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Spot gold fell $20 in the short term, dropping below $4,510 per ounce.Germanys final first-quarter unadjusted GDP annual rate, Junes GfK consumer confidence index, and the UKs April seasonally adjusted retail sales month-on-month rate and public sector net borrowing will be released in ten minutes.European Commission Executive Vice President Dombrovskis: The EU will have to respond to soaring inflation.May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot gold fell in the latest intraday trading, with a corrective bearish trend dominating in the short term. Furthermore, with prices trading below the 50-day EMA, negative pressure continues to strengthen, increasing downside risk. On the other hand, spot gold prices remain firmly above the key support level of $4500, showing strong positive momentum limiting the decline, especially after the overbought condition was digested. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a positive signal, providing more room for spot gold to show stronger positive performance in the short term.May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures exhibited strong volatility in the latest intraday trading, with prices rising at one point in an attempt to recover some of the previous losses and restore some technical balance. This cautious rebound was mainly due to a slight easing of the clearly oversold condition shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), providing temporary support for the current price movement. Despite the limited improvement, negative pressure continues to dominate oil price movements. Previously, prices had broken below the upward channel that had been dominating its short-term trading. Furthermore, WTI crude oil futures remain below the 50-day EMA, continuing to face negative and dynamic pressure, which also increases the possibility of further declines in the short term.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.