EUR/USD 1.16000
0.039%
Gold 4220.14
1.519%
Oil 59.392
0.687%
USD/JPY 156.145
-0.098%
GBP/USD 1.32418
0.018%
GBP/JPY 206.766
-0.068%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet with French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris on Monday.On November 29, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced that it had designated a suburb of Bethlehem in the West Bank as a "closed military zone." This followed a violent attack by Israeli settlers that injured several Palestinians. The IDF stated that it received reports of "violent clashes" between Israelis and Palestinians, with both sides throwing stones at each other, and reports of gunfire directed at Palestinians. IDF troops and police were deployed to the scene, using riot control to disperse the crowd and declaring the area a "closed military zone." Several Israelis were injured in the incident but refused medical treatment. Israeli police have launched an investigation.Kuwait Aviation Authority: Kuwait Airways has completed all technical system updates for its Airbus A320 aircraft.On November 29th, the Wall Street Journal reported that last month in Miami Beach, three powerful businessmen—two Americans and one Russian—huddled around a laptop, ostensibly to draft a plan to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. But according to sources, their project extended far beyond that. Privately, they were devising a path to reintegrate Russias $2 trillion economy into the international arena and allow American companies to reap the benefits before their European competitors. In the mansion, billionaire developer and current U.S. envoy, Witkov, was hosting Dmitriev, head of Russias sovereign wealth fund and Putins handpicked negotiator. Dmitriev practically dominated the drafting and revision of the document on the screen. Trumps son-in-law, Kushner, also arrived from his residence. Dmitrievs plan involved American companies utilizing approximately $300 billion in Russian central bank assets frozen in Europe for joint U.S.-Russian investment projects and a U.S.-led reconstruction effort in Ukraine. American and Russian companies could also collaborate on developing the Arctics rich mineral resources.American Airlines: As of 7 a.m. Central Time, the team has made significant progress in resolving the Airbus software issue, with 4 of the 209 affected aircraft still awaiting the update.

After A Fed Rise, The U.S. Banks Stress Index Might Deteriorate

Aria Thomas

Jun 17, 2022 11:09

14.png


An indicator of credit risk in the U.S. banking sector may be exhibiting symptoms of strain as the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate rise path heightens economic pain forecasts.


According to Refinitiv data, the so-called FRA-OIS spread, which measures the difference between the U.S. three-month forward rate agreement and the overnight index swap rate, jumped to 29.50 basis points on Thursday, its widest level since May 23. The value was -11.66 basis points earlier in the week.


Widely regarded as a barometer for banking sector risk, a wider spread indicates that interbank lending risk has increased.


The recent increase in the margin between forward rate agreements and overnight index swap rates is worrisome, according to J.P. Morgan Asset Management global market analyst Jordan Jackson. "As the Fed becomes more hawkish, recession fears increase, hence boosting the underlying credit risk."


The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday, its largest rise since 1994. Markets have been rocked by the prospect of more dramatic tightening, and fears of a future recession have intensified.


This month, the central bank also started letting bonds to expire off its more than $8 trillion balance sheet without replacing them, a procedure known as quantitative tightening that Jackson warned may possibly deplete the financial system's liquidity.


As the world's biggest holder of U.S. government debt lowers its market presence, this sentiment is shared by other investors who are concerned that market conditions may deteriorate.


"Now that quantitative tightening has formally begun, reserve draining has been rather steady over the last several months," Jackson said, adding that he expects the FRA-OIS disparity to become much wider.


Wall Street also perceives an increase in the likelihood of default by large banks.


On Thursday, credit default swap (CDS) spreads for JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), and Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) were nearing two-year highs.


Suggestion