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April 20th - According to the unified accounting results for regional GDP, the provinces GDP reached 775.43 billion yuan in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 3.0% at constant prices. By industry, the primary industry achieved an added value of 56.923 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%; the secondary industry achieved an added value of 249.351 billion yuan, an increase of 0.1%; and the tertiary industry achieved an added value of 469.156 billion yuan, an increase of 4.6%.April 20th - This morning, Hubei Province released its economic performance report for the first quarter of 2026. Statistics show that from January to March this year, Hubeis GDP reached 1,429.457 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%.On April 20th, amidst increased uncertainty due to the Iran war, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, after attending an IMF meeting, did not commit to an April rate hike in advance, but still released some hawkish signals, suggesting that a June rate hike, if not this month, remains a possibility. While market attention focused on his lack of explicit indication of an April rate hike, Ueda did not downplay the possibility, emphasizing the need to closely monitor the situation in the Middle East and its impact on the Japanese economy. Three sources familiar with the Bank of Japans thinking indicated that, with both possibilities remaining, policymakers might hesitate until the last minute to decide whether to raise rates at the April 27-28 meeting, depending in part on the progress of negotiations to end the war between the US and Iran. The sources stated, "Given the high degree of uncertainty, it is too early to make a decision now regarding the policy meeting more than a week from now."On April 20th, gold prices edged lower on Monday due to a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, news of a renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz boosted oil prices and fueled inflation concerns. Ilya Spivak, Global Head of Macro Affairs at Tastylive, stated, “The market’s optimism regarding a ceasefire agreement in the US-Iran war appears to have been dashed last week, hence the decline in gold prices today. This has reignited the ‘wartime trade’ pattern common since the beginning of the conflict. Rising oil prices, in turn, have impacted inflation expectations and pushed up yields and the dollar exchange rate.”On April 20th, Tesla China reported that when Tesla Vice President Wang Hao was asked about robots at a media event on April 14th, he only discussed that Teslas Shanghai Gigafactory has excellent large-scale production capabilities and great potential for the future. "Currently, Tesla has no specific plans to mass-produce robots at the Shanghai Gigafactory. Please do not describe in reports that Tesla is about to mass-produce robots in Shanghai; this is incorrect information," Tesla China stated.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.