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Futures News, December 31st: Asian diesel supply is ample while demand is weak, suggesting further downside potential for Singapore diesel prices in the short term. Domestic diesel demand is entering a seasonal decline, with a predominantly bearish sentiment. While domestic diesel prices are expected to fall further in the short term, high procurement costs will provide support, potentially limiting the decline compared to Singapore prices. Therefore, short-term diesel export arbitrage will likely remain low or even inverted.December 31st - In recent years, the central government has introduced numerous policies to reduce or adjust real estate taxes, covering three major taxes: deed tax, personal income tax, and value-added tax. According to calculations by the Shanghai E-House Real Estate Research Institute, the implementation of these tax reduction policies could reduce housing transactions nationwide by approximately 100 billion yuan annually. From the perspective of homebuyers and sellers, these tax reductions are not merely symbolic discounts of a few thousand yuan for ordinary families; they represent substantial cash relief ranging from 100,000 to 500,000 yuan. For homebuyers in first-tier cities looking to upgrade their homes, the tax reduction could even cover two to three years worth of living expenses.On December 31, the Shenzhen Branch of the Peoples Bank of China disclosed an administrative penalty notice, stating that Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank was warned and fined for violating account management regulations and financial statistics regulations. In response, a representative of Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank told the Securities Times that the administrative penalty notice was a result of the Shenzhen Branch of the Peoples Bank of Chinas handling of issues discovered during an inspection prior to November 2022. The bank took this matter very seriously, earnestly implemented all regulatory requirements, and optimized relevant processes and systems in 2023, completing the rectification. The bank has learned a profound lesson and will continue to strengthen internal control and compliance, regularly review processes and systems, adhere to the principles of compliant operation and prudent development, effectively prevent risks, and continuously improve its operational management level and service quality.According to the latest shareholding structure, the National Commercial Bank of the UAE has sufficient room for foreign ownership in the bank, allowing it to hold at least 51% of the shares.On December 31, the State Financial Regulatory Commission (SFC) revised the "Guidelines for Risk Management of Commercial Bank Merger and Acquisition Loans," resulting in the "Measures for the Management of Commercial Bank Merger and Acquisition Loans." An official from the relevant department of the SFC answered reporters questions on related issues. The official stated that merger and acquisition transactions are large-scale and time-sensitive, placing significant financial pressure on acquiring entities. To better meet the financing needs of merger and acquisition transactions, the "Measures," while introducing equity participation-type merger and acquisition loans, raise the upper limit of the proportion of controlling merger and acquisition loans in the transaction price from 60% to 70%, and extend the term from seven years to ten years, reasonably optimizing the conditions for merger and acquisition loans and providing financing convenience for merger and acquisition transactions.

Deep Dive into Bitcoin’s Elliott Wave Count

Jimmy Khan

Mar 02, 2023 15:35

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Additional Fifth Wave?

We discovered using the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) for Bitcoin (BTC) two weeks ago that resistance is currently at $25.5K, in contrast to the more normal connection between the 5th wave and the first and third waves, which is frequently 0.618x the entire W-i+iii rise. 

Therefore, we can accept higher values and the achievement of our $27-28K goal zone as long as Bitcoin can maintain a price above $22.5K.


Bitcoin peaked at $25.3K the day after, exactly at the resistance, and fell to $22.8K over the weekend. Is the optimal goal of $27–28K still attainable—keep in mind that markets do not have to be perfect—then? Bitcoin is no exception to the trend of prolonged 5th waves in cryptocurrencies. In this scenario, as shown in Figure 1 below, the weekend drop represented a 62% retracement of the February rise.


As a result, we can set up in a beautiful green W-1, 2. We can allow for this configuration as long as the lows reached this weekend hold (thus, these lows can be used as a stop loss). To be confirmed, this option will need to break out above the February highs ($25,333) without falling below them. Then, we can anticipate a recovery that will, ideally, reach $31K+/-500.


The Bears are given a strong caution if Bitcoin descends below this weekend's low, which could lead to a drop to the red W-iv low. Below that, the possibility depicted in Figure 2 below becomes more probable.