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On January 22, Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China, stated in an interview that the bank will improve the basic monetary issuance mechanism, which combines short-, medium-, and long-term policies and has Chinese characteristics, and gradually leverage the role of government bond trading in liquidity management to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system. The bank will also improve the structural monetary policy tool system to better guide and incentivize financial institutions to optimize loan allocation and focus on the "five major tasks" of financial policy. Furthermore, the bank will improve the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism, upholding the decisive role of the market in exchange rate formation, maintaining exchange rate flexibility, and preventing the risk of exchange rate overshooting.On January 22, Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China, stated in an interview that the bank will focus on six key areas, including optimizing the monetary policy target system, particularly intermediate variables, de-emphasizing quantitative targets, and using aggregate financial data more as an observable, referential, and predictive indicator to create conditions for greater role of interest rate regulation. The bank will also improve the market-based interest rate formation, regulation, and transmission mechanism, further facilitating the transmission from the central banks policy interest rate to market benchmark interest rates and then to various financial market interest rates.On January 22, Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC), stated in an interview that in 2026, the PBOC will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, prioritizing stable economic growth and a reasonable recovery in prices. The PBOC will leverage the combined effects of incremental and existing policies to create a favorable monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth, high-quality development, and the stable operation of the financial market, providing strong financial support for a good start to the 15th Five-Year Plan. Regarding aggregate policies, the PBOC will flexibly and efficiently utilize various monetary policy tools, such as reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate cuts, to maintain ample liquidity and ensure that the growth of social financing and money supply matches the expected targets for economic growth and the overall price level. There is still some room for further RRR and interest rate cuts this year. The PBOC will also strengthen the implementation and supervision of interest rate policies to promote low overall social financing costs.Market news: Japans latest forecast shows a primary budget deficit of 800 billion yen in fiscal year 2026, compared to a previous forecast of a surplus of 3.6 trillion yen. The estimate indicates that Japans plan to return to a primary budget surplus has been delayed by one year.On January 22nd, Intergroup announced that from January 14th to 21st, 2026, 9,219,053 shares of "Interconvertible Bonds" were converted into shares, increasing the companys total share capital from 555,746,745 shares to 564,965,798 shares. As of January 21st, the controlling shareholder, Zhejiang Provincial Pharmaceutical and Health Industry Group Co., Ltd., and its concerted parties held a total of 322,023,393 shares, representing a decrease in their shareholding from 57.94% to 56.9987% of the latest total share capital, a passive dilution reaching a multiple of 1%. The number of shares held by each entity remained unchanged, but the percentages all decreased to varying degrees.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

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The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.