EUR/USD
1.13937
-0.242%
Gold
4023.99
0.413%
Oil
68.940
-1.361%
USD/JPY
162.688
0.078%
GBP/USD
1.32457
-0.107%
GBP/JPY
215.497
-0.028%
Real-time News
July 1st - The World Gold Council released its "2026 Global Gold Market Mid-Year Outlook" today. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, the gold valuation framework indicates that gold will continue to serve as a barometer of the global macroeconomy, with three main possible scenarios. At current price levels, gold prices are largely in line with market consensus: the market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at least once in 2026, most likely in October; the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and the European Central Bank will all tighten policy; and US inflation is expected to peak in the second quarter, approaching 3.9%. If these conditions remain largely unchanged, gold prices may trade around $4,100/ounce this year, with a fluctuation range of approximately ±5%. If geopolitical or economic conditions deteriorate, or interest rate expectations shift, gold is expected to resume its upward trend; however, only sufficiently strong signals of a global economic slowdown could drive gold prices to break upwards. On the downside, a stronger dollar, larger-than-expected interest rate hikes, and a recovery in market risk appetite are the main obstacles to gold prices; if gold prices remain below $4,000/ounce, it could trigger further selling. However, based on historical performance, if gold prices fall by more than 10% from current levels, it could trigger "buy the dip" demand from long-term investors in multiple regions.White House National Economic Council Director Hassett: Raising interest rates would be a mistake.UK Maritime Trade Organization: A tanker reported that a small vessel approached it from its port aft side at a distance of 2 nautical miles. The crew is safe and the vessel is continuing its voyage.Ukrainian President Zelensky: I hope that during Irelands EU presidency, I can open up all areas of discussion in the negotiations for Ukraines accession to the EU.British Prime Minister Starmer: The £1 billion annual funding gap in defense spending has been covered by budget "spare space".
