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On January 9th, Bernstein analyst Luca Solca stated that the conflict between hedge fund portfolio rebalancing and new capital inflows into the sector could trigger volatility in European luxury goods stocks. Solca pointed out that institutional investors are seeking assurances of a recovery in Chinese consumer confidence and may withdraw from luxury stocks after their recent strong performance. Currently, European luxury goods stocks are generally rising, with Kering and Hermès leading the sector, up 2.7% and 2.6% respectively. LVMH and Brunello Gucci both rose by approximately 2%. Solca stated that Kering, which owns brands such as Gucci and Alexander McQueen, has seen its recent growth primarily driven by balance sheet restructuring, and future growth will face greater challenges, as brand revival is not something that can be achieved overnight.January 9th - Following President Trumps announcement this week of measures to ban institutional investors from purchasing homes, homebuilders continue to face significant uncertainty. Analysts at Zelman Associates stated that much of the uncertainty hinges on whether the ban covers homes "built specifically for rental," a business area that builders have increasingly relied on in recent years. If the ban includes such homes, builders could lose a counter-cyclical source of demand, potentially causing single-family home starts to decline by 5% to 10%. Analysts point out that if the ban excludes such homes, it could actually benefit homebuilders, as new homes would become "the only way for single-family rental operators to seek growth."Mizuho Bank raised its price target for Nvidia (NVDA.O) from $245 to $275.Mizuho Bank raised its price target for Micron Technology (MU.O) from $290 to $390.Mizuho Bank raised its price target for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI.O) from $265 to $285.

Natural Gas: XNG/USD bears continue to monitor $2.13 in advance of EIA inventories

Daniel Rogers

Mar 30, 2023 15:59

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Natural Gas (XNG/USD) price fluctuates near the intraday low of $2.23, declining the previous day's corrective rebound off a five-week low ahead of Thursday's European session. In doing so, the energy instrument fails to bolster expectations of increased demand from China in the face of inflation concerns, hawkish central bank actions, and a stronger US dollar.

 

China's willingness to import 65,000 tonnes of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Premier Li Qiang's upbeat comments have supported the XNG/USD. Premier Qiang of China stated that the economic situation in March is even better than in January and February. However, the policymaker also increased geopolitical tension by opposing trade protectionism and decoupling, which indirectly target the United States and stimulate the Natural Gas bulls.

 

On the other hand, rumors that German gas pipelines are once again reliable for transporting energy, following previous challenges from Russia, impact on the XNG/USD exchange rate. In addition, the majority of central bankers defend their prior bias regarding inflation, exerting downward pressure on the commodity. In addition, the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva, stated on Thursday, "Urgently need faster, more efficient mechanisms for providing debt support to vulnerable countries." Her remarks revive previously alleviated banking concerns.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) adheres to modest gains while S&P 500 Futures struggle around a one-week high set the day before. In addition, the yields on the 10-year and 2-year US Treasury bonds grind higher after tantalizing bond purchasers the day before.

 

Moving forward, Weekly Natural Gas Storage Change data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), preceding -72B, may influence XNG/USD price action. Nonetheless, the headlines surrounding inflation and the banking system, as well as China, should be given the utmost focus for direction.