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Swiss customs data: Swiss seasonally adjusted watch exports rose 4.6% year-on-year in December, on a nominal basis, to CHF 2.15 billion.On January 29th, Mike Sanders, head of fixed income at Madison Investments, stated in a report that regardless of who is nominated, the next Federal Reserve chair will find it difficult to implement openly politically driven interest rate policies. He indicated that even appointing a more dovish candidate would be constrained by the cautious and conservative Federal Open Market Committee. "Attempting aggressive moves at the front of the yield curve is likely to lead to higher long-term yields, ultimately contradicting the original policy objectives," Sanders said.On January 29th, Scott Helfstein, Head of Investment Strategy at Global X, stated in a report that real interest rates may still be too high, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve to cut rates again soon. "This leads us to believe that the Fed may remain more dovish than the market expects and cut rates again as early as the first quarter," he said. Helfstein believes the current market is likely driven by fundamentals, and the earnings season so far has met high expectations, with many companies reiterating their guidance.On January 29th, Principal Asset Managements Global Chief Strategist, Hima Shah, stated that Federal Reserve Governor Wallers dissenting vote on the Feds decision to keep interest rates unchanged solidifies his position as a contender for Fed Chair. "More importantly, his argument that policy needs to move closer to a neutral stance is likely to gain more support over time—especially as signs of a cooling labor market become more concrete and the downward trend in inflation persists," Shah said.On January 29th, Catalyst Funds Chief Investment Officer David Miller noted in a report that the two dissenting votes at this Federal Reserve meeting "highlight growing concerns that policy may already be tight enough." He stated that while inflation is cooling and labor market momentum is weakening, the broader committee indicated a cautious, meeting-by-meeting approach to policymaking in 2026. Miller believes that against the backdrop of legal scrutiny and questions about the Feds independence, the outcome of this meeting was less of a strong policy statement and more of a pattern of maintaining the status quo. In this interest rate decision, Milan and Waller opposed the decision to keep interest rates unchanged, advocating for a 25 basis point cut.

Oil prices fall owing to rising U.S. stocks and weaker demand

Skylar Williams

Jul 13, 2022 11:03

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Oil prices dipped in early Asian trade on Wednesday with the release of U.S. inventory data indicating a rise in crude oil and refined products, amid rising fears of a global economic slowdown.


Brent oil futures shed 68 cents, or 0.7 percent , to $98.81 a barrel at 0002 GMT. The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropped 72 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $95.12 a barrel, which is also the lowest level in three months.


Concerned that aggressive interest rate increases to battle inflation may precipitate a recession, which will severely influence oil consumption, investors have sold their oil holdings. Due to volatile trading, prices dropped by more than 7 percent in the previous session.


China's renewed COVID-19 travel restrictions had an effect on the market. Multiple cities in the world's second-largest economy have enacted further restrictions, ranging from firm closures to wider lockdowns, to prevent the spread of a highly dangerous virus strain.


During the week ending July 8, crude oil stocks climbed by around 4.8 million barrels in the United States. According to market sources citing data issued by the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday, gasoline supplies grew by 3 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles increased by 3,3 million barrels.


The dollar index, which compares the dollar to a basket of six other currencies, reached its highest level since October 2002 on Tuesday, reaching 108.56.


Since oil is frequently priced in U.S. dollars, a stronger dollar makes the commodity more expensive for foreign currency holders. During times of market volatility, the dollar is often viewed as a safe haven by investors.