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On May 27, it was reported that US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke by phone on May 26 local time. An informed source stated that the two sides discussed the situation amidst regional tensions and as US-Iran diplomatic negotiations entered a crucial phase.On May 27th, according to Nikkei, Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari stated that the Fed may take a "series" of interest rate hikes to address inflation caused by the Middle East situation. During the FOMC meeting in late April, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged. Kashkari and two other officials objected to the Feds decision to include language in its statement hinting at future monetary easing. In a written interview, Kashkari stated, "I think the next rate adjustment could be a rate cut, or it could be a rate hike," expressing his differing opinion. Kashkari said the outcome depends on the trend of inflation, which in turn depends on whether the Strait of Hormuz reopens soon or remains effectively closed due to further damage to the regions infrastructure, the latter exacerbating the global energy shortage. Kashkari expressed concern that long-term inflation expectations for businesses and households "could get out of control." He stated that the FOMC "will likely need to take strong measures," and that rate hikes, or even a series of rate hikes, may be necessary.Federal Reserves Kashkari: A protracted war with Iran could trigger a "series" of interest rate hikes in the United States.May 27th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract fell 1.15% to 988 yuan/gram, the Shanghai Silver futures contract fell 1.38% to 18,601 yuan/kilogram, and the SC Crude Oil futures contract rose 0.81% to 610 yuan/barrel.Micron Technology (MU.O) surged over 20%, marking its biggest single-day gain since 2011.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD nears $1,980 as USD Index extends losses in response to the Fed's dovish guidance

Daniel Rogers

Mar 23, 2023 14:48

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In the Asian session, the gold price (XAU / USD) is gaining strength to surpass the immediate resistance of $1,980.00. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) resumed its decline and fears of a US banking crisis revived, demand for the precious metal increased.

 

As the Federal Reserve (Fed) has come extremely close to the terminal rate, which would be restrictive enough to bring down U.S. inflation to 2%, the USD Index is seeking to retest its six-month low below 102.000. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated in his commentary that "additional policy tightening may be necessary."

 

Investors should be aware of the fact that the US banking crisis has bolstered the status of gold as a safe-haven asset. However, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's reassurance of the safety of all bank deposits quelled concerns of a banking crisis.

 

As of Wednesday, when US Yellen stated that the government "is not considering insuring all uninsured bank deposits," the situation appears to have changed. This has also increased demand for United States government bonds. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries have decreased to near 3.45%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures have rebounded strongly after a steep decline on Wednesday, indicating an improvement in risk appetite. Nonetheless, caution still prevails as US banks' strict credit conditions will have a long-term impact. According to the Fed's commentary, the US banking system is solid and resilient, but US banks will be more cautious in their lending to households and businesses.


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