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The main fuel oil contract fell 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 3807.00 yuan/ton.Musk: Starlink service is now available in the UAE.On September 3rd, Larry Holzenthal, Senior Portfolio Manager at Catalyst Funds, stated in a report that the driving factors behind recent bond market movements differ slightly across countries. One difference lies in the overall economic conditions and corporate earnings performance of various countries. US corporate earnings remain quite strong compared to the rest of the world, while performance in other regions has been somewhat mixed. Globally, government debt burdens are generally high, which is clearly causing market concerns about long-term bonds, and oil prices are also a contributing factor. The impact of energy prices varies across countries, but both oil and energy prices are playing a role. Inflation is undoubtedly also an issue.On September 3rd, Natalia Lojewski, Managing Director of CIFC Asset Management, stated in a report that the bond market has, to some extent, been playing a policy role for the Federal Reserve. She noted that the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note has been significantly higher than the federal funds rate for some time, "which in itself reflects the Feds monetary policy." She added that its not just the changes in the bond market that are noteworthy, but also the convergence in monetary policy expectations. "What are the Fed and the market currently pricing in? Roughly a 60% probability of a rate hike in September."On September 3rd, Bei Chen Lin, Senior Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, stated in a report that under the firms baseline scenario, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged this year. He said before Fridays US jobs report release, "However, if job growth significantly exceeds market expectations, for example, more than double the expected amount, while inflation remains unimproved, this could prompt the Fed to consider further rate hikes. Considering the various labor market data to be released this week, we expect the job market to be in a normal state, rather than overheated or oversold. This would be good news for the Fed." Russell Investments believes that all maturities of the US Treasury yield curve offer good investment value.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.