• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
US President Trump: I did not say that hostilities against Iran are over, but I did say they have been defeated.On May 10, Saudi Aramco President and CEO Amin Nasser stated that global oil supply has decreased by approximately 1 billion barrels over the past two months. In a media interview, Nasser said that even if energy flows return to normal, the entire system will need time to return to normal. Saudi Aramco stated that the East-West pipeline is a vital supply artery, helping to mitigate global energy shocks and providing some assurance to customers affected by shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz.Market news: Microsoft (MSFT.O)’s (MSFT.O) data center site selection in East Africa has been delayed due to a disagreement with the Kenyan government over the company’s demand for guaranteed payments.1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas April CPI year-on-year rate, Chinas April M2 money supply year-on-year rate (pending); US April existing home sales (annualized). ② Events: US Treasury Secretary Bessenter visits Japan, meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister, Bank of Japan Governor, and Finance Minister. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Germanys final April CPI month-on-month rate, Germanys May ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones May ZEW economic sentiment index; US April NFIB small business confidence index, US ADP employment change for the week ending April 25, US April unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, US April seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, US April seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, US April unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate. ② Events: Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions from April monetary policy meeting deliberation committee members; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams participates in a panel discussion on monetary policy; JD.com earnings call. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (May 12) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (May 12) - bid-to-cover ratio, US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 8; Japans March trade balance; Frances Q1 ILO unemployment rate, Frances final April CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone Q1 GDP annual rate (revised), Eurozone Q1 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter rate (preliminary), Eurozone March industrial production month-on-month rate; US April PPI annual rate, US April PPI month-on-month rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; Chicago Fed President Goolsby participates in a Q&A session hosted by the local Chamber of Commerce; IEA releases monthly oil market report; Alibaba earnings call; Tencent earnings call; 2028 FOMC voting member and Boston Fed President Collins speaks at the Boston Economic Club. 4. Thursday: ① Data: UK Q1 GDP annual rate (preliminary), UK March three-month GDP monthly rate, UK March manufacturing output monthly rate, UK March seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, UK March industrial production monthly rate; Canada March wholesale sales monthly rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 9, US April retail sales monthly rate, US April import price index monthly rate, US March business inventories monthly rate, US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending May 8. ② Events: 2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari participates in a discussion hosted by the local chamber of commerce; Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes; 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan participates in a dialogue on the energy industry. 5. Friday: ① Data: US May New York Fed Manufacturing Index, US April industrial production monthly rate; China April total electricity consumption year-on-year (pending), China April total electricity consumption (pending). ② Events: Powells term as Federal Reserve Chairman ends; Cleveland Fed President Hammark, a 2026 FOMC voting member, delivers opening remarks at an online discussion on central bank independence; Fed Governor Barr speaks; and New York Fed President Williams, a permanent FOMC voting member, participates in a discussion. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending May 15.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: I will depart on Monday for a series of brief meetings in Japan and South Korea.

The USD/CHF exchange rate bounces around 0.9700 as hawkish Fed bets rise, with the US PMI in focus

Alina Haynes

Jun 20, 2022 15:40

 截屏2022-06-20 上午9.21.41.png

 

In the early Tokyo session, the USD/CHF exchange rate fluctuates between 0.9687 and 0.9712. Following a retest of its earlier lows at 0.9629 under waning selling pressure, the asset has appreciated significantly. After the Swiss National Bank (SNB) issued a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate rise on Thursday, the dollar faced heavy selling pressure against the Swiss franc last week.

 

The current SNB official interest rate is - 0.25 percent. Over the past fifteen years, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a constant posture on interest rates to make the Swiss franc less attractive, so luring more business to the Swiss economy. In reaction to inflation shocks, the SNB has announced a huge hike in interest rates, following in the footsteps of other Western countries. After SNB president Chris Jordan's unexpected announcement of a rate rise, the Swiss franc is no longer overvalued, and higher interest rates will assist Swiss currency bulls going ahead.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is trading flat in the Asian session at about 104.66 despite rising possibilities of a Federal Reserve announcement of a 75 basis point (bps) consecutive rate hike (Fed). It will take a little longer for pricing pressures to result in stable prices. Investors will continue to focus on US PMI data moving forward.

 

It is projected that the Composite PMI would increase to 53.5 from 53.4. The Composite PMI's separation into Manufacturing and Services entails a performance drop. The Services PMI is expected to be significantly lower at 49.1 than the prior figure of 53.2. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to decline to 54.7 from 55.7, but the Services PMI is expected to remain steady.