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New York silver futures rose above $82 per ounce, up 6.64% on the day.1. Market Trends: Platinum and palladium futures rebounded sharply. The main platinum contract is currently up over 10%, and the main palladium contract is up over 7%. Geopolitical risks remain unresolved, coupled with positive statements from Federal Reserve officials, leading to a rebound in precious metals, with platinum and palladium following suit. 2. Peoples Bank of China: Chinas gold reserves at the end of January were 74.19 million ounces (approximately 2307.567 tons), an increase of 40,000 ounces (approximately 1.24 tons) month-on-month. At the end of December, they were 74.15 million ounces (approximately 2306.323 tons), marking the 15th consecutive month of increases. 3. Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that interest rate cuts of more than 100 basis points are needed this year, and he is looking forward to Warshs performance. The US House of Representatives passed a funding agreement negotiated by President Trump and Senate Democrats, potentially ending the partial US government shutdown. 4. Geopolitically, tensions in the Gulf region remain high. Negotiations between the US, Iran, and Oman failed to reach an effective consensus, and the possibility of future conflict between the two countries remains. 5. Nan Hua Futures View: In the medium to long term, the foundation for a platinum and palladium bull market remains intact. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will maintain its loose monetary policy stance in the first half of 2026. Central bank gold purchases, safe-haven demand, and increased investment demand will continue to push precious metal prices higher. 6. Guoxin Futures view: Against the backdrop of a global sell-off in risk assets and market risk aversion shifting towards cash rather than gold, the safe-haven premium in the precious metals sector has temporarily subsided. Looking ahead, the short-term trend of platinum and palladium will continue to passively follow the overall sentiment of the precious metals sector. 7. Xinhu Futures view: In the medium to long term, the platinum market has experienced physical shortages for several consecutive years, with limited mine capacity and insufficient capital expenditure. While demand is hampered by sales of traditional gasoline vehicles, we expect the structural gap to persist, driving prices steadily upward. Palladium supply will remain scarce in the medium term, with inventories below multi-year lows and weak buffering capacity. Low inventory + high supply concentration + potential investment inflows make palladium a highly volatile speculative product. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market data and is for reference only, not investment advice.)According to Interfax news agency, the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) stated that the assassination attempt on General Alexeyev was ordered by Ukraine with the involvement of Poland.Musk: NASA (contracts) only account for about 5% of SpaceXs revenue this year. The vast majority of SpaceXs revenue comes from the commercial Starlink system.February 9th - Spot gold and silver continued their upward trend on Monday, with gold rising slightly above $5,000, driven by a weaker dollar. Investors are focused on key employment and inflation data to be released this week. OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong stated, "This could be due to the short-term intraday correlation between the dollar and gold and silver prices." KCM chief analyst Tim Waterer noted, "Bargain buying also pushed gold prices back above $5,000." Investors anticipate at least two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026, with the first cut potentially occurring in June.

The AUD/USD has dropped from its monthly high at 0.6990 due to poor Australian PMIs and a rebound in the DXY

Alina Haynes

Jul 22, 2022 14:50

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After retesting the monthly high earlier in the day, the AUD/USD continued to slide in Friday's Asian trading. It drops back down to where it started the day, at 0.6916. Recent declines in the Aussie pair may be attributable to the poor prints of Australia's flash readings of S&P Global PMIs for July. The resurgence of the US dollar in the face of pessimistic attitude also affects the pair.

 

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for Australia dropped to 55.7 in July from 56.2 in June and the 56.4 forecast. Additionally, the S&P Global Services PMI dropped to 50.4 during the mentioned month, which was below the 55.0 consensus and the 52.6 readings seen previously. Moreover, the S&P Global Composite PMI has dropped from 52.6 in prior readings to 50.6 today.

 

Conversely, as risk aversion returns to the market, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is gaining bids and is on track to revisit its intraday high at 106.70, up 0.12% on the day. It's worth remembering that the DXY dropped the day before because it was pegged to US Treasury rates, and that the benchmark 10-year bond coupons had their worst daily loss since mid-June.

 

The yield drop might be the result of a number of factors, including the European Central Bank's (ECB) surprise rate hike of 50 basis points (bps) and the implementation of a new tool known as the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) to manage irrational market dynamics in the area.

 

Additionally, the Nord Stream 1 pipeline from Russia restarting its gas exports to Europe boosted market sentiment and aided AUD/USD purchasers the day before.

 

In light of this, Wall Street benchmarks ended the day stronger and the 10-year Treasury rates for the US Treasury had their greatest daily decline in five weeks. However, as of the time of publication, S&P 500 Futures are down 0.50 percent.

 

The ECB's decision to limit the market's confidence as well as long-standing worries about a recession and COVID are the sources of the most recent dip in mood.

 

Nevertheless, the risk-off attitude may affect the AUD/USD pricing going ahead. However, pessimistic predictions for the US PMIs in July give purchasers reason for optimism.


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