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June 29th - According to reports, Apple is considering using a 1.4nm process in its flagship smartphone SoC as early as 2028, which means that the lifespan of flagship chips manufactured using a 2nm process may only be about two years.On June 29, Nomura Securities issued a report maintaining its "Buy" rating on Lenovo Group (00992.HK). Based on a 20x multiple of its 2027 fiscal year earnings per share forecast, the target price was significantly raised from HK$16 to HK$35, implying a 46% upside. In its previous report on Lenovo published in May, Nomura emphasized that the momentum of its general-purpose server business might far exceed expectations. Although Lenovos share price has risen by more than 100% since May, Nomura believes this outperformance may continue because it believes that: (1) the market has not yet fully reflected the potential of Lenovos server business; (2) Nomuras earnings forecast for fiscal year 2027/28 is now about 10% higher than the market consensus; and (3) Lenovo is currently in the process of revaluation, with its main peer Dell (DELL.N) trading at a 30x one-year forward P/E ratio, which Nomura believes creates room for Lenovos revaluation. The bank raised its 2027/28 fiscal year earnings forecast for Lenovo Group by 12%.The Hang Seng Tech Index continued its upward trend, rising by more than 3%.On June 29th, Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr stated that despite the renewed conflict in the Middle East over the weekend, the New Zealand market generally believes a peace agreement is highly likely. With oil prices falling to pre-war levels, demand appears poised for a rebound. He added that while the New Zealand economy has been hit, it has not completely collapsed. The oil crisis has slowed the pace of economic recovery, enough to damage demand, but it has not completely derailed economic activity. Kerr pointed out that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has strong reasons to maintain interest rates at its July policy meeting.On June 29th, the "Heterogeneous Computing Ark," a full-stack platform for the software ecosystem of domestic computing systems jointly developed by the Computer Network Information Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and other institutions, was launched online. This platform addresses pain points such as difficulties in software adaptation, code migration, and cumbersome scientific research operations under domestic computing power, providing an integrated solution for the construction of a scientific computing software ecosystem. The platforms release achieves seamless integration of algorithms, code, and applications, enabling domestic computing power to move from hardware leadership to mature hardware-software synergy, and helping my country build an independent, controllable, efficient, and easy-to-use domestic scientific computing ecosystem.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.