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1. Monday: ① Data: US March ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; US March Global Supply Chain Stress Index. ② Holiday: Germany, Australia, France, Spain, New Zealand, Italy, UK, Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges and Beijing Stock Exchanges, domestic futures exchanges, Hong Kong Stock Exchange closed for one day, northbound and southbound trading closed, Taiwan Stock Exchange closed for one day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: France, Germany, Eurozone, UK March Services PMI final readings; Eurozone April Sentix Investor Confidence Index; US March New York Fed 1-year Inflation Expectations; China March Foreign Exchange Reserves. ② Events: US President Trump holds a joint press conference with the military in the Oval Office; a new round of price adjustments for domestic refined oil products will begin. ③ Holiday: Hong Kong Stock Exchange closed for one day, northbound and southbound trading closed. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending April 3; Japans February trade balance; New Zealands Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision for the week ending April 8; UKs March Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index (MoM); Frances February trade balance; Switzerlands March seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones February PPI (MoM); Eurozones February retail sales (MoM). ② Events: EIA releases its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; Chicago Fed President Goolsby, a 2027 FOMC voting member, speaks on monetary policy; Reserve Bank of New Zealand announces its interest rate decision; Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman holds a monetary policy press conference. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (ending April 8); German February seasonally adjusted industrial production (month-on-month); German February seasonally adjusted trade balance; US initial jobless claims for the week ending April 4; US February core PCE price index (year-on-year); US February personal spending (month-on-month); US Q4 final annualized GDP growth rate; US Q4 final real personal consumption expenditure growth rate; US Q4 final annualized core PCE price index (month-on-month); US February core PCE price index (month-on-month); US February wholesale sales (month-on-month); US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending April 3. ② Events: Federal Reserve releases monetary policy meeting minutes; Swiss National Bank President Schlegel delivers a speech. 5. Friday: ① Data: Chinas March CPI year-on-year rate; Germanys final March CPI month-on-month rate; Switzerlands March consumer confidence index; Canadas March employment change; US March unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, and unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate; US April one-year inflation rate expectations (preliminary); US April University of Michigan consumer sentiment index (preliminary); US February factory orders month-on-month rate; Chinas March M2 money supply year-on-year rate (pending). 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending April 10. Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The Saudi Deputy Foreign Minister received the Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the French Embassy in Saudi Arabia.April 5 - According to a draft statement seen by Reuters, the OPEC+ committee meeting on Sunday expressed concern over attacks on energy assets during the US-Israel and Iran wars, stating that the cost and time required to repair such facilities would impact supply. The statement said, "The Committee emphasizes the critical importance of ensuring the safety of international maritime routes to guarantee the continuous and uninterrupted flow of energy." The statement also said, "The Committee is concerned about attacks on energy infrastructure, as restoring damaged energy assets to full capacity is both costly and time-consuming, thus affecting overall supply capacity."The draft statement said that the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee pointed out that it would take a long time for damaged energy facilities to return to full capacity, thus affecting overall supply capacity.Iraqs state news agency: Iraq thanks Iran for allowing Iraqi oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

S&P 500 Price Forecast — Stock Market Looking for Footing

Florala Chen

Aug 24, 2022 15:54

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In the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has gained a little bit of stability during the Tuesday trading session as we get closer to a critical support level.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

In the early stages of the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has moved in a rather narrow range. Having said that, this week is the Jackson Hole Symposium, which is practically guaranteed to make a lot of noise. In this case, I believe the trading public will be paying great heed to central bankers' pronouncements, which, of course, may sometimes result in complete pandemonium.


In this case, I believe we could have a brief rebound followed by increased selling pressure. The 200-Day EMA is located around 4185, and there is considerable resistance at the 4300 level above. It's also important to pay attention to the 50-Day EMA, which is at 4082 and climbing below; it may provide dynamic support.


I do believe that it is extremely possible that traders will look to the 50-Day EMA to salvage the market upward, regardless of whether or not this turns out to be the case. If we break it down below that, the market is probably just trying to get to the 4000 level. Anything below the 4000 mark indicates that we have once again altered our mentality and that more downside is yet to come.


One thing you can certainly bet on, in my opinion, is a lot of noisy volatility, mostly as a result of the central bankers' ranting in Wyoming. They will almost certainly underline their resolve to battle inflation, which means that monetary policies will continue to tighten throughout the globe.