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Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Green: Upside risks to inflation are the most important.April 14th - The Middle East war has driven up oil prices and demand for Russian oil, and Russias oil tax profits are expected to increase further. Data from Argus, an independent international energy and commodity price assessment agency, shows that in the first 13 days of April, the average price of Urals crude oil, Russias main export, at western ports reached $106.3 per barrel, a 42% increase compared to March. Russian oil taxes are calculated with a one-month lag in Urals crude prices, so the impact of the March price increase will be reflected starting this month. In local currency terms, the average Urals price in March had already soared to 6,191 rubles; if the average price and exchange rate remain at current levels in April, it will further rise to approximately 8,300 rubles this month, the highest since March 2022. Finam economist Berenkaya stated that for every $1 increase in the annual average Urals price, Russian oil and gas tax revenue increases by approximately 150 billion rubles (about $2 billion). In April alone, the industrys revenue may reach 900-950 billion rubles, higher than the 617 billion rubles in March.Federal Reserves Goolsby: Concerns about how long the war with Iran will last.Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Green: Businesses tell me they have no pricing power.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Finding a solution to the Iranian issue is in the interest of all parties.

Silver Price Analysis: Bulls maintain control of the XAGUSD and could target the $22.50 supply zone

Alina Haynes

Nov 11, 2022 17:35

 截屏2022-11-08 下午5.37.02_1024x576.png

 

On Friday, silver extends its breakout momentum through the extremely significant 200-day simple moving average for a second consecutive session. During the early European session, the white metal reaches a five-month high, but struggles to achieve acceptance beyond the $22.00 round-figure threshold. However, the XAGUSD maintains its intraday gains and is currently trading in the $21.85-$21.90 range, up about 0.90% for the day.

 

The overnight rise from levels below $21.00 and subsequent strength above a technically key moving average bolster the likelihood of a near-term advance. However, the RSI (14) on the daily chart is close to entering overbought territory and aggressive bullish traders should proceed with caution. Before positioning for further gains, it is recommended to wait for some near-term consolidation or a slight drop.

 

Nevertheless, the XAGUSD is prepared to surpass $22.00 and may seek to test the next significant barrier near $22.45-$22.50. The aforementioned region represents a dense supply zone and may prove difficult for bulls to penetrate. However, some follow-through purchasing will signal a new breakout and pave the way for a move toward recovering the $23.00 round number. The momentum might eventually propel spot prices to a May swing high in the vicinity of $23.25 to $23.30.

 

In contrast, the daily low around $21.45 that coincides with the 200 DMA breakout point should protect the downside in the short term. Any more decline could be viewed as a buying opportunity and should be limited near $21.00. A decisive breach below might spark technical selling and bring the XAGUSD below the $20.40 support zone. Failure to defend the previously mentioned support levels could shift the near-term bias toward bearish traders.

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