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The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 4 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 4 billion yuan. The interest rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.On September 11, it was reported that on the afternoon of September 10, Ling Ji, Vice Minister of Commerce and Deputy Representative for International Trade Negotiations, and Hilstad, State Secretary of the Norwegian Ministry of Industry, Commerce and Fisheries, co-chaired the 22nd meeting of the China-Norway Joint Committee on Economic Cooperation in Beijing. Ling Ji stated that in recent years, under the strategic guidance of the leaders of both countries, China-Norway economic and trade relations have continued to develop positively, with strong growth in bilateral trade and more diversified two-way investment. China welcomes Norways role as the guest of honor at the 2026 China International Fair for Trade in Services and is willing to strengthen cooperation in the service sector and deepen practical cooperation with Norway in areas such as green environmental protection, energy transition, shipbuilding, and maritime shipping. Both China and Norway firmly support free trade and market openness, welcome Norwegian companies to invest in China, and hope that Norway will create a fair, transparent, and non-discriminatory business environment for Chinese companies investing and operating in Norway.On September 11, local time, US President Trump stated on a Fox News program on September 10 that although the war against Iran might affect the upcoming US midterm elections, he does not regret launching the war. Trump said he "doesnt agree with the word regret," adding, "If I could do it all over again, I would do it exactly the same way." Trump also refuted speculation among some of his supporters that they were "dissatisfied and demoralized because of the war." He said, "I dont think theyre demoralized. I think theyre very proud because I didnt let Iran have nuclear weapons." Trump also reiterated that the war would end immediately after the midterm elections.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Overnight, London spot precious metals weakened significantly, falling 1.91%. COMEX December gold futures closed at $4358.5, down 1.99%. On one hand, the US August PPI was higher than expected, further raising expectations for a Fed rate hike in September, causing a sharp rise in US Treasury yields. On the other hand, the ECBs 25bp rate hike resonated with global tightening expectations, while crude oil prices surged, further shifting inflation expectations upward. Attention should be paid to tonights US CPI data, which could further exacerbate gold price volatility. 1. On the macro front, US August pending home sales fell 2% month-on-month, higher than the expected 1.6%, with the annualized rate dropping to 3.98 million units, the lowest level in over a year. At the current sales rate, existing inventory is equivalent to 4.9 months of supply, the highest in over a decade. More importantly, the US August PPI rose 5.4% year-on-year, higher than the market expectation of 5.3% and the previous value of 4.7%; core PPI rose to 4.6% year-on-year, the highest since June. 2. Regarding central banks, the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points yesterday, its second rate hike this year, and revised its inflation forecasts for the next two years. The market expects one more rate hike this year. Geopolitically, according to Wall Street News, the Houthi rebels seized a key Red Sea port, escalating the conflict with Saudi Arabia. Following the release of US PPI data, the probability of a Fed rate hike in September increased to over 70%, leading to another collective correction in precious metals. With the US August CPI data to be released today, caution is still advised.September 11th - The first International Space Summit concluded in Paris, France on the 10th local time. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated in Paris that the EU has proposed updated merger guidelines to support European aerospace giants in creating space joint ventures. She emphasized that European companies need to reach a certain size to invest and compete globally.

Despite caution, EUR/USD continues bids above 1.0250

Daniel Rogers

Aug 15, 2022 14:55

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After the US sent a delegation to Taiwan over the weekend, despite House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's contentious visit to the disputed island, which enraged Beijing, investors sought protection in government bonds and the dollar in the face of rising US-China threats.

 

Rates are also heavily influenced by the likelihood that the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) in September as a result of easing US inflation pressures, with all eyes on the FOMC minutes due out on Wednesday for new information on the direction the world's most potent central bank will take its policy.

 

Despite a decline in rates and a sluggish demand for riskier assets in early Asian trades, the US dollar is holding up well. The US dollar index is trading at 105.61, unchanged from its previous close of 105.88 on Friday. Despite Wall Street's stellar performance, a substantial dollar increase was caused by stronger US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data and a dimming US inflation forecast.

 

As the European energy crisis gets worse, the gains in the common currency on the EUR side of the equation are likely to remain small. Germany is already suffering the most as a result of a decrease in Russian gas exports, which is wreaking havoc on the old continent. The Rhine's ebbing waters, which make transport along the river more challenging, could cause a recession in Germany.

 

By the end of the week, the reference level was predicted to drop below 40 centimeters in Kaub, a notorious shipping bottleneck where the Rhine flows shallow and narrow. One of the most significant goods shipped on the waterway is coal.

 

On both sides of the Atlantic, Monday's economic calendar features few noteworthy data releases. As a result, the main currency pair will continue to be influenced by the current market sentiment and dollar price action.