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Microsoft (MSFT.O) reported revenue of $82.9 billion for Q3 of fiscal year 2026, compared to $70.066 billion in the same period last year and market expectations of $81.36 billion.On April 30th, it was reported that Jerome Powells decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his term as Chairman ended is uncommon, but not unprecedented. Most modern Fed Chairs leave the Board after their terms expire. Powells predecessor, Janet Yellen, left the Fed in 2018 to join the Brookings Institution, and was subsequently appointed as Bidens Treasury Secretary in 2020. The only exception is Eccles, who served as Fed Chair from 1934 to 1948, and remained on the Board for another three years. Eccles played a key role in the clash with Truman over the extent of the White Houses power in setting interest rates, a confrontation that ultimately ensured the Feds modern independence. Powell has not shied away from addressing the political pressures facing the Fed during his tenure. He made it clear on Wednesday that his decision to remain was not due to any politicians verbal attacks, but rather a result of legal action against the Fed.April 30th - According to CMEs "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged by June is 98.6% (98.8% before the decision), and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.4% (1.2% before the decision). The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged by July is 96.5% (94.6% before the decision), and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.4% (5.4% before the decision). The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged by September is 96.1% (92.7% before the decision), and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.8% (7.2% before the decision).On April 30th, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that he would continue serving as a governor after his term as chairman ends in order to help stabilize the Fed before political pressure subsides. "I will stay as long as I feel it is appropriate to remain," Powell said at a press conference. He added, "I dont want to be some kind of high-profile dissident or anything like that."FOMC Statement: 1. Statement Overview: The benchmark interest rate was maintained at 3.50%-3.75%; Milan voted for a 25 basis point cut; Hammark, Kashkari, and Logan voted against the "dodging hints" in the policy statement, marking the largest number of dissenting votes at a meeting since October 1992. 2. Interest Rate Outlook: The potentially accommodative language was retained, indicating that the latest information will be carefully assessed when considering the magnitude and timing of "further" adjustments to interest rates. 3. Inflation Outlook: Inflation was described as "high," compared to "slightly high" in the previous statement, and the impact of global energy prices was noted. 4. Economic Outlook: Developments in the Middle East have increased uncertainty about the economic outlook. Job growth has been generally weak. Powells Press Conference: 1. Interest Rate Outlook: In a good position; the number of officials supporting a shift to a neutral bias has increased; a change in the current accommodative stance may be considered at the next meeting; no one is currently calling for a rate hike, and those who disagree with the accommodative stance are not inclined to raise rates; if a rate hike or cut is needed, signals will be sent and action taken; energy and tariff issues need to be observed before considering a rate cut. 2. Inflation Outlook: Inflation is high, with recent inflation expectations rising, partly reflecting rising energy prices; the surge in energy inflation has not yet peaked; the prospect of rising core inflation is realistic; core PCE inflation is projected at 3.2%; tariff inflation should slow this year. 3. Economic Outlook: Economic activity is expanding robustly, but events in the Middle East have increased uncertainty, making the economic outlook highly uncertain. Labor demand has weakened, while showing increasing signs of stabilization. 4. Retirement: After stepping down as chairman, he will continue to serve as a governor in a low-profile capacity for an undetermined period, and will leave the Fed at an appropriate time; he had intended to retire, but government actions left him with no other choice; he will not become a shadow chairman. 5. Market Reaction: From the release of the statement to the end of Powells speech, most asset classes saw minimal movement, with gold fluctuating by $35, 2-year Treasury bonds rising by 2 basis points, and interest rate futures pricing in a full-year rate cut at around 1.5 basis points.

Clients of crypto lender Celsius face long wait over fate of their funds

Jimmy Khan

Jul 18, 2022 14:31

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In June, Celsius stopped allowing withdrawals, citing "extreme market circumstances." This decision sent shockwaves across the cryptocurrency community and beyond, causing a $300 billion selloff in digital assets and cutting off millions of individual investors from their funds.


