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On May 19th, Harumi Taguchi, an economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, stated that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its policy rate from the current 0.75% to 1.0% in July, with further rate hikes in December and 2027, bringing the policy rate to 1.5%. Taguchi noted that if rising oil prices and a weaker yen exacerbate concerns about the second-round effects of inflation, the BOJ may raise rates further. Taguchi added that given the continued high oil prices driving up demand for the dollar, rising market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike, and concerns about Japans fiscal expansion, the yen is unlikely to appreciate in the short term.On May 19th, according to Iranian sources, Iranian President Pezechzian, during a meeting with officials from the Ministry of Cooperation, Labor and Social Welfare, stated that economic and social problems should be addressed at their root through structural and sustainable planning. Pezechzian stated that those who lost their jobs during the war should not rely solely on unemployment insurance, but rather on creating sustainable employment opportunities. He also emphasized the need for targeted support programs to maintain existing jobs. Pezechzian further stated that controlling consumption and avoiding waste are "necessary measures at the national level" under the current circumstances, and that government agencies should play a leading role in related areas. Regarding electronic consumption vouchers, Pezechzian stated that priority should be given to low-income and vulnerable groups, and related support policies should aim to increase household purchasing power and alleviate the living pressures on low-income groups.Futures News, May 19th: Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) Energy and Chemical Warehouse Receipts and Changes: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 205,945 tons, down 1,930 tons from the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 957 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 6,560 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 47,160 tons. 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 21,120 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 31,220 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,511,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 1,540 tons, a decrease of 500 tons from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.UK medium- and long-term government bond yields fell in early trading, by about 3-5 basis points.On May 19, according to reports from IRNA and Reuters, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi briefed a national conference on the current progress of negotiations with the United States and Irans response to the draft agreement proposed by the US. Gharibabadi stated that Irans recent proposals explicitly emphasized its right to the peaceful use of nuclear energy, demanded an end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, the lifting of the US naval blockade against Iran, the return and unfreezing of frozen Iranian assets, compensation from the US for losses incurred in the war and for reconstruction efforts, the termination of all unilateral sanctions, and the withdrawal of US troops from the region surrounding Iran.

Silver Price Analysis: Bulls maintain control of the XAGUSD and could target the $22.50 supply zone

Alina Haynes

Nov 11, 2022 17:35

 截屏2022-11-08 下午5.37.02_1024x576.png

 

On Friday, silver extends its breakout momentum through the extremely significant 200-day simple moving average for a second consecutive session. During the early European session, the white metal reaches a five-month high, but struggles to achieve acceptance beyond the $22.00 round-figure threshold. However, the XAGUSD maintains its intraday gains and is currently trading in the $21.85-$21.90 range, up about 0.90% for the day.

 

The overnight rise from levels below $21.00 and subsequent strength above a technically key moving average bolster the likelihood of a near-term advance. However, the RSI (14) on the daily chart is close to entering overbought territory and aggressive bullish traders should proceed with caution. Before positioning for further gains, it is recommended to wait for some near-term consolidation or a slight drop.

 

Nevertheless, the XAGUSD is prepared to surpass $22.00 and may seek to test the next significant barrier near $22.45-$22.50. The aforementioned region represents a dense supply zone and may prove difficult for bulls to penetrate. However, some follow-through purchasing will signal a new breakout and pave the way for a move toward recovering the $23.00 round number. The momentum might eventually propel spot prices to a May swing high in the vicinity of $23.25 to $23.30.

 

In contrast, the daily low around $21.45 that coincides with the 200 DMA breakout point should protect the downside in the short term. Any more decline could be viewed as a buying opportunity and should be limited near $21.00. A decisive breach below might spark technical selling and bring the XAGUSD below the $20.40 support zone. Failure to defend the previously mentioned support levels could shift the near-term bias toward bearish traders.

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