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On March 18th, Futures News reported that new energy vehicle sales reached 765,000 units in February, with a market penetration rate of 42.38%, a 2 percentage point increase month-on-month. According to data models from Zhuochuang Information, new energy vehicles substituted 3.75 million tons of gasoline in China in February, representing a substitution rate of 23.6%. Although the Spring Festival holiday boosted gasoline demand, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles remained consistently high. While purchase tax policies and other factors dampened consumer enthusiasm, the economic advantages of new energy vehicles are evident, and their market penetration rate is expected to continue to rise, further increasing their substitution rate for gasoline consumption.In an interview with Al Jazeera, Irans Foreign Minister stated that the new agreement will ensure safe passage under "specific conditions" and based on the interests of Iran and the region.1. Morgan Stanley: Powell may choose to ignore energy-driven inflation, posing a downside risk to the dollar. 2. Rabobank: With no signs of easing in the Middle East conflict, the dollar may still have room to strengthen further. 3. ANZ: The dollar has rebounded due to its safe-haven status, but this strength may be temporary as the currency remains overvalued. 4. TS Lombard: Believes the dollar is unlikely to see sustained appreciation at present, and will face further downward pressure in the next 3 to 6 months. 5. TD Securities: Remains committed to a weaker dollar forecast for 2026, citing waning US economic growth advantages, diminished safe-haven appeal, and a further intensification of "hedge against the US" trades. 6. HSBC: In the baseline scenario, if geopolitical premiums subside and the market returns to macroeconomic fundamentals, the dollar will resume its previous weakening trend. However, if energy inflation forces the Fed to return to a rate hike path, the dollar will experience an unexpected surge. 7. DBS Bank: Unless the Middle East conflict triggers an extremely severe long-term inflationary spiral and forces the market to completely erase expectations of two rate cuts in 2026, the US dollar will lack the unilateral upward momentum driven by the aggressive rate hike wave of 2022. March 18th - SMBC Nikko Securities economists stated that Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is expected to avoid committing to a specific timetable for interest rate hikes at Thursdays press conference. However, if the summary of opinions from this meeting, to be released on March 30th, shows policymakers support further tightening, investors may further price in the possibility of an April rate hike. The market considers a 1% policy rate (currently 0.75%) to be still accommodative for the Bank of Japan, therefore, even a deterioration in the Middle East and increased global risk aversion are unlikely to prevent an April rate hike.Italian oil company Eni: The Gendallo and Gandang projects are expected to start production in 2028. Eni will achieve a stable peak production of 2 billion cubic feet per day for natural gas and 90,000 barrels per day for condensate by 2029.

Whales and Hodlers: How Holding on to BTC Could See You Through a Crypto Winter

Skylar Shaw

Jul 11, 2022 15:10

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Trading Bitcoin (BTC) is not for the timid, since cryptocurrencies are known for their extreme swings and volatility.


Since the cryptocurrency market has exploded and bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have skyrocketed to record highs by 2022, a number of trading techniques have tried to address two unknowns.


The crucial issue is when and at what price bitcoin will reach its peak. According to very strong predictions, bitcoin might increase to $1 million.


Top1markets investigated the direction of the bitcoin price until 2025 in June. There were many forecasts made in the Top1markets study. Most noteworthy was a $179,280 forecast for 2025.

The benefits and drawbacks of buy-and-hold vs vol trading strategies

Buy-and-hold is a typical investing strategy used by investors. Simply expressed, a buy-and-hold strategy is one in which investors maintain their investment position over an extended period of time. Investors will disregard economic shocks, market instabilities, and other variables affecting movement across asset classes.

Investors make a trade in this scenario anticipating a long-term rising trend

Using bitcoin as an example, an investor who purchased it in 2017 would have been inclined to cash out at the price peak of $19,871 in December of that year. At a peak of $29,302, others may have been persuaded to cash out in December 2020.


More committed investors who had a firm conviction that bitcoin may soar to soaring heights of $200,000 would have stayed in until the all-time high of $68,979 in November 2021.


There were several accounts of bitcoin investors tripling their money in the early days of the currency. The return on a buy-and-hold investment from a low of $740 in January 2017 to the present value of $21,593 is 2,800 percent.


