• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
1. Federal Reserves Daly: If the Iran conflict is resolved quickly and oil prices fall, a rate cut is "not impossible." He believes the possibility of a rate hike is lower than a rate cut or maintaining the current rate. The real question is whether the ceasefire can last; if it does, then the CPI data is irrelevant. 2. Data from the U.S. Labor Department on Friday showed that the March CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year, significantly higher than Februarys 2.4%. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 2.6%, slightly below the market expectation of 2.7%. Energy prices rose 12.5% year-on-year in March, a significant acceleration from Februarys 0.5%. Gasoline prices rose 18.9%, and fuel oil rose 44.2%. The report reflects the impact of the Iran war on U.S. inflation for the first time. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted shipping and pushed up crude oil and gasoline prices last month. 3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Seasonally adjusted energy inflation in the U.S. rose 10.9% month-on-month in March, the largest increase since September 2005; unadjusted energy inflation rose 12.5% year-on-year. Seasonally adjusted gasoline inflation rose 21.2% month-over-month in March, the largest increase since records began in 1967, while unadjusted gasoline inflation rose 18.9% year-over-year. Seasonally adjusted fuel oil inflation rose 30.7% month-over-month in March, the largest increase since February 2000; unadjusted fuel oil inflation rose 44.2% year-over-year. 4. Saudi Arabia’s oil exports through the Red Sea remain stable as the impact of the drone attack on its east-west pipeline has not yet materialized. Wednesday’s attack damaged one of 11 pumping stations along the pipeline. The Saudi Press Agency reported on Thursday, citing energy ministry officials, that this reduced pipeline capacity by 700,000 barrels per day. 5. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released data showing that private exporters reported sales of 125,640 tons of corn to unknown destinations for delivery in the 2025/2026 marketing year. The U.S. corn marketing year begins on September 1. 6. U.S. Vice President Vance has departed for Islamabad, Pakistan, aboard Air Force Two to participate in U.S.-Iran talks. The entourage also included US Middle East envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Kushner. Before boarding, Vance stated that he looked forward to the upcoming negotiations with Iran and believed the talks in Islamabad would be positive. 7. After data showed that gasoline prices rose due to the Iran war and US inflation accelerated in March, bond traders slightly reduced their bets on a single Federal Reserve rate cut this year. Fridays interest rate swap market pricing showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year was about one-third, little changed from before the data release. 8. A spokesperson for the Khatham Anbia Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces issued a statement on the 10th, saying that due to the repeated breaches of trust by the US and Israel in the past, the Iranian Armed Forces remain fully alert and ready to open fire at any time. 9. Data released by the LME showed that due to supply disruptions caused by the Iran war, Indian aluminum was temporarily unable to be delivered, and the proportion of Russian aluminum available in London Metal Exchange (LME) warehouses jumped from 60% in February to 92% in March.The Kuwaiti Army stated that the Iranian attack targeted National Guard facilities, resulting in multiple injuries.Palantir (PLTR.N) narrowed its losses to less than 2%, after falling 6% earlier.Market news: Asian countries are urging the United States to extend sanctions waivers on Russian oil.According to Hong Kong Stock Exchange documents, Zhuhai Baofengtang Semiconductor Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

Natural Gas Prices Fall After Reaching New 13-Year Highs

Drake Hampton

Apr 13, 2022 10:14

Tips

  • Natural gas prices reached a new intraday high of 13 years.

  • Arrivals of natural gas at LNG terminals decreased.

  • The weather in the mid-West is forecast to be colder than typical.

 

Natural gas prices reached a 13-year high before whipsawing and settling down for the session. While demand continues to be strong, natural gas arrivals at LNG facilities decreased. Natural Gas Intelligence reports that arrivals were the lowest in two weeks. A snowstorm will dump considerable amounts of snow on the higher plains.

 

The weather in the mid-West is predicted to remain significantly colder than average over the next 6-10 days, then moderate slightly over the next 8-14 days, although still significantly colder than average. This scenario will result in an increase in the need for heating.

Technical Evaluation

Natural gas prices set a new intraday high, surpassing the previous 13-year record, but then whippedsawed as speculators took profits. Near the July 2008 highs of 13.68, the target resistance is visible. At 6.07, support is located near the 10-day moving average.

 

Short-term momentum has shifted negative as a crossing sell signal was triggered by the fast stochastic. Prices are excessively high. The fast stochastic is printing a reading of 85, which is above the overbought threshold of 80. Additionally, the RSI is reading 78, exceeding the overbought trigger threshold of 70.

 

The medium-term trend has shifted to the positive. The MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is in positive territory with an upward sloping trend, indicating that the underlying price of natural gas is accelerating.

 

image.png