The New Jersey-based Celsius Network disclosed a massive $1.2 billion hole in its financial sheet this week when it filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in New York.


Customers should prepare for a rocky ride while they wait for some clarification over what will happen to their money, according to six attorneys who specialize in bankruptcy, restructuring, or cryptocurrency, who spoke to Reuters.


The Chapter 11 procedure is likely to be drawn out due to the lack of precedence for bankruptcy at significant crypto firms, the possibility of many lawsuits against Celsius, the difficulty of any reorganization, and other factors, according to the attorneys.


At the Ropes & Grey legal office in New York, Daniel Gwen warned that "this might go on for years." There will probably be a lot more litigation, in my opinion.

Requests for comments from Celsius went unanswered

In response to deposits of crypto assets, crypto lenders grew rapidly during the epidemic, luring retail clients with double-digit rates that were uncommon for regular banks to give.


On the other hand, businesses like Celsius profited from the discrepancy since institutional investors like hedge funds paid lenders higher rates to borrow the coins. Lenders also made riskier investments in 'decentralized' financial markets.

"THREE-DIMENSIONAL CHESS"

The riskier bets by lenders on wholesale crypto markets went sour when crypto markets crashed this year as increasing inflation rates triggered a flight to safer assets and two major tokens, terraUSD and luna, collapsed.


This month, smaller Singaporean lenders Vauld and Hong Kong-based Babel Finance also blocked withdrawals, along with American cryptocurrency lender Voyager Digital, which had suspended withdrawals and deposits.


Companies may create turnaround strategies while still operating in Chapter 11 bankruptcy.


Although notable crypto companies have collapsed in the past, most notably the Japanese exchange Mt. Gox in 2014, the handling of clients at troubled crypto lenders lacks precedence, according to the attorneys.


The treatment of cryptocurrency corporations under the bankruptcy law and bankruptcy courts is, at best, uncertain, according to James Van Horn, a partner at Barnes & Thornburg in Washington.


According to three attorneys, creditor committees established as part of bankruptcy proceedings would probably try to influence any reorganization plan chosen by Celsius. Even while the procedure is ongoing, creditors may file claims against the corporation.


Given the intricacy, developing a strategy to leave bankruptcy would likely take at least six months, said lawyer Stephen Gannon, partner at Davis Wright Tremaine. This game of chess will be played in three dimensions.


In general, Chapter 11 bankruptcies give secured creditors, unsecured creditors, and equity holders the highest priority for repayment.


Everything has been mixed, so (unsecured creditors) have no allocated rights to any money or anything else, according to Van Horn. "Unsecured creditors may get a very modest sum."

Being last on the list

This week, Celsius said that company has more than 100,000 creditors in court documents.


According to a filing on Thursday, as of July 13, it has around 23,000 unpaid retail loans totaling $411 million, secured by crypto assets worth $766 million.


Although Celsius revealed its top 50 lenders, it did not specify how they would be paid back, and many of its 1.7 million customers are private investors.


Martin Jabou, a 27-year-old Canadian resident of Hamilton, is one of them. Even while his crypto holdings are now worth less than half of what he invested in Celsius, they were once worth nearly $45,000.


Regarding any bankruptcy-related repayments, he predicted that "we're going to be last on the list." "With all of my other bills, I have no idea how I'm going to pay my rent or auto loan."


Lenders of cryptocurrency, like Celsius, behaved similarly to banks. However, when cryptocurrency platforms fail, there is no safety net for individuals like Jabou, unlike for traditional lenders.


Deposits up to $250,000 at U.S. institutions are covered by a government agency. Clients of broker-dealers are covered by a separate entity for up to $500,000 in cash and securities.


In both the European Union and Great Britain, there are similar deposit protection programs.


While it is unclear how Celsius would categorize its clients, the company did warn consumers that they may be treated as unsecured creditors, and clients are likely to sue over such a classification, according to Max Dilendorf, a New York attorney who specializes in cryptocurrency.


"To show why clients should be categorized as unsecured creditors will be a one-of-a-kind scenario," he added.