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Futures News, September 16th: Crude oil prices have recently been experiencing strong fluctuations. While the gains have been modest, a clear bottom line is evident. This is primarily due to geopolitical tensions, including Ukraines escalating attacks on oil facilities in a European country and the Polish drone issue. The return of a geopolitical premium has boosted bullish market sentiment. Zhuochuang Information predicts that this geopolitical escalation has led to an oil market premium, but negative fundamentals are weighing on oil prices. Saudi Arabias production increases and weak demand are both contributing to a buildup of crude oil inventories. Therefore, while oil prices may remain strong in the short term, they remain under pressure in the long term.On September 16th, Brazilian President Lula da Silva met with Didi founder and CEO Cheng Wei and executives from Didi and its subsidiary, 99. 99 announced an additional investment of R$2 billion (approximately RMB 2.6 billion) in its food delivery platform, 99Food, to be fully operational by June 2026. 99Food currently operates only in São Paulo and Goiânia, and this new round of investment will fuel rapid service expansion, with plans to cover 15 cities by the end of the year and 20 more by January 2026. Wang Simong, 99 Brazil General Manager, explained that R$50 million (approximately RMB 65 million) of the investment will be used to build support points for delivery drivers, providing rest areas, drinking water, and sanitation facilities. In addition, 99 will launch a R$6 billion (approximately RMB 7.8 billion) welfare support program, including credit support for delivery drivers to purchase and lease electric scooters and bicycles.Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato declined to comment on the factors behind the stock market fluctuations.Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato: Japan is committed to complying with WTO rules, but at the same time will consider taking measures to increase pressure on Russia and coordinate with the G7.Hong Kong-listed Fosun Pharmaceutical (01652.HK) saw an unusual rise, surging 400% at one point during the session before the increase narrowed to 355%. The share price is now trading at HK$1.55.

Deep Dive into Bitcoin’s Elliott Wave Count

Jimmy Khan

Mar 02, 2023 15:35

微信截图_20230302114650.png

Additional Fifth Wave?

We discovered using the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) for Bitcoin (BTC) two weeks ago that resistance is currently at $25.5K, in contrast to the more normal connection between the 5th wave and the first and third waves, which is frequently 0.618x the entire W-i+iii rise. 

Therefore, we can accept higher values and the achievement of our $27-28K goal zone as long as Bitcoin can maintain a price above $22.5K.


Bitcoin peaked at $25.3K the day after, exactly at the resistance, and fell to $22.8K over the weekend. Is the optimal goal of $27–28K still attainable—keep in mind that markets do not have to be perfect—then? Bitcoin is no exception to the trend of prolonged 5th waves in cryptocurrencies. In this scenario, as shown in Figure 1 below, the weekend drop represented a 62% retracement of the February rise.


As a result, we can set up in a beautiful green W-1, 2. We can allow for this configuration as long as the lows reached this weekend hold (thus, these lows can be used as a stop loss). To be confirmed, this option will need to break out above the February highs ($25,333) without falling below them. Then, we can anticipate a recovery that will, ideally, reach $31K+/-500.


The Bears are given a strong caution if Bitcoin descends below this weekend's low, which could lead to a drop to the red W-iv low. Below that, the possibility depicted in Figure 2 below becomes more probable.