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On June 17, Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," pointed out in the article that there is good reason to believe that if it were not for the risks to prices posed by tariffs, the Federal Reserve would be ready to cut interest rates this week due to the recent improvement in inflation. Instead, Federal Reserve officials are expected to extend their wait-and-see attitude on Wednesday. At this meeting, Federal Reserve officials will assess how the economy has responded to the record tariff increases of the past few months. Inflation data has been relatively mild in the past three months. However, officials are concerned that tariffs announced since March may disrupt what economists call "inflation expectations." The article expects that whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year and the extent of the cut will depend to a certain extent on how officials view the risks of inflation expectations.June 17, "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos: There is good reason to believe that if it were not for the risk posed by tariffs to prices, the Fed would be ready to cut interest rates this week because of the recent improvement in inflation. I think the past five years have changed peoples views on inflation and what might happen.On June 17, data from the International Energy Agency showed that Russias crude oil production fell by 100,000 barrels per day to 9.1 million barrels per day in May, and its exports of oil and petroleum products fell by 230,000 barrels per day to 7.3 million barrels per day. At the same time, due to lower global oil prices, total revenue fell by US$480 million to US$12.6 billion. In May, Russias oil export revenue reached the lowest level since February 2021, and its oil product revenue reached the lowest level since June 2023.Sources: US will oppose UN Aviation Councils green aviation fuel proposal.Russian government official: A decision (on the Siberia-2 gas pipeline) may be made this year.

Despite Falling Benchmark Yields and a Strengthening Dollar, Silver Prices Remained Stable

Drake Hampton

Apr 21, 2022 09:47

Silver prices fell Wednesday as the currency and benchmark rates gained in the face of mounting inflation fears. Benchmark yields have fallen several basis points as investors exit the bond market in response to mounting inflation fears and slowing economic growth.

 

Gold prices remained unchanged as benchmark yields fell in the face of hawkish monetary policy. Oil prices have recovered as a result of a supply constraint in the United States and a lack of supply from Russia and Libya. Reduced demand and rising inflation indicate that the economy will remain in stagflation.

 

Existing house sales decreased by 2.7 percent from March 2021 to 5.77 million seasonally adjusted yearly units. March house sales were down 4.5 percent from the previous month. The data were taken in January and February, just when mortgage rates began to climb, before exploding in March.

 

Prices are increasing as a result of the housing shortage, which increases the cost of dwellings. This condition makes it more difficult for homebuyers to obtain mortgages.

Technical Evaluation

Despite falling rates and the currency, silver prices remained stable, trading just above the $25 mark. Silver has been relatively stable as a result of the Fed's aggressive stance. The hawkish strategy could result in an increase in the currency and rates, as well as a downward trend for silver.

 

Support is located near the $24.89 50-day moving average. Resistance is located near the $25.30 10-day moving average. Short-term momentum shifted negative as the fast stochastic crossed below the zero line, signaling a sell signal.

 

The medium-term momentum is good, but the histogram prints favorably with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is in positive zone but is trending downward, reflecting the downward trend in price movement.

 

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