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Federal Reserves Schmid: Leverage levels in technology investments are worth discussing.Japans final composite PMI for July was 52.7, compared to 53.1 in the previous month.Japans final services PMI for July was 51.2, down from 51.9 in the previous month.On August 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Schmid stated, “Our inflation problem isn’t just about energy. Energy-excluding inflation remains well above 2%, revealing an underlying trend in the data. This trend is not favorable for us. For the six months prior to June, monthly energy-excluding inflation consistently rose above the level needed to achieve our inflation target. Over the past 12 months, energy-excluding inflation has been 3.2%, about 0.5 percentage points higher than in June of last year. Inflation has been persistently excessive across a broad and expanding range of goods and services. Many factors are driving inflation. Reading economic commentary reveals that recent focus has been on supply shocks. These shocks include negative supply factors related to shipping disruptions, oil, and tariffs, all of which have pushed up prices. I am quite cautious about this commentary and oppose the tendency to attribute our inflation problem solely to supply shocks. While supply is indeed a problem for some commodities, inflation is always the result of the combined effects of supply and demand, and the balance between them.”On August 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Schmid stated, "When examining the economy, my focus is entirely on inflation, which remains excessively high. The Fed defines price stability as an inflation rate of 2%. Why 2%? Because this level seems just right, not having a substantial impact on the day-to-day decisions of households and businesses. However, while the latest inflation data for June showed encouraging signs of a slowdown, it is too early to rely too heavily on a single data point relative to recent trends. Volatile oil prices both pushed up inflation in the previous months and played a significant role in the June pullback. With oil prices rising again, it remains uncertain whether any relief on the energy front will be sustainable."

As Eurozone Core Inflation Appears Persistent, EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Aims To Climb Above 141.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 27, 2023 14:41

 EUR:JPY.png

 

During the Tokyo session, the EUR/JPY pair is meeting resistance close to 141.00. As the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares for additional rate hikes in the near future, the cross is struggling to extend its recovery above the aforementioned resistance. However, the upside seems probable.

 

Isabel Schnabel, a member of the ECB's Executive Board, stated that nominal inflation has begun to fall while fundamental inflation persists. To achieve the intended level of inflation, the ECB would require immense fortitude; consequently, additional rate hikes cannot be ruled out.

 

The significance of Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's speech on Tuesday will be significant for the Japanese Yen. This will shed light on the likely path of monetary policy action.

 

The EUR/JPY currency pair has rebounded firmly from the horizontal support formed by the Bearish Megaphone pattern on the two-hour time frame. The horizontal support of the chart pattern is the March 16 low of 139.13, while the upward trendline is drawn at 141.58. After the breakdown of critical support, a bearish megaphone pattern is usually accompanied by extreme vulnerability.

 

The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 141.00 represents a point of resistance for Eurozone investors.

 

The Relative Strength Index (14) has shifted from the bearish range of 20.00-40.00 to the bullish range of 40.00-60.00, indicating a temporary reversal.

 

Should the asset surpass the March 21 peak of 142.79, Euro bulls would drive the cross toward the March 9 low around 144.00 and then the March 15 peak of 145.00.

 

In contrast, a break below the low of 139.13 on March 16 would send the cross toward the low of 138.00 on January 19. A decline below this level would expose the asset to a 26 September 2022 low of approximately 137.36.