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Ryanair: Due to the conflict in the Middle East, uncertainty remains regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Europe has ample aviation fuel supplies.On May 18th, Goldman Sachs analysts stated in a report that U.S. Treasuries have been a poor diversification tool since the end of February. They noted, "The ongoing uncertainty surrounding the conflict with Iran and supply shocks remain major obstacles to the ability of nominal duration to suppress daily portfolio volatility, which could sustain a high risk premium in the near term." However, the analysts believe that the priced-in growth optimism in risk markets and the more pronounced accumulation of inflation risk premiums on the yield curve enhance the value of U.S. Treasuries as a medium-term hedge.May 18th - According to the latest survey by TrendForce, strong demand for AI chips has led to a tight supply of high-end MLCCs, compressing the supply of consumer MLCCs and prompting some distributors to engage in preventative stockpiling. Suppliers have responded by adjusting prices. Recent negotiations between ODMs and suppliers also show that the average price reduction for overall MLCCs has hit a near three-year low, indicating that the MLCC price cycle has reached a critical point of reversal and upward movement.The Ukrainian Foreign Minister said he had a constructive and substantive call with the Hungarian Foreign Minister.On May 18th, Citigroup Wealths Chief Investment Officer, Kate Moore, stated that while the long-term outlook for equities remains positive, global markets may be entering a period of consolidation after a strong rally. Moore noted that despite ongoing concerns about the Middle East conflict, persistent inflation, and crowded investor positions, the markets resilience in recent months has exceeded investor expectations. "In the past few weeks, the market has been focused on genuinely strong corporate earnings and the upward revisions to spending expectations that companies are talking about when they talk about earnings, which has made everyone very optimistic," Moore said. "Sometimes it feels like the market can only focus on one thing at a time," and "for some, the market rally since the March lows has been uncomfortably strong." She warned that investors may be underestimating the risks facing the second half of the year. "One of them, of course, is related to the ongoing geopolitical and energy crisis in the Middle East," Moore said. "Secondly, theres the spread of inflation, and I dont think enough people are incorporating that factor into their expectations for the fundamentals in the second half of the year."

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.