EUR/USD 1.14859
0.096%
Gold 4376.53
0.805%
Oil 95.469
-1.085%
USD/JPY 156.726
0.486%
GBP/USD 1.33935
0.269%
GBP/JPY 209.919
0.759%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Conflict Updates: 1. Riyadh, the Saudi capital, was hit by an airstrike; a Saudi Aramco fuel storage tank near Riyadh airport caught fire. 2. The Houthi rebels claimed Saudi Arabia launched 300 airstrikes this week. 3. The son of the Director-General of the Gaza Ministry of Health was killed by Israeli artillery fire. 4. According to the Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA) on the 19th, an explosion occurred on the 18th at a Syrian transitional government army outpost in Deir ez-Zor province in eastern Syria, killing 11 personnel from the transitional governments Ministry of Defense. 5. The Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed responsibility for attacks on Saudi Arabia, targeting Saudi Aramco facilities in Riyadh and Yanbu. 6. Saudi Arabia claimed its air defense system successfully shot down a ballistic missile aimed at Riyadh. Other Updates: 1. Iran stated it has conveyed three conditions for negotiations to Washington through Qatar and is awaiting Trumps decision. 2. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bagae stated that the Pakistani Interior Ministers visit will focus on bilateral relations between Iran and Pakistan and does not involve conveying any specific information regarding mediation. 3. Saudi Arabia is running out of interceptor missiles and urgently requests assistance. 4. Foreign media: Saudi Arabia makes a rare request for support to Israel. 5. Italy reportedly plans to send up to four ships to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. 6. Iranian sources: The US says it is ready to negotiate with Iran. 7. Iranian Foreign Minister speaks with Pakistani Foreign Minister to discuss regional developments. 8. Israeli media: Trump is not expected to meet with Netanyahu during next weeks UN General Assembly. 9. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Participation in the UN General Assembly is Irans legitimate right, not a "favor" from other countries. 10. Turkish Foreign Minister: Will not accept Saudi Arabia being drawn into the US-Iran conflict. 11. Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council, stated that Iran has presented the US government with seven conditions necessary to initiate any negotiations. 12. US Central Command Commander: The US has assisted in the passage of over 1 billion barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz in the past two months. Mines in the main navigation channels of the Strait of Hormuz have been cleared.The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 32 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 32 billion yuan. The interest rate for the operation was 1.40%.On September 20th, according to the "Announcement on Launching a Series of Special Actions for Personal Information Protection in 2026" jointly issued by the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the Ministry of Public Security, and based on the "Cybersecurity Law," "Personal Information Protection Law," "Regulations on the Management of Network Data Security," and "Methods for Identifying Illegal and Irregular Collection and Use of Personal Information by Apps," the Cyberspace Administration of China organized an inspection of the collection and use of personal information by apps (including mini-programs). The following issues are hereby reported: 1. Six apps, including FlowFit and Scooter Memorization, failed to disclose their rules for collecting and using personal information. 2. Four apps, including iNAPCare and Chinese-English Translator, forcibly or frequently requested unnecessary permissions. 3. Nine apps, including GPS Acreage Meter and ROI Calculator, failed to fully and accurately list the personal information collected and used. 4. Eleven apps, including Hongjuan Reading and Daochen Smart Sports, failed to provide an effective account cancellation function. The operators of the relevant apps should complete rectification within 15 working days from the date of this announcement and report the rectification status to our office. Our office will conduct verification in conjunction with relevant departments and, based on the rectification status, take appropriate action and impose penalties in accordance with laws and regulations.On September 20, the Peoples Bank of China announced that it would keep the one-year and five-year loan prime rates (LPR) unchanged at 3% and 3.5%, respectively.On September 20, the U.S. embassies in Bahrain, Oman, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, and Iraq issued security alerts stating that given the tense situation in the Middle East, the current security environment remains complex, with unforeseen escalation risks. U.S. citizens currently in the Middle East should remain highly vigilant and be aware of potential flight cancellations, airspace closures, and travel disruptions. U.S. citizens outside the Middle East should seriously reconsider their travel plans to or transit through the region. The security alerts all mention the recent conflict between the Houthi rebels in Yemen and Saudi Arabia, stating that this military conflict has the potential to escalate rapidly, and U.S. citizens traveling to or from the region should closely monitor the latest information regarding airport and airline operations.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

 161.png

 

During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

Suggestion