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Futures News, December 31st: Asian diesel supply is ample while demand is weak, suggesting further downside potential for Singapore diesel prices in the short term. Domestic diesel demand is entering a seasonal decline, with a predominantly bearish sentiment. While domestic diesel prices are expected to fall further in the short term, high procurement costs will provide support, potentially limiting the decline compared to Singapore prices. Therefore, short-term diesel export arbitrage will likely remain low or even inverted.December 31st - In recent years, the central government has introduced numerous policies to reduce or adjust real estate taxes, covering three major taxes: deed tax, personal income tax, and value-added tax. According to calculations by the Shanghai E-House Real Estate Research Institute, the implementation of these tax reduction policies could reduce housing transactions nationwide by approximately 100 billion yuan annually. From the perspective of homebuyers and sellers, these tax reductions are not merely symbolic discounts of a few thousand yuan for ordinary families; they represent substantial cash relief ranging from 100,000 to 500,000 yuan. For homebuyers in first-tier cities looking to upgrade their homes, the tax reduction could even cover two to three years worth of living expenses.On December 31, the Shenzhen Branch of the Peoples Bank of China disclosed an administrative penalty notice, stating that Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank was warned and fined for violating account management regulations and financial statistics regulations. In response, a representative of Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank told the Securities Times that the administrative penalty notice was a result of the Shenzhen Branch of the Peoples Bank of Chinas handling of issues discovered during an inspection prior to November 2022. The bank took this matter very seriously, earnestly implemented all regulatory requirements, and optimized relevant processes and systems in 2023, completing the rectification. The bank has learned a profound lesson and will continue to strengthen internal control and compliance, regularly review processes and systems, adhere to the principles of compliant operation and prudent development, effectively prevent risks, and continuously improve its operational management level and service quality.According to the latest shareholding structure, the National Commercial Bank of the UAE has sufficient room for foreign ownership in the bank, allowing it to hold at least 51% of the shares.On December 31, the State Financial Regulatory Commission (SFC) revised the "Guidelines for Risk Management of Commercial Bank Merger and Acquisition Loans," resulting in the "Measures for the Management of Commercial Bank Merger and Acquisition Loans." An official from the relevant department of the SFC answered reporters questions on related issues. The official stated that merger and acquisition transactions are large-scale and time-sensitive, placing significant financial pressure on acquiring entities. To better meet the financing needs of merger and acquisition transactions, the "Measures," while introducing equity participation-type merger and acquisition loans, raise the upper limit of the proportion of controlling merger and acquisition loans in the transaction price from 60% to 70%, and extend the term from seven years to ten years, reasonably optimizing the conditions for merger and acquisition loans and providing financing convenience for merger and acquisition transactions.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Continues to Consolidate Just Above Trend Line

Skylar Shaw

Feb 28, 2023 15:50

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

The S&P 500 has rallied a bit during the trading session on Monday, as we are sitting just below a couple of major moving averages in the form of the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA. They both attract a lot of attention, so it is worth paying attention to the fact that the market does not seem to be in a hurry to get above those moving averages, which of course could be a bit of a head. We are also right around the psychologically important 4000 level, so a lot of traders will be looking to go in both directions at this point. Adding even more volatility to the mix is the fact that we are in the midst of earnings season, and recently there has been a lot of games played with the “zero day to expiration” options market, meaning that people are placing extremely short-term options trades that are kicking the market around.


If we were to break down below the lows Friday, that would show a significant continuation to the downside, perhaps opening up the downside all the way to the 3900 level, possibly even the 3800 level after that. Keep in mind that interest rates continue to rise, therefore putting a little bit of an anchor on the stock market. However, if we do see interest rates are to fall again, and we can break above the moving averages, then it’s possible that we could see the S&P 500 try to reach towards the 4100 level.


That being said, the last couple of weeks have been shaky to say the least, and therefore we could see a continuation of this overall negativity. I think the only thing you can probably count on at this point in time is going to be an extreme amount of volatility, because of this, it’s very possible that we could see more choppiness, instead of less. Make sure you keep your position size reasonable because things could get ugly rather quickly.