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White House official: Trump has discussed with oil companies plans to extend the blockade of Iran for several months if necessary.1. Wells Fargo: Still expects the Fed to cut rates twice this year, by 25 basis points, in September and December respectively. 2. ANZ: The Fed is very likely to restart its rate-cutting cycle in the third quarter of this year, most likely at the September meeting. 3. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September and December, and believes the possibility of a rate hike this year is very small. 4. Bank of America: Downside risks to economic growth lead us to continue to predict a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year. 5. TD Securities: By the September decision, the market will have accumulated enough evidence to support the Feds gradual return to an easing cycle. 6. Standard Chartered: Once Warshs nomination is confirmed, the Fed will likely shift its focus to reviving the weak job market and resuming rate cuts. 7. Commerzbank: In the medium to long term, the Fed will be unable to resist pressure from the US president and may cut rates for the first time by the end of the year, followed by two more rate cuts in 2027. 8. Danske Bank: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout the summer and eventually resume rate cuts in September and December. 9. Barclays: If inflation falls as expected, the Fed is expected to gain sufficient confidence to begin easing policy around September. 10. ING: Maintains its forecast that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, in September and December. 11. BNY Mellon: Assuming the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the Fed will cut rates twice in the fourth quarter.April 29 - International crude oil futures continued to climb as the standoff in the Middle East is expected to drag on, with the US and Iran continuing their respective blockades of the Strait of Hormuz. "The continued stalemate in negotiations between the US and Iran makes it increasingly unlikely that supplies through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal in the short term," said Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com, in a report. She added, "The market is no longer just anticipating risk, but a prolonged period of supply disruption."With the 60-day deadline approaching, US Republicans are discussing whether to authorize a war against Iran.According to Saudi media outlet alhadath, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not received an invitation to travel to Washington.

Gold Exceeds $1,800, Then Declines As the Dollar Strengthens

Skylar Williams

Aug 03, 2022 11:13

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Gold returned slightly on Tuesday to the $1,800 level targeted by market longs after exactly one month.


The gold futures contract for December on the New York Comex rose $2 to $1,787.70 per ounce, after reaching a high of $1,804.95.


In response to China's fury over the U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's travel to Taiwan, a country Beijing regards as its territory with no sovereignty of its own, the dollar had its greatest spike in over a month.


Gold on the Comex has failed to reclaim the psychologically significant positive level it lost on July 1 as a result of the dollar's meteoric rise on expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate rises.


Sunil Kumar Dixit, chief technical strategist at skcharts.com, commented, "The futures have blown off some froth at the top, but the upside is still quite strong." "Play will continue until Comex hits $1,830 or $1,835"


The Dollar Index, which measures the dollar to six other major currencies, increased by over 0.7% to 105.95, marking its highest daily rise since July 5, when it increased by 1.3%. The session's highest point was 106.10 On Tuesday, the dollar index touched a near three-week low of 104.92.


Along with the dollar, U.S. bond rates contributed to gold's decline on Tuesday, as the benchmark 10-year Treasury note notched its largest one-day increase since March.


Not reaching $1,800, the spot price of bullion, which is frequently connected with the price of gold futures, peaked at $1,788.12.


Comex gold's turnaround toward $1,800 was sparked by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments last Wednesday that the central bank could not predict whether it will sustain the aggressive rate hikes it has adopted to battle inflation since March.


With the release of the gross domestic product statistics for the second quarter on Friday, the United States officially entered a recession.


The previous week's performance for gold was its best since the week of February 25. The possibility of a recession and the Fed's rate hikes approaching their peak contributed to gold's appreciation.


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