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US President Trump: I think we are closer to our goal (reaching a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine) than ever before.On December 16th, the FBI announced the arrest of four suspects on December 15th for plotting bomb attacks at multiple locations in California on New Years Eve. FBI Director Cash Patel posted on social media that the FBI thwarted a "credible and imminent terrorist threat" and arrested four individuals with ties to the Los Angeles area. These individuals identified themselves as members of a radical wing of the far-left group "Turtle Island Liberation Front" and are suspected of planning attacks using improvised explosive devices at five different locations in the Los Angeles area on New Years Eve. "Turtle Island" is an English name for North America.On December 16th, the Argentine government of President Millai announced adjustments to its monetary policy, stating it would begin an initiative to accumulate its depleted foreign exchange reserves. This represents a step closer to the free-floating exchange rate that investors have long desired. Starting in 2026, the pesos trading band will expand at the same rate as monthly inflation, instead of the current 1%. Novembers price increases of 2.5% mean that the trading band could expand at more than twice the current rate in the short term. The central bank stated on Monday that it will also begin accumulating reserves, with a base case scenario target of purchasing $10 billion next year, the specific amount potentially increasing based on currency demand. Following this news, Argentine sovereign bonds surged across the board. The more liquid bonds maturing in 2035 rose by more than 1 cent, reaching nearly 73 cents.On December 16th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and German Chancellor André Merz held a joint press conference in Berlin. Zelensky stated that the US delegation did not make any demands on Ukraine regarding territorial concessions, but merely conveyed Russias position. Regarding the question of whether the US demanded Ukraine withdraw from the Donetsk region, Zelensky said: "I dont think the US made any demands. I believe we are strategic partners. Therefore, I would put it this way: we have heard statements from the US regarding Russian territorial claims or demands. We consider these to be Russian demands." He also stated that Ukraine had conveyed its position to the US.Lockheed Martin (LMT.N) has completed production of its first F-16 Block 70 fleet, delivering them to Bulgaria and Slovakia.

NZDUSD is negative below 0.5900 despite the introduction of USD buying

Alina Haynes

Nov 07, 2022 17:58

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Following a modest bearish gap opening to the 0.5855-0.5850 range on Monday, the NZDUSD pair experiences some buying, but is unable to capitalize on the move. Spot prices retreat a few pips from the day's high and continue on the defensive below the 0.5900 mark as the US Dollar recovers minor territory at the start of the European session.

 

On the first day of the new week, the USD regains some upward momentum and recovers a bit of Friday's fall following the announcement of the NFP. In fact, the monthly US jobs report's mixed results fueled rumors that the Federal Reserve may slow the pace of future rate hikes, which weighed heavily on the US dollar. Nonetheless, higher US Treasury bond yields and a softer tone help limit dollar losses and act as a drag for the NZDUSD pair.

 

Concerns of headwinds stemming from China's intention to maintain its economically harmful zero-COVID policy have weakened investor confidence. This occurs in the midst of the protracted Russia-Ukraine conflict and leads to escalating fears regarding the worsening global economic crisis. Even from a technical perspective, bullish traders should be mindful of the emergence of fresh selling ahead of the middle of the 0.59 range. Before positioning for any significant NZDUSD pair gain, it is prudent to await sufficient follow-through buying.

 

The United States is not anticipated to release any market-moving economic data, leaving the USD vulnerable to US bond yields. Aside from this, traders will take cues from the overall risk sentiment of the market in order to capitalize on short-term opportunities involving the risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar. However, the mixed underlying environment may cause short-term traders to remain on the sidelines until the release of the latest US consumer inflation data on Thursday.