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On August 22nd, it was reported that long-term government bond yields in major global economies have continued to rise recently, increasing selling pressure in the bond market. However, Chinas bond market and exchange rate have remained relatively stable, with Panda bond issuance reaching a record high for the same period. Data shows that as of August 21st, the cumulative issuance of Panda bonds in 2026 reached 209.975 billion yuan, an increase of over 73% year-on-year. Against the backdrop of sharp fluctuations in the global bond market, the increased investment by international institutions in domestic RMB financing has attracted attention. Industry insiders explained, "We and overseas markets are in completely different economic and monetary cycles. Foreign capital accounts for only about 5%-8% of my countrys bond market, while domestic capital holds absolute pricing power. Coupled with our monetary policy adhering to a self-reliant approach, overseas shocks cannot reverse the overall trend of the domestic bond market." Looking ahead, industry insiders believe that overseas bond yields are likely to remain highly volatile, highlighting the investment value of RMB bonds, and potentially leading to continued foreign investment in the medium to long term. However, it should be noted that rising US Treasury yields have raised the return threshold for global investment funds, which may disrupt the willingness of overseas institutions to increase their holdings of RMB bonds. In addition, the rapid rise in bond yields in developed countries overseas may also constrain the valuation of domestic risky assets.On August 22, the U.S. Department of Defense dismissed Eric Slavin, editor-in-chief of the military newspaper Stars and Stripes, publisher Max Laidler, and senior Middle East correspondent Lara Cortt on August 21 for "insubordination." This followed the newspapers recent report on poor working conditions and sailors mental breakdowns aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, sparking renewed criticism within the U.S. regarding the Trump administrations inability to end the conflict with Iran. Slavin stated in an interview on August 21 that he was dismissed for "insubordination." He had previously discussed his disagreements with the Department of Defense in an interview. Cortt wrote on the social media platform X on the same day: "Today, I was informed that the Department of Defense has dismissed me for insubordination."According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian officials have called on Qatar to transfer the detained Iranian pilot to a land-based hospital. Iranian officials stated that the detained pilot is currently on the water and is in "very poor" condition.According to Al Jazeera: Alarms sounded in Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, as the government warned of a possible missile attack.On August 22, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management organized a joint consultation meeting with the China Meteorological Administration, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Transport, and key provinces including Hainan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Heilongjiang, Jiangsu, and Fujian. The meeting assessed the development of Typhoon Saudel (No. 18) and Typhoon Zitan (No. 19), as well as the development of heavy rainfall and the flood control situation in the Heilongjiang River main stream and Taihu Lake basin. The meeting also deployed flood and typhoon prevention work. The State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management maintained a Level IV emergency response for flood and typhoon prevention in Hainan, Guangxi, and Guangdong, and a Level IV emergency response for flood control in Jiangsu.

Silver Price Analysis: Bulls maintain control of the XAGUSD and could target the $22.50 supply zone

Alina Haynes

Nov 11, 2022 17:35

 截屏2022-11-08 下午5.37.02_1024x576.png

 

On Friday, silver extends its breakout momentum through the extremely significant 200-day simple moving average for a second consecutive session. During the early European session, the white metal reaches a five-month high, but struggles to achieve acceptance beyond the $22.00 round-figure threshold. However, the XAGUSD maintains its intraday gains and is currently trading in the $21.85-$21.90 range, up about 0.90% for the day.

 

The overnight rise from levels below $21.00 and subsequent strength above a technically key moving average bolster the likelihood of a near-term advance. However, the RSI (14) on the daily chart is close to entering overbought territory and aggressive bullish traders should proceed with caution. Before positioning for further gains, it is recommended to wait for some near-term consolidation or a slight drop.

 

Nevertheless, the XAGUSD is prepared to surpass $22.00 and may seek to test the next significant barrier near $22.45-$22.50. The aforementioned region represents a dense supply zone and may prove difficult for bulls to penetrate. However, some follow-through purchasing will signal a new breakout and pave the way for a move toward recovering the $23.00 round number. The momentum might eventually propel spot prices to a May swing high in the vicinity of $23.25 to $23.30.

 

In contrast, the daily low around $21.45 that coincides with the 200 DMA breakout point should protect the downside in the short term. Any more decline could be viewed as a buying opportunity and should be limited near $21.00. A decisive breach below might spark technical selling and bring the XAGUSD below the $20.40 support zone. Failure to defend the previously mentioned support levels could shift the near-term bias toward bearish traders.