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On May 7th, AMD shares surged to a record high as a strong outlook boosted investor confidence in continued demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure, driving a general rise in global semiconductor stocks. Analysts and investors believe AMD is a leader challenging Nvidias dominance in the AI chip field, and that the company is also benefiting from its focus on the CPU business. CPUs have become increasingly important as companies move towards agent-based AI—systems capable of performing autonomous functions—which expands demand beyond GPUs used to train large models. "Nvidia held a monopoly in the AI chip market for two years, but other companies are now catching up. Meanwhile, the expanding market size leaves room for future growth," said Michael ORourke, chief market strategist at Jones Trading. Matt Blitzman, senior equity analyst at Hargravesson Lansdowne, said, "AMDs story is no longer just about competing with Nvidia on GPUs…its increasingly moving towards a broader computing landscape, as both CPUs and GPUs will play their respective roles as demand for AI workloads increases."On May 7th, the China Trustee Association issued an initiative entitled "Initiative on Optimizing Trust Services and Promoting the Healthy and Sustainable Development of the Trust Industry." The initiative emphasizes adhering to the principle of "quality and price matching" and resisting "involutionary" competition. It calls for scientifically assessing core elements such as business service costs, risk premiums, and reasonable profits to establish a pricing mechanism that matches actual business needs. The initiative resolutely opposes competing for projects at prices below cost, preventing issues such as declining service quality and weakened risk management due to low-price competition, and upholding the fundamental principle of "quality and price matching" in business operations.Shell CFO: We are seeing rising crude oil and refined product prices in Asia to attract U.S. shipments from Europe to Asia.Switzerlands seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for April will be released in ten minutes.On May 7th, XS.com analyst Linh Tran commented that gold prices may need a clear breakout above the $4730-$4750 per ounce range to maintain a strong upward trend. With the dollar and US Treasury yields weakening, gold looks poised for short-term gains. However, if gold fails to break through this resistance level, it may return to a range-bound trading pattern. The upcoming US non-farm payroll report could be a key catalyst; weaker-than-expected data could support a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, thereby boosting gold prices.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.