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On September 2nd, Federal Reserve Chairman Williams stated that bond yields are an important indicator for the Feds assessment of the economic situation. The recent rise in yields was primarily driven by strong economic performance, an optimistic economic outlook, and robust investment demand, with some correlation to the Middle East conflict. However, yields currently do not appear to be significantly affected by the inflation outlook. Williams emphasized that the Fed will consider all economic data comprehensively, and its ultimate responsibility remains price stability, with reducing the inflation rate to 2% being the top priority. Tariffs and the Middle East war are the main factors contributing to current inflation exceeding the target, but a second-degree inflation effect from tariffs has not yet been observed. Inflation expectations remain under control, and recent inflation data is encouraging, showing an overall downward trend, although inflation in the services sector remains significantly high. He stated that the labor market is stable and remains robust, and it is necessary to push inflation back to 2% in the foreseeable future. He hopes to further observe and analyze economic data before making the next policy decision and will continue to gather information for the next FOMC meeting. Williams expressed support for the decisions of the July FOMC meeting, believing that the current interest rate level is appropriate and monetary policy is progressing smoothly.Tensions in the Middle East remain high, with Brent crude oil prices nearing the $96 mark during trading. A chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market conversion prices of crude oil between domestic and international markets.The US August ADP employment figures were released, showing the smallest increase since January and falling short of market expectations. A quick chart provides a view of the converted prices of gold and silver in the pre-market session.Syria has confirmed to the International Atomic Energy Agency that it will participate in a briefing on nuclear issues from September 7 to 11.As of 20:30 Beijing time, New York gold futures rose 0.17%, New York silver futures rose 0.60%, and New York copper futures rose 0.19%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast — Stock Market Looking for Footing

Florala Chen

Aug 24, 2022 15:54

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In the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has gained a little bit of stability during the Tuesday trading session as we get closer to a critical support level.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

In the early stages of the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has moved in a rather narrow range. Having said that, this week is the Jackson Hole Symposium, which is practically guaranteed to make a lot of noise. In this case, I believe the trading public will be paying great heed to central bankers' pronouncements, which, of course, may sometimes result in complete pandemonium.


In this case, I believe we could have a brief rebound followed by increased selling pressure. The 200-Day EMA is located around 4185, and there is considerable resistance at the 4300 level above. It's also important to pay attention to the 50-Day EMA, which is at 4082 and climbing below; it may provide dynamic support.


I do believe that it is extremely possible that traders will look to the 50-Day EMA to salvage the market upward, regardless of whether or not this turns out to be the case. If we break it down below that, the market is probably just trying to get to the 4000 level. Anything below the 4000 mark indicates that we have once again altered our mentality and that more downside is yet to come.


One thing you can certainly bet on, in my opinion, is a lot of noisy volatility, mostly as a result of the central bankers' ranting in Wyoming. They will almost certainly underline their resolve to battle inflation, which means that monetary policies will continue to tighten throughout the globe.