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New York gold futures surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at $5286.10 per ounce.On January 28th, China Railway Industry Corporation (CRIC) announced that its newly signed contracts for 2025 amounted to RMB 44.396 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.79%. Among these, the business of special engineering machinery and related services increased by 6.70% year-on-year, while the business of transportation equipment and related services decreased by 11.90% year-on-year. The total value of major contracts signed/won in the fourth quarter was RMB 2.532 billion, accounting for approximately 8.73% of the companys operating revenue in 2024.Eurozone money markets currently estimate a 25% probability of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by July, compared to 15% on Tuesday.1. Bank of America: The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice in 2026, in June and July respectively. 2. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Federal Reserve to implement two rate cuts this year, with the first cut in June. 3. Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and September. 4. Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and December this year. 5. EY Bordrin: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a total of 50 basis points this year, but not until the second half of the year. 6. JPMorgan Chase: No longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026; the next action is expected to be a 25 basis point rate hike in the third quarter of 2027. 7. KBC: The next rate cut may not come until March, by 25 basis points. A further 25 basis point cut may be made in the second quarter to reach the neutral interest rate level. 8. Oxford Economics: The Federal Reserve will maintain its policy unchanged until June. A decline in inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates sooner if the labor market weakens further. 9. ING: The baseline forecast is for the Fed to cut rates in March and June, but the apparent risk now is that this pace could be delayed by three months overall. The Feds "dual mandate" will face more pressing pressure to achieve a rate cut in March. 10. ANZ: A pause in rate cuts in January was appropriate, but a prolonged pause is unnecessary. They forecast the FOMC to cut rates by 25 basis points each in March and June. 11. Wells Fargo: Given the two months of economic data to be released before the March meeting, rate cuts could come earlier, in March and June. The risk to their forecast leans towards a delay in the timing of rate cuts.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.3 occurred at 15:27 on January 28 near Sunan County, Zhangye City, Gansu Province (38.93 degrees north latitude, 98.22 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.

Privately issued but regulated digital currencies have benefits -cbank chiefs

Skylar Shaw

Jul 18, 2022 15:03

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If the firms can be properly regulated, consumer-focused digital tokens issued by private enterprises may be preferable to tokens issued by central banks, according to the governor of the Australian central bank on Sunday.


At a panel discussion that was live broadcast online at the G20 finance officials' summit in Indonesia, Phillip Lowe participated. Greater examination of these tokens, according to the head of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), might also assist lower risks associated with initiatives using decentralized financing (DeFi), a component of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.


So-called central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), which may be either retail tokens used directly by customers or wholesale tokens used by banks in the financial system, are being developed by several central banks across the globe.


This is in part a reaction to the emergence of so-called stablecoins, privately-issued tokens like Tether and USDC, whose value is tied to that of a conventional asset, often the U.S. dollar, and which are generally used as a store of value and for payment purposes.


When one stablecoin, TerraUSD, and its linked token, Luna, collapsed in May, it brought home the danger these tokens pose to financial institutions even if they were only used to support a network of DeFi apps and not for actual transactions.


If these tokens are going to be extensively utilized by the community, the state will need to support them or control them similarly to how we regulate bank deposits, according to Lowe.


The private sector is better than the central bank at innovating and designing features for these tokens, and there are also likely to be very significant costs for the central bank setting up a digital token system, he said. "I tend to think that the private solution is going to be better - if we can get the regulatory arrangements right," he said.


In order to develop a robust enough regulatory structure for such tokens, Lowe and the other panelists agreed that more work needed to be done.


More examination of stablecoins, according to HKMA CEO Eddie Yue, might also assist lower dangers from DeFi, which intends to employ computer code to do away with the need for financial intermediaries in lending, investing, and other financial operations.


DeFi initiatives are accessed via stablecoins and cryptocurrency exchanges, and according to Yue, their regulation is simpler than that of the actual items.


The technology and business innovation underlying these breakthroughs are probably going to be vital for our future financial system, thus Yue believes that crypto and DeFi won't vanish despite the Terra-Luna tragedy, even if they could be delayed.

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