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On September 15th, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in August, the year-on-year decline in new residential property prices in first-tier cities was 0.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 2.3%, 1.9%, and 2.3% respectively, while Shanghai saw an increase of 3.0%. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in new residential property prices were 2.7% and 4.1% respectively, both narrowing by 0.1 percentage points. In August, the year-on-year decline in existing residential property prices in first-tier cities was 2.7%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 3.5%, 0.8%, 3.8%, and 2.7% respectively. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in existing residential property prices were 4.9% and 5.6% respectively, both narrowing by 0.2 percentage points.New Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August new residential housing prices -0.2% month-on-month (previous value -0.3%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.3%). 2. Shanghai: August new residential housing prices +0.4% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), +3.0% year-on-year (previous value +3.0%). 3. Guangzhou: August new residential housing prices +0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.1%), -1.9% year-on-year (previous value -2.2%). 4. Shenzhen: August new residential housing prices +0.2% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.9%). Second-hand Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August second-hand residential housing prices -0.1% month-on-month (previous value 0.0%), -3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%). 2. Shanghais existing home prices in August increased by 0.3% month-on-month (previous value +0.3%) and decreased by 0.8% year-on-year (previous value -2.0%). 3. Guangzhous existing home prices in August remained unchanged month-on-month (previous value +0.4%) and decreased by 3.8% year-on-year (previous value -4.7%). 4. Shenzhens existing home prices in August increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%) and decreased by 2.7% year-on-year (previous value -3.6%).National Bureau of Statistics: Beijings second-hand housing prices in August decreased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0%) and decreased by 3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.1% month-on-month in August (up 0.2% in the previous month) and fell 2.7% year-on-year (down 3.6% in the previous month).September 15th - The 2026 China Carbon Market Conference was held in Wuhan, Hubei Province this morning, and the "National Carbon Market Development Report (2026)" was released at the conference. Reporters learned that as of the end of August, the national carbon emission trading market had accumulated transactions exceeding 900 million tons, with a transaction value exceeding 60 billion yuan. The national carbon market has grown from nothing to a significant stage, playing a crucial role in promoting the achievement of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

The US Dollar Index is higher at 108.00 as strong Fed talk is supported by US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Jul 14, 2022 14:35

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) increased 0.15 percent to 108.20 during Thursday's Asian session, supporting the four-day high inflation report and reversing a two-day loss. An increasing sense of pessimism about Europe and concerns about a worldwide economic slump may also be to blame for the recent surge in the dollar index.

 

Despite being aware of the greatest US inflation numbers in forty years, recent Fed policymakers welcomed the market's hawkish predisposition. Mary Daly, head of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, recently said that a 75bp hike in July is most likely, but a 100bp increase is still possible, according to the New York Times. Prior to that, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, said, "The CPI data does not indicate a smaller rate hike in July than in June," in contrast to Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, who supported higher rates at the previous meeting.

 

Despite this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 9.1% year over year in June, as opposed to the 8.8% projected and 8.8% before. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, dropped from 6% to 5.9%, exceeding the 5.8% prediction of experts. It is noteworthy that the BOC announced a 100 bps rate increase, contrary to what the market had anticipated the day before.

 

White House (WH) Economic Adviser Brian Deese said CNBC, as reported by Reuters, that the CPI data shows that Congress has to approve legislation to increase semiconductor manufacture in the US. In contrast, US President Joe Biden claimed that the drop in the price of gasoline had rendered the CPI statistics "out of data."

 

While 10-year Treasury rates dropped four basis points (bps) to 2.93 percent at the close of the Wednesday North American session, Wall Street benchmarks still ended the day in the red. Additionally, US 2-year Treasury rates increased by 3.5 percent in a single day to reach 3.15 percent, which heightened recession fears and strengthened the inversion at the 10-year barrier. As a result, as of the time of publication, S&P 500 Futures had declined by 0.60 percent.

 

The US Producer Price Index for June and the monthly Jobless Claims numbers will soon grace the calendar and amuse DXY traders. However, there will be a strong emphasis on Fedspeak and risk factors like conversation about the recession.