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On July 9, Irans Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Illavani, sent a letter on July 8 to UN Secretary-General António Guterres and the Security Councils President for the month, Zenon Ngai Mukongo, Permanent Representative of the Democratic Republic of Congo to the UN, condemning in the strongest terms the United States repeated acts of aggression and its continued violations of the UN Charter and other norms of international law. The letter stated that the latest round of US aggression blatantly violates relevant provisions of the UN Charter and contravenes the provisions of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding. The USs repeated and deliberate violations of its commitments fundamentally betray the Memorandum of Understanding and must bear full international responsibility for all legal and political consequences arising from its illegal actions and the dangerous escalation of the situation. Given the seriousness of the situation, Iran reiterated the responsibilities entrusted to the UN Secretary-General and the Security Council by the UN Charter, particularly in cases involving aggression and threats to international peace and security. Iran urgently called on the Secretary-General and the Security Council to take immediate, effective, and decisive measures to compel the United States to cease its continued illegal acts of aggression and prevent further escalation.Oil-themed funds fluctuated higher, with Harvest Crude Oil LOF, E Fund Crude Oil LOF, and Southern Crude Oil LOF all rising over 7%. The S&P Oil & Gas ETF Fullgoal rose over 4%, and its oil LOF rose over 3%. Other oil funds, such as Huabao Oil & Gas LOF, followed suit. This was in response to news that Iran struck four US military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.Goldman Sachs: If the 60-day negotiations continue and the Iranian oil waivers are restored, the Persian Gulf oil supply is expected to recover by the end of July; this would require an increase of 6.6 million barrels per day in oil supply from the Strait of Hormuz.The main fuel oil futures contract surged 6.00% intraday, currently trading at 3214.00 yuan/ton.July 9th, Futures News: The current crude oil market is highly fragile and sensitive, especially regarding the erratic behavior of the United States, making it prone to significant fluctuations. The previous decline in oil prices was a precise reflection of the concentrated release of resources following the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. However, with escalating geopolitical tensions, oil prices are expected to re-enter an upward trend, driven by a prolonged supply recovery cycle and rising panic. It is anticipated that WTI and Brent will test the $75 and $80/barrel levels respectively in the short term. If the conflict continues, a return to above $90/barrel would not be surprising; if the conflict subsides quickly, oil prices will likely trade between $65 and $75/barrel.

GBP/JPY finds support close to 167.30 as focus shifts to UK inflation and BOE policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 12, 2022 15:42

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The GBP/JPY pair is gauging demand after slipping to approximately 167.30 during the early Asian session. After failing to surpass the 168.00 round-level barrier, there was selling pressure on the cross. In the interim, the GBP/USD pair has retraced ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy, suggesting a cautious market tone.

 

As the policy divergence between the Bank of England (BOE) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is projected to widen further in the wake of the Bank of England's (BOE) interest rate hike on December 15, the cross is forecast to recover significantly.

 

Despite the recession, the Bank of England will increase interest rates by another 50 basis points (bps) next week, boosting the cost of borrowing to 3.50 percent, according to a Reuters poll. To eliminate inflationary pressures in the United Kingdom, additional policy tightening is necessary.

 

But before that, investors will focus on the United Kingdom's inflation data on Wednesday. According to projections, the annual inflation rate for November would likely increase from 11.1% to 11.5%. The recent rise in food price inflation, caused by a labor shortage and rising input costs, has raised expectations for the headline inflation rate.

 

As a result of a decrease in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, the likelihood of a dip in Tokyo's inflation has increased. A decline in demand never causes the price increase index to rise. Even if salaries climb by 3%, Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda believes the BOJ would retain its current easy monetary policy until inflation reaches 2%.