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Japans December trade balance will be released in ten minutes.February 9th - Data released on Monday showed that Japans real wages contracted for the 12th consecutive month in December, as nominal wage growth lagged slightly behind slowing consumer inflation. Following the Bank of Japans 25 basis point rate hike to 0.75% in December, wage trends have become one of the most important indicators for deciding the timing of the next rate hike. As a key indicator of consumer purchasing power, inflation-adjusted real wages fell 0.1% year-on-year in December. This continues the contraction that began in January 2025, although the decline has narrowed to its lowest level since the start of this contraction cycle. Full-year data released on Monday showed that Japans real wages will fall by 1.3% in 2025. This marks the fourth consecutive year of contraction in real annual wages since consumer inflation began exceeding the Bank of Japans 2% target in 2022.Japans overtime pay rose 0.9% year-on-year in December, compared with 1.2% in the previous month.Japans December labor cash income rose 2.4% year-on-year, below the expected 3.20% and the previous figure revised from 0.50% to 1.70%.Monday: ① Data: Japans December trade balance, Switzerlands January consumer confidence index, and the Eurozones February Sentix investor confidence index. ② Events: The ASEAN Finance Ministers and Central Bank Deputy Working Group meeting will be held until February 13th. Tuesday: ① Data: US January New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations, January NFIB small business confidence index, December retail sales month-on-month, Q4 labor cost index quarter-on-quarter, December import price index month-on-month, November business inventories month-on-month; Frances Q4 ILO unemployment rate; Chinas January M2 money supply year-on-year rate (pending). ② Events: ECB President Lagarde will participate in discussions. Fed Governors Waller and Bostic will deliver speeches. The New York Fed will release its Q4 2025 household debt and credit report. ③ Earnings Reports: Hong Kong Stocks – SMIC. US Stocks – BP, Spotify, Coca-Cola, AstraZeneca, Robinhood, Ford Motor. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending February 6, EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending February 6; US January unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, average hourly earnings month-on-month, final reading of the 2025 non-farm payrolls benchmark change; China January CPI year-on-year rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report. Feds Hamak and Logan deliver speeches. OPEC releases monthly oil market report. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will meet with Trump on Wednesday to discuss the Iran issue. ③ Holiday: Tokyo Stock Exchange closed. ④ Earnings Reports: Hong Kong stocks – NetEase, Cloud Music. US stocks – T-Mobile US, NetEase Youdao, Cisco, McDonalds. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (ending February 11); UK Q4 GDP annualized rate (preliminary), December three-month GDP monthly rate, December manufacturing output monthly rate, December seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, December industrial production monthly rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending February 7, January existing home sales (annualized), EIA natural gas storage for the week ending February 6. ② Events: Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes. IEA releases monthly oil market report. ECB Executive Board members Schnabel, Cipolone, Chief Economist Lane, and Governing Council member Stournaras deliver speeches. ③ Holiday: No trading on the Taiwan Stock Exchange. ④ Earnings Reports: Hong Kong stocks – Hua Hong Semiconductor, Lenovo Group. US stocks – Rivian, Coinbase, Applied Materials, Airbnb. Friday: ① Data: Swiss January CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone Q4 GDP annual rate revision, Eurozone Q4 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter final value, Eurozone December seasonally adjusted trade balance; US January unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate, seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate. ② Events: Federal Reserve Chairman Logan and Federal Reserve Governor Milan attend events. Chinas National Bureau of Statistics releases monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities. The Central Bank of Russia announces its interest rate decision. Bank of Japan policy board member Naoki Tamura delivers a speech. ③ Holiday: No market trading on the Taiwan Stock Exchange, no night trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and Dalian Commodity Exchange. ④ Earnings Report: US stocks – Moderna. Saturday: ① Data: US total oil rig count for the week ending February 13; CFTC releases weekly positioning report.

Why Micron Stock May Be a Good Bet in 2022, Outperform Broader Semis

Teddy Fairbank

Dec 21, 2021 15:22

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Micron is experiencing an increase in demand for memory chips due to cloud computing business and the quick adoption of 5G cellular networks. Development is driven by high-value options, consumer engagement and expense structure improvement.

 

" We believe Micron Technology (MU) must outshine more comprehensive semis in 2022 based on 1) a notable reduction in consumer DRAM stock levels throughout server, PC and mobile markets; 2) more logical DRAM wafer capacity development in 2022 than 2021; and 3) strong take advantage of to growing DRAM content in AI/ML servers, ADAS and EV automobiles, and 5G Android smart devices. We are increasing our price target from $80 to $99," noted Karl Ackerman.

 

Later today, the world's leading semiconductor manufacturer is expected to report its financial first-quarter profits of $2.01 per share, representing year-over-year development of more than 155% from $0.78 per share seen in the very same quarter a year ago.

 

The Boise Idaho-based semiconductor business is anticipated to publish revenue growth of over 30% to around $7.7 billion from a year earlier. In the last two years, the company has actually constantly topped expectations on profits per share.

 

However, for the financial Q1 guidance, the world's leading semiconductor producer forecast profits of $7.65 billion, plus or minus $200 million, missing the Wall Street agreement of $8.57 billion. In addition, the business predicted adjusted earnings per share of $2.10, plus or minus 10 cents, missing expectations of $2.33.

 

The company, which provides components for Apple, has actually been impacted by short-term supply problems in its own supply chain. Power interruptions in China have affected the supply chains for other tech companies as well.

 

" Micron's revenues are much larger than that of Texas Instruments Incorporated (TI), however the latter has a greater EBIT margin and a much better cash cushion. Our contrast of the post-Covid recovery above, reveals that Micron has been carrying out better than TI lately. Offered Micron's P/S ratio of around 3x, compared to TI's 10x, our company believe that this space could close. We think that Micron stock is currently a much better bet compared to Texas Instruments stock," stated analysts at TREFIS in its December 16 note.

 

Micron Technology stock soared over 10% up until now this year. It traded 1.27% lower at 81.95 in pre-market trading on Monday. 

Expert Comments

" While the underlying demand trends are strong and manufacturer inventory levels are low heading into a duration of seasonal strength, there are some signs of stock modifications short term after customers-built inventory," kept in mind Joseph Moore.

 

" We see need growth on the back of seasonality, memory elasticity/higher content per unit, and low consumer inventories, and really slow supply development in DRAM offered decreases in capex. We continue to believe that memory stocks have a relatively distinct profits cycle, though highs and lows are most likely to be much better than they have actually been traditionally."

Micron Technology Stock Price Forecast

Twenty-two experts who provided stock ratings for Micron Technology in the last three months forecast the average price in 12 months of $99.18 with a high forecast of $165.00 and a low forecast of $58.00.

 

The average price target represents a 19.49% modification from the last price of $83.00. Of those 22 analysts, 16 ranked "Buy", five rated "Hold" while one ranked "Sell", according to Tipranks.

 

Morgan Stanley provided the base target price of $75 with a high of $120 under a bull circumstance and $40 under the worst-case circumstance. The firm offered an "Equal-weight" ranking on the semiconductor's stock.

 

Several other analysts have likewise updated their stock outlook. UBS raised the target price to $99 from $90. Cowen and company raised the price objective to $99 from $80. Mizuho upped the price target to $95 from $75.

 

Technical analysis recommends it is great to purchase now as 100-day Moving Average and 20-200-day MACD Oscillator indicates a purchasing opportunity.