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On September 4, JPMorgan analyst Patrick Jones said that the Federal Reserves interest rate cuts that meet or exceed expectations should prompt further inflows into gold ETFs, pushing gold prices to around $3,675 per ounce by the end of the year. On this basis, gold prices should reach $4,000 in the second quarter of next year and are expected to soar to $4,250 by the end of 2026, especially if the Trump administrations attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook is successful.Mark Cabana, head of interest rate strategy at Bank of America, said the Fed is likely to cut interest rates to at least 3%. The market is underestimating the range of potential outcomes where the Fed could cut interest rates below 3%.On September 4th, Bocom International issued a report, raising its target price for NIO (09866.HK) in Hong Kong to HK$62.7 and maintaining a "buy" rating. NIOs revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was approximately RMB 19.01 billion, a 9% year-on-year increase and a 57.9% quarter-on-quarter increase. Automotive revenue was approximately RMB 16.3 billion, in line with market expectations. The company provided optimistic guidance for the third quarter, projecting deliveries of 87,000–91,000 vehicles and record-breaking revenue of RMB 21.8–22.9 billion, primarily driven by strong sales of the new L90. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, NIO aims to achieve combined monthly sales of approximately 50,000 vehicles for NIO and Ledao, with a combined gross profit margin of 17%–18%. The bank raised its 2025 sales forecast for NIO to 340,000 vehicles and revenue by 17.5% to RMB 99.5 billion, primarily reflecting strong sales expectations for the L90 and ES8. The market believes the focus will be on the sustainability of marginal improvements, whether cost reductions will meet market expectations, and whether the company will achieve profitability in the fourth quarter. The bank believes that the sales recovery will boost market confidence and be conducive to the subsequent release of new cars and subsequent financing.Didi Chuxing (02559.HK), a Hong Kong-listed company, rose nearly 14%. Didi Chuxing announced new business developments on its 11th anniversary: the number of registered users increased to 395 million, and the number of certified car owners exceeded 19.9 million.Hong Kong-listed auto dealers fell collectively, with Harmony Auto (03836.HK) down more than 13%, Zhongsheng Holdings (00881.HK) down more than 6%, and Yongda Automobile (03669.HK) down more than 3%.

Copper pricing remains firmer on anticipation for stimulus and weaker DXY

Daniel Rogers

Sep 06, 2022 15:16

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Reuters reported that the copper contract for three months on the London Metal Exchange (LME) increased 0.3% to $7,678 per tonne by 02:59 GMT, while the most-traded copper contract for October on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) rose 1.3% to 60,850 yuan ($8,773.45) per tonne.

 

In doing so, the red metal applauds the market's improved sentiment and hopes for additional support, particularly from China. The lower performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY) after it reached a 20-year high the day before is also encouraging for metal purchasers.

 

US 10-year Treasury yields jump 2.5 basis points (bps) to 3.21%, reflecting the sentiment, while S&P 500 Futures extend the week-start recovery to 3,943, up 0.50% intraday as of press time. In addition, market consolidation permitted the DXY to fall from the 20-year high to 109.37, prior to its current rebound to 109.62.

 

During a period of full markets, optimists appeared to have been supported by rumors of more aid packages to spur economic recovery. Nonetheless, the incoming British prime minister, Liz Truss, has a £130 billion energy plan in the works, while the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR). In addition, policymakers from Germany and the Eurozone are making a concerted effort to shield energy businesses and winter stocks from the effects of the recession.

 

China's tightening supply and Peru's falling output of the metal further support the price. "The premium of LME cash copper over the three-month contract surged to $77.50 per tonne on Monday, the biggest level since December 2021," reported Reuters, indicating a diminishing supply of immediately available material in LME warehouses. Copper production in Peru, the world's second-biggest copper producer, decreased 6.6% year-over-year to 195,234 tonnes in July, as two of the nation's top mines underperformed.