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The US Dollar Index maintains a level below 98.00, as sluggish GDP and ADP Payrolls rekindle concerns

Drake Hampton

Mar 31, 2022 09:54

Key Takeaways

  • The DXY has fallen below 98.00 following a disappointing performance by the US GDP and ADP Payrolls.

  • The risk-taking instinct has eroded the allure of safe-haven assets.

  • This week's big events include the US NFP and Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) is under pressure from sluggish US economic indicators and increased demand for risk-sensitive assets following a positive conclusion from the first face-to-face Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations in Turkey. The big dollar-denominated index has fallen below 98.00, which has served as a significant support level in recent weeks.

Changes in the US GDP and ADP Employment

Wednesday's poor performance by US economic indices triggered a sharp sell-off in the mighty dollar. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 6.9 percent on an annualized basis, somewhat lower than forecasts and the previous print of 7%. While Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported Employment Change of 455k, which was less than the market consensus of 450k and the previous print of 486k.

The positive consequence of Russia's peace talks with Ukraine

The withdrawal of Russian forces from northern Ukraine and the capital Kyiv following the conclusion of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine has bolstered market mood. Risky assets are gaining traction in an upbeat market environment, as investors view the event as a positive step toward a ceasefire. While Ukraine has recommended adapting a neutral position in light of its decision to refrain from alliances. On April 1, the nations will resume their peace talks through the internet.

 

This week's significant events include the release of Core Personal Consumption Expenditure, Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), the Unemployment Rate, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI.

 

On the back burner, prominent subjects include the Russia-Ukraine peace talks, the OPEC meeting, and Fed President John C. Williams' address.

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