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July 18th - US President Trump stated that the June inflation data brought encouraging news! The CPI monthly rate saw its largest drop in six years. The June CPI was lower than the forecasts of every economist (67 in total) surveyed by Bloomberg. Prices for various goods, including gasoline, electricity, auto insurance, hotels, and prescription drugs, all declined. With strong wage growth and falling prices, real wages rose sharply by 0.8%. With investment continuously flowing into the US, rapid expansion of factory construction, increased manufacturing employment, and persistently low prices, we have so much to be proud of—Americas golden age has arrived!US President Trump: June inflation data brings "major good news", the US is entering a "golden age".According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending July 14, speculators on the CBOT increased their net short positions in 10-year U.S. Treasury futures by 17,413 contracts to 831,675 contracts. Speculators on CBOT 2-year U.S. Treasury futures decreased their net short positions by 103,531 contracts to 1,157,477 contracts.On July 18, Rezaei, an advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, stated that if the United States continues its attacks in the next two to three days, Iran will abandon its previous strategy of deterrence and reciprocal retaliation, shifting to a phase of "full-scale offensive and destruction," and may directly strike US military bases and personnel abroad. He claimed that Irans previous restraint was to avoid spillover of regional conflict, but the USs "miscalculation" could escalate the situation. Rezaei also called on Kuwait, Jordan, Qatar, the UAE, and other regional countries and governments to stop the US and Israel from expanding their operations, stating that the USs strategy of "simultaneous war and negotiation" has failed, and Iran will intensify its counterattacks in the coming days.July 18th - Crude oil futures recorded double-digit gains this week as the US expanded its military strikes against Iranian targets and Iran launched attacks on neighboring Gulf states. Another factor exacerbating concerns about escalating tensions is the possibility that Yemens Houthi rebels may take action to block shipping over the Red Sea; Saudi Arabia has been diverting its crude oil exports via the Red Sea while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh stated in a report: "With inventories at near-record lows and most strategic petroleum reserve releases completed, the renewed escalation of tensions around the red line of the Strait poses significant upside risks to energy prices. As things stand, we believe the oil market is still too complacent about the potential impact on inventories."

S&P 500 Price Forecast — Stock Market Looking for Footing

Florala Chen

Aug 24, 2022 15:54

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In the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has gained a little bit of stability during the Tuesday trading session as we get closer to a critical support level.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

In the early stages of the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has moved in a rather narrow range. Having said that, this week is the Jackson Hole Symposium, which is practically guaranteed to make a lot of noise. In this case, I believe the trading public will be paying great heed to central bankers' pronouncements, which, of course, may sometimes result in complete pandemonium.


In this case, I believe we could have a brief rebound followed by increased selling pressure. The 200-Day EMA is located around 4185, and there is considerable resistance at the 4300 level above. It's also important to pay attention to the 50-Day EMA, which is at 4082 and climbing below; it may provide dynamic support.


I do believe that it is extremely possible that traders will look to the 50-Day EMA to salvage the market upward, regardless of whether or not this turns out to be the case. If we break it down below that, the market is probably just trying to get to the 4000 level. Anything below the 4000 mark indicates that we have once again altered our mentality and that more downside is yet to come.


One thing you can certainly bet on, in my opinion, is a lot of noisy volatility, mostly as a result of the central bankers' ranting in Wyoming. They will almost certainly underline their resolve to battle inflation, which means that monetary policies will continue to tighten throughout the globe.