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August 30th - A press conference on the "8.26" mudslide disaster in Gyirong, Tibet, was held today (August 30th) in Gyirong Town. On the morning of August 26th, a mudslide on the Nepalese side caused significant casualties and missing persons at the Gyirong Port in Gyirong County, Shigatse City, Tibet. Analysis indicates that the most prominent risk hindering the disaster response was the landslide dam located above the core area of the border crossing. The dam has already overflowed and is currently in stable condition, with a low probability of a complete collapse.On August 30th, a press conference was held in Gyirong Town, Tibet, regarding the "8.26" mudslide disaster. On the morning of August 26th, a mudslide occurred on the Nepalese side, causing significant casualties and missing persons at the Gyirong Port in Gyirong County, Shigatse City, Tibet. The conference explained that this disaster was caused by glacial instability due to long-term climate warming. The disaster was sudden, with a large peak flow, rapid movement, strong destructive power, and a wide impact area, representing a new and significant characteristic of cryosphere disasters in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and surrounding areas. Monitoring revealed that the ice avalanche took only about 6 to 7 minutes from its occurrence to its impact on the Gyirong Port in my country.On August 30, it was learned from a press conference held by the Information Office of the Peoples Government of Tibet Autonomous Region that, through a joint comprehensive search and comparison of clues conducted by multiple departments including foreign affairs, public security, culture and tourism, and emergency response, 261 missing foreign nationals have been identified in the investigation of the Gyirong landslide disaster in Tibet. These individuals come from 23 countries: Kazakhstan (1), Malaysia (3), Nepal (104), India (49), South Africa (4), Ireland (2), Estonia (2), Germany (3), Russia (3), France (2), Finland (1), Netherlands (2), Latvia (33), Lithuania (1), Portugal (1), Ukraine (1), Spain (1), Hungary (1), United Kingdom (15), Canada (6), United States (18), Australia (6), and New Zealand (2). The Chinese side has notified the relevant embassies and consulates in China.According to Icelandic Broadcasting Corporation: Partial results of Icelands referendum on restarting EU accession negotiations show that the "yes" vote is leading by a narrow margin.On August 30th, it was learned from a press conference held by the Information Office of the Peoples Government of Tibet Autonomous Region that the cause of the mudslide disaster in Tibet has been determined. The Cryosphere Emergency Disaster Reduction Team of the Chengdu Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, through analysis of remote sensing monitoring data and on-site feedback data, combined with field surveys and visits, concluded that: at approximately 10:52 AM Beijing time on August 26th, a glacier on the southern slope of Mount Lamtang in Nepal broke off at an altitude of approximately 5200 meters, causing an ice-rock collapse. The debris flow rapidly fell from a high altitude to approximately 4000 meters, eroding the mountain and forming a giant mudslide. After traveling at high speed for approximately 22 kilometers, it reached the Gyirong Port in China at an altitude of approximately 1800 meters, resulting in the razing of approximately 0.7 square kilometers and 27 buildings and related facilities in the area.

As the Fed confirms the disinflationary process, the USD/CAD exchange rate may fall to 1.3250

Alina Haynes

Feb 02, 2023 16:05

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The USD/CAD pair resumed its two-day losing run after slipping below 1.3270 in Asia. Following two days of declining US inflation, the Canadian dollar fell on Wednesday.

 

The US Manufacturing PMI (Jan) dropped for a third consecutive month to 47.4, below the consensus estimate of 48.0 and the prior reading of 48.4. The Index of New Orders for Manufactured Goods, which indicates future demand, decreased to 42.5 from 46.1 and 45.1. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated in his comments that consumer spending has slowed significantly and that the central bank will now focus on labor cost balance. The US Employment Cost Index (Q4) fell by 1%.

 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have decreased for three consecutive months, while economic activity and consumer spending have slowed, signaling deflation. Powell stated, "Can now for the first time announce, 'The disinflationary process has begun.'"

 

The market participants' risk appetite has raised the demand for risky assets. After a solid performance on Wednesday, S&P500 futures increased in the Asian morning. The US Dollar Index (DXY) found limits following a decline to about 100.80 amid risk-on market mood. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries has surpassed 3.41 percent.

 

Monthly GDP (Nov) data for the Canadian dollar were 0.1%, above the consensus forecast of flat. Since the Bank of Canada (BoC) ceased policy tightening after increasing interest rates to 4.50 percent, the Canadian economy has not declined on a monthly basis.

 

After plunging to nearly $76, the price of oil is recovering. Black gold dipped on Wednesday after the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported 4.14 million oil inventories for the week ending January 27. Because Canada is a major oil exporter to the United States, lower oil prices influence the Canadian Dollar.