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Before the Fed and BoJ adopt interest rate policy, the USD/JPY exchange rate is normal

Daniel Rogers

Sep 21, 2022 14:39

 截屏2022-09-21 上午10.10.04.png

 

Attempts to push the USD/JPY rate above the 144.00 psychological barrier have met with opposition. The goal of the effort was to break over the long-term trading range of 142.55 to 143.80 to the upside. The duo has retreated into the woods after its breakout attempt failed, and it is expected to do poorly going forward.

 

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is the likely event for Wednesday (Fed). The Federal Reserve is widely expected to undertake a third consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points (bps). The retail sector is doing well, and the labor market is tighter than anyone expected, so the Federal Reserve still has a lot of room to raise interest rates. Therefore, bets on a 1% rate hike are rising and could pay well.

 

Inflation, interest rate peak, and economic growth projections will also be tracked. All possible actions by the Fed have been priced out of the market. In the wake of the Fed's meeting, investors will get ready to take bolder steps.

 

The chance of a policy adjustment from the Bank of Japan has increased as the nation's Consumer Price Index (CPI) has improved (BOJ). Statistics Bureau of Japan published a national CPI of 3%, which is above both expectations and the prior release of 2.6%. The core CPI, which does not include food or energy prices, has also gone up, to 1.6% from 1.2%, but is still less than the predicted 1.7%.