• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
US non-farm payrolls data for May exceeded expectations, causing spot gold and silver prices to fall. A chart provides a quick overview of the pre-market conversion prices of gold and silver between domestic and international markets.June 5th - According to US media reports, US job growth in May exceeded all economists expectations, while the unemployment rate remained stable, further indicating that the labor market may be emerging from a prolonged period of weak hiring. Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed that non-farm payrolls increased by 172,000 in May, with the figures for the previous two months revised upwards. This brings the job growth over the past three months to its strongest level in more than two years. The report indicates that despite recent energy price increases causing consumer confidence to plummet to historic lows, the US labor market is strengthening again after job growth nearly stalled last year. This data may further increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider raising interest rates to curb inflation. Following the data release, US Treasury bonds experienced a sell-off, with the two-year Treasury yield rising more than 7 basis points to 4.1%. The interest rate swap market shows that the market has increased its expectations for a Fed rate hike, and the market is now almost fully pricing in the possibility of a 25 basis point rate hike before the end of the year.The market is now fully pricing in a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year.June 5th - The U.S. economy achieved strong job growth again in May, confirming that the labor market is regaining momentum after a slump last year and potentially giving the Federal Reserve more room to keep interest rates unchanged amid rising inflation triggered by the war with Iran. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 172,000 in May; the April increase was revised sharply upward to 179,000 from the previously reported 115,000. The May job growth continued the strong momentum of the previous two months. The unemployment rate remained at 4.3% for the third consecutive month. The improved job growth mainly reflects the still low level of layoffs. There are currently no signs that the Middle East conflict, leading to soaring oil prices and the prices of goods transported through the Strait of Hormuz, has had a substantial impact on the U.S. job market. Despite the strong job growth, the labor market remains in what economists call a "low hiring, low layoffs" equilibrium.June 5th - Analyst Anstey commented on the US non-farm payrolls: "We stated before the data release that recent data indicated a shift in the job market, and now thats undeniable. 2025 was a very poor year—averaging only 26,000 new jobs per month, compared to 117,000 in 2024—but the recovery in employment is evident. So far this year, the average monthly job gain has reached 79,000, with nearly 188,000 in the past three months alone, which is truly encouraging!"

Despite caution, EUR/USD continues bids above 1.0250

Daniel Rogers

Aug 15, 2022 14:55

 截屏2022-08-15 上午11.34.43.png

 

After the US sent a delegation to Taiwan over the weekend, despite House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's contentious visit to the disputed island, which enraged Beijing, investors sought protection in government bonds and the dollar in the face of rising US-China threats.

 

Rates are also heavily influenced by the likelihood that the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) in September as a result of easing US inflation pressures, with all eyes on the FOMC minutes due out on Wednesday for new information on the direction the world's most potent central bank will take its policy.

 

Despite a decline in rates and a sluggish demand for riskier assets in early Asian trades, the US dollar is holding up well. The US dollar index is trading at 105.61, unchanged from its previous close of 105.88 on Friday. Despite Wall Street's stellar performance, a substantial dollar increase was caused by stronger US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data and a dimming US inflation forecast.

 

As the European energy crisis gets worse, the gains in the common currency on the EUR side of the equation are likely to remain small. Germany is already suffering the most as a result of a decrease in Russian gas exports, which is wreaking havoc on the old continent. The Rhine's ebbing waters, which make transport along the river more challenging, could cause a recession in Germany.

 

By the end of the week, the reference level was predicted to drop below 40 centimeters in Kaub, a notorious shipping bottleneck where the Rhine flows shallow and narrow. One of the most significant goods shipped on the waterway is coal.

 

On both sides of the Atlantic, Monday's economic calendar features few noteworthy data releases. As a result, the main currency pair will continue to be influenced by the current market sentiment and dollar price action.