend appear.

 

The FedWatch tool indicates that the markets are factoring in an 86 percent chance of a 75 basis point rate rise. Hawkish minutes might drive the stock market down, strengthen the dollar, and push gold back near $1722.


The ISM service PMI is forthcoming and is anticipated to decrease to 55.4 from 55.9 before to the minutes.


In business news, Apple stock will be in the limelight after Goldman Sachs lowered its price target and warned that, in the event of a longer recession, the stock might drop as low as $82. The share price would have dropped by 42% from present levels as a result.

What will the Nasdaq do next?

After regaining the 20 sna and resistance at 11700, the Nasdaq has once again encountered resistance at the multi-month declining trendline. At a neutral level, the RSI is not providing many hints. If the declining trendline is not retaken, the 20 sma may be challenged at 11600 before the June 30 bottom of 11300. Here, a break allows access to 11050, the 2022 low. However, a break above the declining trendline reveals the 50 sna at 12150 and resistance at 12225, the high from last week. A move higher than this results in a higher high.