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February 6th - Today (February 6th), the Hainan Provincial Information Office held a press conference to introduce the "zero tariff" policy for imported goods for consumption by residents within the Hainan Free Trade Port and to answer reporters questions. The press conference announced that the first batch of five duty-free shops for daily consumer goods will be opened in the three prefecture-level cities of Haikou, Sanya, and Danzhou, with each shop scheduled to open on February 11th, the Southern Lunar New Years Eve.February 6th - The U.S. Treasury yield curve is near its steepest level in over four years due to interest rate cuts and concerns about persistent inflation and fiscal deficits. The spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields widened to as high as 73.7 basis points on Thursday, just slightly below the peak of 73.8 basis points reached in April, the highest level since January 2022. The spread widened on Thursday as signs of weakness in the U.S. job market prompted traders to increase their bets on further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve this year. According to overnight index swaps, the Fed will cut its benchmark interest rate before June (just one month after the end of its term) and will implement two to three 25-basis-point rate cuts this year. Investors are speculating that President Trumps nominee for Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, despite his hawkish reputation, will still favor lower interest rates. Martin Whetton, head of financial markets strategy at Westpac, said: “While the curve has shifted fairly horizontally, weak jobs data has created more downside risk for front-end yields. However, the curve has become steeper as comments from the Treasury’s Borrowing Advisory Committee earlier this week suggested that supply increases could come earlier than expected in November.”The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.2 earthquake occurred in Gerze County, Ngari Prefecture, Tibet Autonomous Region at 09:49 on February 6, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.February 6th - According to an official at the Tokyo Stock Exchange, major polluting companies in Japan are purchasing carbon credits on the exchanges voluntary market ahead of the launch of a mandatory carbon trading program. Natsuko Gunji, general manager of the exchanges carbon trading office, stated, "We are seeing huge market demand. Part of this demand is driven by companies anticipation of the GX-ETS launch," but some companies are also eager to cancel their credits this fiscal year to fulfill their climate commitments. Carbon credits for renewable energy power generation in Japan reached a high of 6,600 yen per tonne (approximately US$42.12) in February and April last year, and have since fallen by nearly a quarter. This price remains above the 4,300 yen allowance price ceiling proposed by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry for the GX-ETS market in December.Commodity-themed LOFs on the exchange opened lower, with crude oil LOFs E Fund and Guotai Commodity LOF both falling by more than 2%, and resource LOFs, Huabao Oil & Gas LOF, Harvest Crude Oil LOF, and Guotou Resource LOF all falling by more than 1%.

Silver Price Prediction: Silver Markets Recover

Alina Haynes

Jun 24, 2022 15:12

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The silver market began Thursday's trading session with a sharp decline, reaching $21 per ounce. Considering that the $21 level has been significant on several occasions, I believe it is just a matter of time until volatility returns to this market. The $22 level above is a place of resistance; thus, if we do rebound, you must pay special attention.

 

The 50 Day EMA is currently at $22.39 and falling. This implies that a certain level of dynamic resistance should enter the picture. I believe that any balance will be sold because, obviously, there are several concerns over industrial demand and the rising of the US currency. Long-term, all of these factors work against silver, but inflation tends to benefit it. In such a circumstance, the only predictable response is likely to be a great deal of volatility, but that does not distinguish silver from other markets.

 

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Breaking below the $21 level enables a decline to the $20.50 level, and potentially even the $20 level. A breach of the $20 level would be extremely negative for silver, opening the door to the $18 level. If we were to rebound and break through the 50 Day EMA, it is conceivable that we may see an attempt to reach the $23 level, but I believe it would require much work.