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July 17, according to Russian media and officials, Ukrainian drones have appeared in many parts of Russia. On the night of July 17, the Ukrainian military launched a larger drone attack on western Russia, including Moscow. Moscow Mayor Sobyanin claimed that the air defense system shot down three drones approaching the Russian capital between 2:03 a.m. local time, but did not mention casualties or losses. In St. Petersburg, Pulkovo Airport suspended operations at 5 a.m. local time, possibly due to the approach of drones. The governor of Belgorod Oblast said that Ukrainian drones launched an attack in the city of Belgorod, killing one person and injuring six people. In the city of Voronezh, a drone attacked a residential building, injuring three children.Johnson, speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, said that the vote on the GENIUS bill will take place tomorrow and the CLARITY bill may take place next week. He also added that the House of Representatives will include anti-CBDC (central bank digital currency) legislation in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA).On July 17, Citi Research reported that Baidus (09888.HK) advertising revenue may continue to be under pressure in the second half of the year. With the tech giant rapidly improving its AI search capabilities and low sentiment for advertising spending, the drag on advertising revenue may be greater than Citi previously expected. The bank lowered Baidus core advertising revenue forecasts for the second and third quarters by 6.1% and 8.9%, respectively. Given the greater negative impact of higher-margin advertising revenue, Citi analysts also lowered Baidus core operating profit forecasts for the second and third quarters by 21% and 24%, respectively. Citi maintained its buy rating on Baidu and raised its ADR target price from $138 to $140.The Hang Seng Index turned to decline during the session, having previously risen by more than 0.6%.Kazuhiko Aoki, Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary of Japan: We will create a stable market environment to ensure the smooth issuance of Japanese government bonds.

S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 Stumbling on The Edge of a Cliff

Skylar Shaw

May 09, 2022 10:53


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The monthly US Jobs Report (NFP) will be announced at 12:30 UK today, with the market expecting 391k new jobs in April, down from 431k in March. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 3.5 percent, while average hourly earnings are expected to stay constant at 0.4 percent month over month. The US employment market is strong, and unless today's news disappoints, traders will continue to price in higher US interest rates, keeping the US dollar bought. Both John Williams and Raphael Bostic of the Federal Reserve will talk later today, and they may provide some further insight on the FOMC decision on Wednesday.

 

The 500 chart demonstrates how technical analysis may be useful even in turbulent times. The bullish hammer candle we saw on Monday led to a big comeback until yesterday's sell-off, while the resistance zone we saw around 4,300–4,310 maintained on Wednesday and Thursday. If 4,060 holds, the S&P 500 will have a chance to rebound in the near term; otherwise, 4,035 will come into play quite rapidly. Any efforts to go higher should be met with resistance in the 4,300–4,310 range. Volatility is still at an all-time high.

 

According to retail trader statistics, 68.09 percent of traders are net-long, with a long-to-short ratio of 2.13 to 1. The number of traders who are net-long is up 18.01 percent from yesterday and up 16.33 percent from last week, while those who are net-short is down 26.33 percent from yesterday and 14.60 percent from last week.


We usually take the other side of popular mood, and the fact that traders are net-long signals that the US 500 will continue to decline. Traders are more net-long today than they were yesterday and last week, and the combination of current mood and previous movements gives us a greater contrarian trading bias in the US 500.

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