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Japans March trade balance will be released in ten minutes.South Korea added only 74,000 jobs in April, the weakest performance since a year-on-year decrease of 52,000 in December 2024, following data released Wednesday by Statistics Korea. The job gains in February and March were both in the 200,000 range. The unemployment rate was 2.9%, unchanged from the same period last year. The number of unemployed was 853,000, a decrease of 2,000 year-on-year. By sector, employment in the health and social welfare services industry increased by 261,000 year-on-year, arts, sports and leisure-related services by 54,000, and real estate by 49,000. Employment in the science and technology services industry decreased by 115,000, and manufacturing by 55,000. Statistics Korea noted that the record decline in employment in the science and technology services industry since it was classified separately in 2013 is mainly due to the base effect of strong employment growth in previous years.On May 13, Iranian Vice President Shina Ansari stated that a suspected oil spill near Kharg Island, Irans main oil hub, was likely caused by wastewater discharge from an oil tanker, rather than a leak from oil facilities. Satellite images show the suspected spill area covers tens of square kilometers of sea near Kharg Island. According to Iranian state media, Vice President Ansari said, "Our monitoring results indicate that the pollution was caused by ballast water containing contaminants discharged from a non-Iranian oil tanker. No oil leaks were found in pipelines or oil facilities."On May 13, Yonhap News Agency reported that South Korean Defense Minister Ahn Gyu-baek stated on Wednesday that South Korea is studying a phased approach to participating in actions to ensure navigational safety in the Strait of Hormuz, signaling a preference for support without direct military involvement. Ahn stated that he conveyed South Koreas position during his meeting with US Defense Secretary Hergsays on Monday. Ahn said, "We broadly expressed this position: fundamentally, South Korea will participate as a responsible member of the international community and will assess ways to contribute in phases." Ahn indicated that phased support could include statements of political support, personnel deployment, information sharing, and the provision of military assets, but he emphasized that the two sides did not have detailed discussions on expanding South Korean military involvement. The day before the South Korea-US defense ministers meeting, South Korea condemned the attack on a South Korean-flagged vessel near the Strait of Hormuz last week. The South Korean presidential office strongly condemned the incident but stated that the investigation into the perpetrators was ongoing.South Koreas unemployment rate was 2.8% in April, compared to an expected 2.7% and a previous reading of 2.70%.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.


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