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Market news: An earthquake warning has been issued in Mexico City.February 9th - Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that she would communicate with financial markets on Monday, if necessary, to calm market sentiment as soon as possible. However, she also warned of the possibility of intervention in the yens exchange rate at any time. Katayama revealed that she maintains close contact with US Treasury Secretary Bessenter, sharing the responsibility of maintaining the stability of the dollar-yen exchange rate. She explained that Japan and the US have signed a memorandum of understanding stipulating that decisive measures can be taken against rapid fluctuations deviating from fundamentals, which certainly includes intervention. She reiterated that she is closely monitoring financial markets, while emphasizing her commitment to responsible fiscal policy and stressing the governments strong focus on fiscal sustainability and its desire to maintain it.February 9th - According to NHK, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Restoration Party won a majority of seats in the House of Representatives election held on the 8th.Musk: Teslas electric semi-truck will begin mass production this year.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.

S&P 500 Continues to Threaten a Breakout

Alice Wang

Jul 20, 2022 14:50

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As we continue to pose a serious danger of a large breakthrough, the S&P 500 has surged pretty considerably throughout Tuesday's trading session.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued loud behavior, the S&P 500 has shown its bullishness throughout Tuesday's trading session. Given that the 3900 region runs all the way to 3950, this market will likely continue to be highly loud. Additionally, the 50 Day EMA is also nearing this region, and earnings season is already underway. Or, to put it another way, it's a jumble of issues waiting to happen.


Short-sellers will almost certainly seize on signs of tiredness because, to be honest, the economics does not indicate that this market should rise. Additionally, there are significant issues with liquidity, so you must pay great attention to it as well. Even if the economy does have some impact on the stock market, it really really comes down to liquidity, thus the Federal Reserve's restrictive monetary policy will also have some negative effects.


Wall Street has been pretending for a while now that the US economy has improved, so when it genuinely struggles, it should not come as a major surprise that they are trying to drive the market higher. Keep in mind that Wall Street and the economy are unrelated in any way. Having said that, we have a chance to advance all the way to the 4200 level if we do break over the 4000 level. I believe the trend has shifted above that point.


Alternately, if we go below the 3700 level, it's likely that we will reach the 3640 level, which previously served as a support zone.