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June 9th - Existing home sales in the U.S. accelerated in May, reaching their highest level this year, injecting optimism into a lackluster spring sales season. Newly released data shows that existing home sales rose at an annualized monthly rate of 3.2% in May, with a total annualized sales volume of 4.17 million units. Lawrence Yu, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), stated, "More and more Americans are moving, and home sales have risen to their highest level since December of last year. This is good news for the housing market and the economy."U.S. Energy Secretary Wright: Oil exports from the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf will increase.Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff: We are ready to immediately return to the fight against Iran. The recent attacks on Iran are a prelude to a more powerful and severe blow.Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff: Our forces are on alert and will take action against any detected threats.June 9th - TD Securities predicts that the upcoming US May CPI report will confirm that inflation is slowing but remains stubbornly high. The firm expects the US May core CPI month-on-month rate to fall to 0.23%, with the year-on-year rate remaining flat at 2.8%; the overall CPI month-on-month rate will fall to 0.4%, while the year-on-year rate will rise to 4.2%. Looking at the sub-categories, commodity prices are expected to rise 0.13% month-on-month in May, in line with the three-month average. Core goods, excluding automobiles, contributed the majority of the increase, with categories such as home furnishings and clothing also showing increases. A further decline in used car prices is expected to partially offset this increase. Furthermore, the continued transmission of the oil price shock and tariff effects is expected to push core inflation to around 3.0% year-on-year in June. There is an upside risk if aviation fuel costs are passed on to airfares at a greater-than-expected rate. Looking ahead to the second half of 2026, core inflation is not expected to see a meaningful decline. Prices of core goods, excluding automobiles, will continue to show strength, while housing costs will normalize from their high levels.

S&P 500 Price Forecast — Stock Market Looking for Footing

Florala Chen

Aug 24, 2022 15:54

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In the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has gained a little bit of stability during the Tuesday trading session as we get closer to a critical support level.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

In the early stages of the E-mini contract, the S&P 500 has moved in a rather narrow range. Having said that, this week is the Jackson Hole Symposium, which is practically guaranteed to make a lot of noise. In this case, I believe the trading public will be paying great heed to central bankers' pronouncements, which, of course, may sometimes result in complete pandemonium.


In this case, I believe we could have a brief rebound followed by increased selling pressure. The 200-Day EMA is located around 4185, and there is considerable resistance at the 4300 level above. It's also important to pay attention to the 50-Day EMA, which is at 4082 and climbing below; it may provide dynamic support.


I do believe that it is extremely possible that traders will look to the 50-Day EMA to salvage the market upward, regardless of whether or not this turns out to be the case. If we break it down below that, the market is probably just trying to get to the 4000 level. Anything below the 4000 mark indicates that we have once again altered our mentality and that more downside is yet to come.


One thing you can certainly bet on, in my opinion, is a lot of noisy volatility, mostly as a result of the central bankers' ranting in Wyoming. They will almost certainly underline their resolve to battle inflation, which means that monetary policies will continue to tighten throughout the globe.