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On August 9th, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi, speaking about the recent regional conflicts, stated that Iran, having suffered military strikes from the United States and Israel and resulting in casualties, will not forget the dead in the recent conflicts. He said, "We will neither forget nor forgive." Araqchi added that, facing external pressure, Iran will continue to uphold its stance of resistance and safeguard its national independence and dignity.The Houthi rebels in Yemen said they attacked Saudi Aramcos Jazan oil refinery.On August 9th, it was reported that Taylor Swift successfully secured the removal and muting of audio tracks from videos on TikTok by the Trump team that used her song "August" and other works without authorization. The Trump teams TikTok account had previously posted several videos using Taylor Swifts songs as background music. One video celebrating August used Swifts "August," showing Trump and First Lady Melania watching fireworks, with the caption jokingly stating, "Im sure Taylor Swift would be very happy we used her song." The audio from this video has since been removed from the platform due to copyright issues. Additionally, another video from the Trump team used Taylor Swifts song "Father Figure," which included footage of Trump with his son Barron and clips related to Trumps attempted shooting in 2024. This song is also currently unavailable.August 9th - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its latest interest rate decision next Tuesday. The market widely expects the RBA to maintain the current interest rate, but its statement and forward guidance will be closely watched. Despite a slowdown in Australian inflation, the RBA remains vigilant about upside risks. The RBAs communication will have a key impact on market expectations for the remainder of the year, particularly regarding whether the next move will be a rate hike or a rate cut.HSBCs preview of the US July CPI: It is expected that several core inflation components will cool down more than expected, leading to both the overall CPI and core CPI falling short of market expectations.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.