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April 25th - Question: On April 22nd, the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee passed the Multilateral Cooperation on Hardware Technology Controls Act (MATCH Act) and several other export control bills. What is Chinas comment on this? A spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce stated: China has noted the relevant situation. China consistently opposes any overgeneralization of national security or abuse of export controls. If the relevant bills are ultimately enacted, they will seriously disrupt the international economic and trade order and severely impact the stability of the global semiconductor industry chain and supply chain. China will closely monitor the relevant legislative process, carefully assess its impact on Chinas interests, and resolutely take necessary measures to firmly safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises.On April 25th, Standard & Poors (S&P) announced on the 24th that it had downgraded Belgiums credit rating from "AA" to "AA-", with a "stable" outlook. S&P stated that the main reason for the downgrade was "Belgiums long-term imbalance in public finances." In a statement, S&P said that Belgiums budget deficit is expected to widen significantly by 2025, and its fiscal consolidation plan for 2026-2029 is progressing slowly, facing serious fiscal challenges. S&P projects that Belgiums net government debt as a percentage of GDP will rise from 103% in 2025 to 109% in 2029, with a substantial increase in interest payments. S&P also stated that Belgiums reliance on fossil fuels, coupled with already tight energy supplies, makes it vulnerable to the impact of soaring international oil prices caused by the current Middle East conflict, introducing new uncertainties into public finances.On April 25th, sources within the automotive industry revealed that regulatory authorities have clarified the code of conduct for exhibitors at the 2026 Beijing Auto Show, outlining ten prohibited behaviors to guide the automotive industry back to a healthy competitive track focused on technological innovation and high-quality development. The "negative behavior list" explicitly prohibits exaggerated and false advertising, disparaging other companies products, pricing products outside a reasonable range, manipulating online trolls and fan groups to incite conflict, and hyping up events such as "leaders visiting the booth."April 25th - In the first quarter of this year, the Export-Import Bank of China issued over 300 billion yuan in new loans to the foreign trade sector, with 40% directed towards stabilizing foreign trade entities and the foreign trade industrial chain, and 35% directed towards direct import and export trade. The bank prioritized support for the export of products such as artificial intelligence and green electricity equipment, and facilitated the professional and large-scale development of new foreign trade formats and models such as cross-border e-commerce and overseas warehouses.On April 25, according to Irans Fars News Agency, a spokesperson for the Iranian Ministry of Defense stated that thanks to a "completely independent, knowledge-based, and uniquely Iranian" approach, Iran has produced over 1,000 types of weaponry, including missiles and drones. The spokesperson indicated that this production capacity is the result of over 25 years of investment and procurement in Irans defense industry. Even if some production centers are damaged, the nationwide "tangible and intangible" weapons production and supply chain can continue to operate. The spokesperson also stated that approximately 9,000 Iranian companies currently cooperate with the armed forces and the Ministry of Defense.

WTI anticipates a decline to reach $80 per barrel as global growth predictions diminish

Alina Haynes

Sep 23, 2022 11:58

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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) are experiencing selling pressure while attempting a positive reversal. Oil prices are hanging at $83, and it is anticipated that they will continue to decline to roughly $80. In a larger sense, the black gold has had a weak performance over the past three weeks after giving up the psychological support of $90.00.

 

Numerous global resisting triggers have caused a severe decline in oil prices. As a result of the hawkish posture of western central banks on their interest rates, the objective of achieving price stability is at the expense of the breadth of economic activity. There is a fall in economic activity because corporations are not investing because cheap money is unavailable. In addition, the delay of expansion plans has reduced demand projections. Eventually, there is a substantial decline in oil demand.

 

The demand for oil in the huge economy of the United States is declining sharply. In the previous four weeks, the daily demand for gasoline in the United States has dropped by 8.5 million barrels. This is the result of intensifying pricing pressures, which have led households to purchase only the necessities.

 

In the meantime, an unaltered policy pronouncement from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) dampened oil price sentiment. As China's total demand is not increasing and pricing pressures are falling, a rate drop was anticipated. However, the oil bulls were undercut by the PBOC's neutral position.

 

On the supply side, OPEC+ has reduced output by 3.58 million barrels per day, corresponding to 3.5% of world demand. Despite a drop in global production, oil stockpiles are increasing, which bolsters the indicators of an impending recession.