Hodlers are in it for the long haul as opposed to jittery investors who might have cashed out at any one of the price increases. Some of these investors are referred to in the market as Bitcoin Whales.

In contrast, day trading or high-frequency trading in bitcoin takes advantage of market turbulence. Algorithm-driven intra-minute trading and intraday trading, which may comprise 20–30 transactions per day, are two examples of trading frequency.


Even though traders may earn substantial profits, sudden changes might destroy whole asset pools.

The trick is figuring out where people enter and leave. In addition to doing technical analysis, traders must continuously follow the cryptocurrency news wires.


A 24-hour market also eliminates the possibility of holding holdings overnight without taking a significant loss.

Conviction is Needed When Selecting an Investment Strategy

Both approaches have advantages and disadvantages. Volatility trading would be the best option for traders who don't believe the absurd bitcoin estimates.


The buy-and-hold approach, however, could be a better match for individuals who are confident in a continuing upward trend and can handle the highs and lows of the cryptocurrency market. Here, buyers may increase their purchases during price falls, much as Bitcoin Whales have done during this crypto winter and earlier downturns in price.


The belief that the rising trend would continue is supported by Bitcoin Whales

Hodlers of Bitcoin Include Listed Companies and Nations

There has been a noticeable change in the investment base for bitcoin recently. Bitcoin is no longer seen as a surefire investment, but rather as a class of assets that should be held.


Despite considerable price fluctuation, a few of well-known blue-chip firms have bitcoin on their balance sheets.


Block Inc., Tesla (TSLA), and MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) are notable corporations that possess bitcoin (SQ).


Companies possessed around 1.6 million bitcoin, or 8% of the supply, according to a NASDAQ story from August 2021. With 129,218 bitcoin on its balance sheet, or $2.8 billion at the current bitcoin price of $21,637, Microstrategy Inc. is the biggest bitcoin hodler.


The Bitcoin Rich List provides a view of the top bitcoin hodlers to the market. Due to blockchain technology's openness, which makes it possible to trace bitcoin and bitcoin holdings by the wallet address, address holding information is readily accessible.


Several cryptocurrency exchanges are among the top 10 biggest bitcoin holders, according to BitInfoCharts. The Bitcoin Whales, however, are some others.


The highest bitcoin holding at the moment is one Binance wallet, which contains 252,597 BTC, or 1.32 percent of the entire supply. Two more Binance wallets are in the top 10, holding a total of 226,617 coins, or 1.19 percent of the supply, in their combined holdings.


The wallet that is not connected to any exchange has the greatest holding, which is 132,324 BTC. Due to a smaller supply and larger daily volumes, the price of bitcoin rises and its price stability increases as more Bitcoin Whales acquire it. Hodlers might lower daily trade volumes since they are in it for the long term.


BitInfoCharts offers a Bitcoin Distribution Chart to demonstrate where the bitcoin is and to put things into perspective.


As shown above, there are 4,919 wallets that contain bitcoin worth $10,000,000 or more.


El Salvador is among the nations that have embraced the bitcoin story. Taking the Lead

Beyond the Bitcoin Whales and the businesses that hold bitcoin, nations have also become more interested in eschewing fiat money and the sway of the US Dollar.


El Salvador is the country with the most bitcoins in its treasury, with a reported 2,301 BTC.


Other nations are less transparent, but via seizures resulting from criminal activity alone, nations like the US are probably sitting on a sizable quantity.


Everything comes down to supply and demand in the end. Lower bitcoin supply due to more Bitcoin Whales. The optimistic 2025 estimates would prevail if there were less bitcoin available.


Bitcoin might reach heights not seen since its infancy, however, if a seismic event causes Bitcoin Whales, businesses, and nations to sell off their holdings. A "bitcoin killer" event is one from which the price of bitcoin and the market as a whole cannot recover.


However, given the volatility of bitcoin throughout time, many will believe the upward trend to be more probable, which is backed by the rising number of hodlers and continuous acceptance of bitcoin.


For investors intending to acquire and retain bitcoin, this increases the importance of the bitcoin distribution chart. A optimistic prognosis would be supported by a rise in the number of wallets holding 10 BTC or more.


There are 21,000,000 bitcoins available at any one time. A total of 149,070 BTC are held in wallets with 10 BTC or more, which is just 0.71 percent of the entire supply.