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On February 14, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, attended the Munich Security Conference and delivered a speech and answered questions at the "China Session." When asked about Chinas role in resolving regional conflicts, particularly the Ukraine issue, Wang Yi stated that Chinas position is clear: all regional hotspots should seek political solutions through dialogue and consultation, and the same applies to the Ukraine issue. However, China is not a party to the conflict, and the decision-making power is not in Chinas hands. What we can do is to promote peace talks. We have dispatched special envoys to mediate and, through various channels, emphasized to all parties that a ceasefire should be implemented as soon as possible, and that everyone should return to the negotiating table.On February 14, 2026, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, attended the Munich Security Conference, delivered a speech at the "China Session," and answered questions from the audience. Wang Yi emphasized that the erroneous remarks by Japanese leaders on the Taiwan issue exposed Japans undying ambition to invade and colonize Taiwan and the lingering specter of reviving militarism. Japan launched its invasion of China and attacked Pearl Harbor under the pretext of a so-called "crisis and existential crisis." The lessons of history are still fresh and must be heeded. If Japan does not repent, it will inevitably repeat the same mistakes. Good people should be vigilant. First and foremost, the Japanese people must be reminded not to be blinded and coerced by far-right forces and extremist ideologies again. All peace-loving countries should also warn Japan: if it chooses to go back to its old ways, it will only lead to its own destruction.Joint statement from the UK, Switzerland, France, Germany, and the Netherlands: We and our partners will use all policy tools at our disposal to continue to hold Russia accountable.Joint statement from the UK, Switzerland, France, Germany, and the Netherlands: We further express our concern that Russia has not destroyed all of its chemical weapons.The United Kingdom, Sweden, France, Germany, and the Netherlands issued a joint statement regarding the death of Alexei Navalny.

Can the S&P 500 Still Reach 4300?

Steven Zhao

Mar 01, 2023 15:55


The Revision was carried on

Using the Elliott Wave Principle over several weeks, we were able to effectively monitor the highs and lows of the S&P 500 (SPX) (EWP). As a result, we discovered in our most recent update from two weeks ago that, "Thus, unless the SPX falls below Friday's bottom at $4060, we see no reason not to anticipate $4260-4295. Sorry there was no update last week, as I was on a vacation. The gauge will then likely retrace for several weeks before making a recovery to the optimal price of $4395+/-25.


Sadly, the $4060 low, which might have served as a stop loss, did not hold, and the index fell further until it reached a bottom of $3943 last Friday. Therefore, even though the EWP can be used to make many accurate predictions, nobody can always anticipate everything. Because of this, all we can do is "predict, watch, and modify as needed". We expected $4060 to remain stable. We kept an eye on it and discovered that it did not, so we adjusted our initial projections to the EWP figure depicted in Figure 1 below. So let me clarify.

When support fails, an alternative EWP option emerges

The recovery from the December bottom was not a five-wave impulse structure based on the standard Fibonacci sequence (SFFIS). Quite the opposite. When we expect a fifth surge higher, the market falters and falls short, just like all rises we've seen since 2022. As a result, we continue to work with (possible) a-b-c structures, which are much less trustworthy than the SFFIS. Welcome to Super Cycle IV, the fourth cycle in this instance. In addition, an SFFIS is frequently present if we anticipate a C-wave recovery off the December bottom.


However, the rise can only be classified as five waves if the latest "sell-off," which has been rather orderly and overlapping, is classified as an Expanding Ending Diagonal (EED) C-wave. However, because they frequently travel in contiguous a-b-c patterns and do not have as precise (Fib-based) principles as an SFFIS, diagonals are unstable. An ED can basically do whatever it wishes as long as W-3 is not the smallest and W-4 does not extend below the commencement of W-3, which is the conclusion of W-2. The EWP regulations for the EED are shown in Figure 1 above.


Thus, regrettably, with last week's extended slide into the lower end of support, we are left with two less-than-ideal tallies since the December lows: an EED vs. a bigger a-b-c. To see an alternative a-b-c, refer to figure 2 below. Both EWP numbers are far from optimal and have their problems. Sadly, this makes it challenging to express a high level of trust in regard to our main anticipation.


Not my problem. Simply put, that is the setting we are in. For additional hints to determine the likelihood of each option, we at Intelligent Investing also inform our Premium Members on a variety of other signs and plots, such as market width, trends, and mood.

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