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May 6th - Bond traders are increasing their bets that the Federal Reserves next policy move will likely be a rate hike rather than a rate cut. Swap contracts linked to central bank interest rate decisions currently show that the market expects a greater than 50% probability of a Fed rate hike before April next year, prior to any rate cut. More and more traders are also increasing their positions to hedge against the risk of a rising probability of a rate hike before the end of the year. This shift in market conditions comes as policymakers appear increasingly divided on the interest rate outlook. Lawrence Gillum, chief fixed income strategist at LPL Financial, believes that the possibility of a rate cut this year still exists, but this probability will gradually decrease as the conflict with Iran continues. He stated, "Theres no doubt that Warshs path forward will be challenging."Lucid Group (LCID.O) executives: Due to geopolitical conflicts, there were some delays in the delivery of equipment to the Saudi factory, but the team has successfully mitigated the situation.According to the UAEs national news agency, the UAE president received phone calls from several leaders, including Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, who condemned Irans attack on the UAE and expressed their support for the measures the UAE has taken to maintain security.AMD (AMD.O) shares rose more than 11% in after-hours trading.ChatGPT has announced its availability as a plugin for Excel and Google Sheets. ChatGPT states that it helps analyze messy data, write formulas, update spreadsheets, and explain the steps involved—all without leaving the spreadsheet interface. The service will be powered by GPT-5.5.

Prediction for Silver Price: XAG/USD falls below $21.60 as USD Index recovers amid global worries

Daniel Rogers

Feb 20, 2023 11:04

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During the Tokyo session, the silver price (XAG/USD) experienced a sharp decline to close to $21.55. The white metal fell like a house of cards as geopolitical tensions intensified the theme of risk aversion. Silver price is predicted to continue its downside momentum as the fears of a comeback in the United States inflation have joined the US-China tensions.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rallied firmly to approximately 103.70 as the geopolitical tensions-inspired volatility has driven investors to hide behind safe-haven assets. The mood on the market has been dimmed by the US ambassador to China's warnings if Beijing chose to provide lethal military aid to Russia for its invasion of Ukraine. Additionally, three rockets from North Korea on Japan’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) have poured fuel to the fire.

 

S&P500 futures have extended their losses as the resurgence of inflation fears in the United States has raised warning flags for the upcoming economic recovery. The Federal Reserve (Fed) might continue rising interest rates after a comeback in the prices of goods and services at the factory gates and a revival in consumer spending, expressed by positive Retail Sales statistics. Monday will be a holiday in the United States, so the financial markets will be closed.

 

Thursday's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report will be closely scrutinized by investors for more advice. It is anticipated that the preliminary annualized GDP for the fourth quarter would remain unchanged at 2.9%.


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