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As of 09:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures rose 1.00%, while US natural gas futures fell 0.22%.The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 46.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 46.5 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.Futures News, August 4th: Following the easing of tensions between the US and Iran, crude oil prices declined, dragging down fuel oil costs and prompting downstream traders to adopt a cautious approach to high-priced purchases. Today, the news regarding low-sulfur asphalt futures offered limited support, but on the supply and demand side, increased coking plant operating rates and reduced residual oil supply provided some support to the market. It is expected that domestic fuel oil negotiations will remain largely stable today, with some potential for price reductions to encourage increased supply.According to JLC Network Technologys calculations, as of the second working day of August 4th, the average price of benchmark crude oil was $84.73 per barrel, with a change rate of -5.23%. Domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices should be reduced by 240 yuan per ton. The adjustments are based on: 1. the domestic crude oil import structure and settlement benchmark varieties; 2. the possibility of slight adjustments based on import structure and other factors during the pricing mechanisms operation, which JLC Network Technology will revise accordingly; 3. at 24:00 on July 31st, domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices were increased by 685 and 655 yuan per ton respectively. Based on the "ten working days" principle, the adjustment window for this round is 24:00 on August 14th.As of 8:30 on August 4, 2026, WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil and other commodities saw the largest fluctuations. A chart reviews the overnight price changes in the international market and their corresponding theoretical mappings in the domestic market.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.