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On August 23, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine did not participate in any actions to sabotage the Nord Stream gas pipeline connecting Russia and Europe. This comes after a Ukrainian suspect wanted by Germany was arrested in Croatia, becoming the second Ukrainian suspect detained in the case. Zelenskyy said, "Ukraine has never participated in this operation, not even in the first place. I hope the investigation will be fruitful. We are ready to provide assistance." Zelenskyy indicated that the Ukrainian Prosecutors Office and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs are investigating the matter.On August 23, some Japanese citizens held a rally in Tokyo to protest the Sanae Takaichi governments attempts to revise the constitution and its series of military expansion initiatives. Participants strongly opposed the governments push to revise the "Three Security Documents" and attempt to amend the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles."On August 23, Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari downplayed market concerns about rising U.S. Treasury yields, stating that the market is functioning well and the recent surge is unlikely to affect discussions on monetary policy. Kashkari said on Sunday, "All indications suggest that the U.S. Treasury market is functioning normally, trading is proceeding smoothly, and market liquidity is ample, therefore we can use the federal funds rate as the primary policy tool for reducing inflation." Last week, yields on U.S. Treasury bonds of all maturities rose, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at around 4.73%. The 30-year Treasury yield remained near its highest level since 2007. Kashkari stated that while current Treasury yields are high relative to recent historical levels, yields in the 1990s were much higher. "We need more data, but I dont want to prejudge the outcome of the next meeting," he said. "However, I dont currently believe that inflation will fall back to the target level in the short term."Russian President Vladimir Putin: Ukraines 40-day "influence operation" against Russia has failed to change the situation, and Russian forces are continuing their advance.On August 23, affected by Typhoon Zitan (No. 19 of this year), many parts of Guangxi experienced heavy to torrential rain, with some areas experiencing extremely heavy rain. Several rivers exceeded warning levels, and some towns in Fangchenggang and Chongzuo cities faced flooding risks. On August 23, Guangxi held a video conference to coordinate flood and typhoon prevention efforts. According to statistics, as of 6 PM on August 23, 64 townships (subdistricts) in 17 counties (cities, districts) of 6 cities including Fangchenggang, Chongzuo, and Nanning experienced heavy torrential rain, with some areas experiencing extremely heavy rain. 92 townships (subdistricts) in 30 counties (cities, districts) of 10 cities experienced heavy rain. 15 stations on 10 rivers, including the Mingjiang River and its tributaries Gongan River and Pailian River, and the Zuojiang River and its upstream Pinger River, exceeded warning levels. The typhoon has affected 61,000 people, with 54,000 relocated and 8,087 people urgently relocated and resettled. All flood control and disaster relief work is being carried out in an orderly and solid manner.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.