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Market news: Members of the Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) have agreed to boycott the World Cup.On July 30th, it was reported that the Japanese government officially established the "National Intelligence Agency" on July 31st local time. The first director is Kazuya Hara. Hara previously served as the head of the Foreign Affairs Division and the Director-General of the Security Bureau of the National Police Agency, and has served as Cabinet Intelligence Officer since 2023. According to a bill previously passed by the Japanese Diet, Japan will build an intelligence system with the "National Intelligence Council" at its core and the "National Intelligence Agency" as its executive body, responsible for coordinating intelligence activities in areas such as security and counter-terrorism, as well as "foreign intelligence activities" involving foreign espionage. 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The two sides had a frank, in-depth and constructive exchange on implementing the important consensus reached at the Beijing meeting between the two heads of state, maintaining the stability of China-US economic and trade relations, expanding pragmatic cooperation, and properly addressing each others concerns in the next stage.Market sources say two regional officials said the Houthi rebels had launched attacks on Saudi Arabia from Iraqi territory in cooperation with Iraqi militias.July 30th - US semiconductor stocks extended their gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 9% and the Nasdaq Composite Index currently up 2.6%. Micron Technology (MU.O) surged over 16%, AMD (AMD.O) rose over 15%, and Intel (INTC.O) climbed over 14%.

The global energy crisis threatens supply, and U.S. oil has risen by 5% this week and once rose to the 80 mark

Eden

Oct 26, 2021 11:00

On Friday (October 8) U.S. crude oil rose 1.29 US dollars in late trading, or 1.65%, to close at 79.59 US dollars per barrel. The cumulative increase this week was 5.08%, marking the seventh consecutive week of gains, the longest consecutive week since December last year. rise. Oil prices rose by 0.63 US dollars, an increase of 0.77%, to close at 82.58 US dollars per barrel, a cumulative increase of 4.22% this week. US gasoline futures also closed at their highest level since October 2014. While the global energy crisis boosted demand, OPEC+ oil-producing countries still maintained tight supply. At the same time, the US Department of Energy stated that it has not announced immediate actions to lower oil prices, such as releasing strategic oil reserves. This further supports the oil market.

In the face of improving fuel demand, the energy market has tightened, and many people worry that the cold winter may further tighten the supply of natural gas. The rise in oil prices was stimulated by the soaring prices of natural gas in Europe, which prompted power generation companies to switch to oil for power generation. There are many signs this week that supply will still be restricted. Saudi Aramco said the global natural gas shortage has boosted crude oil demand for power generation and heating.

John Kilduff, a partner of Again Capital in New York, said that the fundamental background is tight supply, which will continue to push crude oil prices to rise steadily. The soaring natural gas price indicates a surge in demand for crude oil this winter.

On Friday, the call option premium exceeded the put option premium for the first time since October 2019. The bullish trade in the oil options market has been very active in recent weeks. Thousands of contracts were traded last week. If the oil price rises to US$100 or even US$200 per barrel, profits will be made. On Tuesday, WTI call options volume reached its highest level since March 2020. In the past 7 days, the open interest of call options with strike prices ranging from $90 to $95 has increased by approximately 23,000.

ICAP energy expert Scott Shelton said that severe winter weather "increased the upside potential of this market, and this skew will last for several months." The so-called call skew means that call options are more expensive than similar put options. The situation is extraordinary in the crude oil market. Generally, put options are more expensive, which partly reflects the tendency of producers to buy put options to hedge their output.

According to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data, as of the week of October 5, the speculative net long position of WTI crude oil futures increased by 8,902 to 325,578. The Brent crude oil net long position held by speculators on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) increased by 3,723 contracts to 332,677 contracts, a record high in more than six months.

US Baker Hughes Oil Services said that as of October 8, the total number of wells drilled in the United States was 533, which is the fifth consecutive week of adding rigs. The total number of oil rigs was 433, an increase of 5 from last week.

(U.S. Oil Hour Chart)