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On October 16th, gold prices hit a new high of $4,226 in early trading, supported by concerns about trade tensions and market bets that the Federal Reserve will increase monetary easing before the end of the year. So far this week, gold prices have risen by over 5%, and the buying frenzy has also spread to other precious metals. Traders are heavily betting on at least one significant US interest rate cut before the end of the year, and Fed Chairman Powell hinted this week that the central bank will cut rates by another 25 basis points later this month. The ongoing US government shutdown also provided support for gold prices. Furthermore, the so-called "currency devaluation trade" is driving inflows into gold, with investors selling sovereign debt and currencies to hedge against the risks of widening fiscal deficits. Active gold purchases by central banks are a key support. Saad Rahim, chief economist at Trafigura Group, said that the gold rally is "primarily driven by physical buying. If you look at central banks, they are buying heavily."South Koreas chief presidential policy adviser expressed "optimism" when asked about US tariff negotiations.Honda Motor: Will make additional investment in California-based startup Helm.AI.ANZ Bank raised its gold price forecast to $4,400 an ounce by the end of this year, and expects it to peak at nearly $4,600 an ounce by June 2026.On October 16, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced that atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide reached record highs in 2024. This phenomenon is attributed to continued human emissions of carbon dioxide and the frequent occurrence of wildfires. This, combined with the reduced absorption of carbon dioxide by carbon sinks such as terrestrial ecosystems and the oceans, could lead to a vicious cycle of climate change. WMO officials stated that the last time such high carbon dioxide concentrations were recorded in Earths history was approximately 3 to 5 million years ago, before the advent of humans.

Natural Gas Price Analysis: Breakout of the 21-DMA sustains bullish XNG/USD sentiment near $2.35

Daniel Rogers

Apr 12, 2023 13:39

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Natural Gas (XNG/USD) maintains modest gains near $2.36 as bulls maintain control over a three-day uptrend as of early Wednesday. Consequently, XNG/USD investors applaud an unambiguous break of the 21-DMA near the highest levels in three weeks.

 

Bullish MACD signals, sustained trading above the 10-DMA, and the upside of the 21-DMA all contribute to the optimism of Natural Gas buyers.

 

Nonetheless, intraday XNG/USD investors are attracted by the late-March trade high near the $2.40 round number. However, a convergence of numerous levels marked since early March and the 50-day simple moving average (around $2.47-48), followed by the $2.50 threshold, could limit the energy instrument's upside potential.

 

If the XNG/USD remains stronger than $2.48, the March 14 high around $2.75 will be in focus.

 

Alternately, Natural Gas sellers require confirmation from the 21-DMA support at $2.31 in order to revisit the 10-DMA support near $2.25.

 

Notably, the lows recorded since late February emphasize $2.13-12 as the key strong downside support for the XNG/USD bulls to overcome if they wish to reach the high near $1.95 in early July 2020.

 

Overall, the price of Natural Gas regains its upward momentum, but further gains appear constrained to the north.


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