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On July 7, the 27th Senate election of the Japanese Diet was scheduled for voting on the 20th. The latest opinion poll conducted by Kyodo News from the 5th to the 6th showed that the opposition camp was more popular than the ruling coalition, and nearly half of the respondents hoped that the ruling coalition composed of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party would not achieve the goal of more than half of the seats. The Japanese Senate is responsible for legislative review and government supervision. It has 248 seats. The term of office of members is six years, and half of them are re-elected every three years. This election will focus on 125 seats. In addition to 74 constituency seats and 50 proportional representation seats, there is also 1 by-election seat. According to Japanese media, the results of this Senate election will determine the fate of Shigeru Ishibas cabinet. If the ruling coalition wins less than 50 seats, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba may resign or reorganize the ruling coalition.On July 7, Goldman Sachs said it expects the eight OPEC+ members to increase their oil production quotas by 550,000 barrels per day in September, thereby completely canceling the voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day. OPEC+ hopes to restore idle production capacity to normal as global oil demand shows resilience. Goldman Sachs said: "The decision to accelerate the pace of production increases announced on Saturday strengthens our confidence. We have pointed out since last summer that OPEC+ will shift to a more long-term balanced strategy, focusing on normalizing idle production capacity and market share, supporting internal cohesion, and strategically restricting US shale oil supply." Goldman Sachs expects that the crude oil production of the eight OPEC+ members will increase by 1.67 million barrels per day from March to September to 33.2 million barrels per day, of which Saudi Arabia accounts for more than 60% of the increase.Jianpeng Holdings (01722.HK) rose more than 105%.Both U.S. and Brent crude oil prices fell by more than 1% during the day, and are now trading at $64.93 per barrel and $67.2 per barrel respectively.Japanese Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Kazuhiko Aoki confirmed that Japan-US tariff negotiations are still proceeding actively and Japan remains committed to seeking a mutually beneficial agreement.

The AUD/NZD exchange rate has dropped below 1.0300 on hawkish RBNZ bets

Alina Haynes

Aug 12, 2022 12:09

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The AUD/NZD exchange rate dropped from 1.0500 to 1.0400, and has since been trading sideways. For the asset to record a new weekly bottom, the kiwi bulls would have to push the cross below the immediate support of 1.0300. Bullish expectations for the New Zealand dollar were supported by the publication of a strong Business New Zealand PMI.

 

Greater than both the predicted 52.5 and the prior figure of 50, the Business NZ PMI has now reached 52.7. Because of this, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will be pleased with its efforts to reduce inflation. The RBNZ's monetary policy meeting next week will result in an interest rate announcement. The Official Cash Rate (OCR) is expected to be increased by Governor Adrian Orr for the fourth time in a row, by 50 basis points (bps). The OCR will go up to 3% after a comparable notification is made.

 

An OCR hike by the RBNZ to 4.00% by mid-2023 is predicted by a Reuters poll. It is forecasted that inflation will drop to levels below the 2%-3% target during the first half of 2023. At last, the RBNZ's goal of price stability appears to be within reach.

 

There was little relief for the Aussie bulls despite statistics showing that Australian consumers expect inflation to be lower than it actually is. The Reserve Bank of Australia will become less hawkish if the Australian Consumer Inflation Predictions, which reflect consumer predictions of future inflation over the next 12 months, fall.