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Market News: Trump welcomed Netanyahu and expressed optimism about reaching an Israel-Hamas agreement "this week."On July 7, the 27th Senate election of the Japanese Diet was scheduled for voting on the 20th. The latest opinion poll conducted by Kyodo News from the 5th to the 6th showed that the opposition camp was more popular than the ruling coalition, and nearly half of the respondents hoped that the ruling coalition composed of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party would not achieve the goal of more than half of the seats. The Japanese Senate is responsible for legislative review and government supervision. It has 248 seats. The term of office of members is six years, and half of them are re-elected every three years. This election will focus on 125 seats. In addition to 74 constituency seats and 50 proportional representation seats, there is also 1 by-election seat. According to Japanese media, the results of this Senate election will determine the fate of Shigeru Ishibas cabinet. If the ruling coalition wins less than 50 seats, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba may resign or reorganize the ruling coalition.On July 7, Goldman Sachs said it expects the eight OPEC+ members to increase their oil production quotas by 550,000 barrels per day in September, thereby completely canceling the voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day. OPEC+ hopes to restore idle production capacity to normal as global oil demand shows resilience. Goldman Sachs said: "The decision to accelerate the pace of production increases announced on Saturday strengthens our confidence. We have pointed out since last summer that OPEC+ will shift to a more long-term balanced strategy, focusing on normalizing idle production capacity and market share, supporting internal cohesion, and strategically restricting US shale oil supply." Goldman Sachs expects that the crude oil production of the eight OPEC+ members will increase by 1.67 million barrels per day from March to September to 33.2 million barrels per day, of which Saudi Arabia accounts for more than 60% of the increase.Jianpeng Holdings (01722.HK) rose more than 105%.Both U.S. and Brent crude oil prices fell by more than 1% during the day, and are now trading at $64.93 per barrel and $67.2 per barrel respectively.

Despite caution, EUR/USD continues bids above 1.0250

Daniel Rogers

Aug 15, 2022 14:55

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After the US sent a delegation to Taiwan over the weekend, despite House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's contentious visit to the disputed island, which enraged Beijing, investors sought protection in government bonds and the dollar in the face of rising US-China threats.

 

Rates are also heavily influenced by the likelihood that the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) in September as a result of easing US inflation pressures, with all eyes on the FOMC minutes due out on Wednesday for new information on the direction the world's most potent central bank will take its policy.

 

Despite a decline in rates and a sluggish demand for riskier assets in early Asian trades, the US dollar is holding up well. The US dollar index is trading at 105.61, unchanged from its previous close of 105.88 on Friday. Despite Wall Street's stellar performance, a substantial dollar increase was caused by stronger US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data and a dimming US inflation forecast.

 

As the European energy crisis gets worse, the gains in the common currency on the EUR side of the equation are likely to remain small. Germany is already suffering the most as a result of a decrease in Russian gas exports, which is wreaking havoc on the old continent. The Rhine's ebbing waters, which make transport along the river more challenging, could cause a recession in Germany.

 

By the end of the week, the reference level was predicted to drop below 40 centimeters in Kaub, a notorious shipping bottleneck where the Rhine flows shallow and narrow. One of the most significant goods shipped on the waterway is coal.

 

On both sides of the Atlantic, Monday's economic calendar features few noteworthy data releases. As a result, the main currency pair will continue to be influenced by the current market sentiment and dollar price action.