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On March 19th, a research report from CICC stated that the Federal Reserves decision to maintain interest rates at its March meeting was in line with market expectations. The dot plot and economic forecasts indicate upward revisions to inflation expectations and a narrowing of the room for rate cuts, suggesting a cautious overall policy stance. Although Powell believes the uncertainty surrounding oil price shocks is significant and the economy remains resilient, we believe the actual situation is more complex. Tariffs and immigration policies have already constrained supply, and coupled with the oil price shock, the US economy is entering a "stagflation-like" phase. Simultaneously, private lending risks are emerging, and financial conditions may tighten spontaneously. Against this backdrop, the Fed may remain on hold in the short term due to inflation stickiness; in the medium term, as demand weakens or financial risks escalate, policy will face pressure to passively shift towards rate cuts. We expect the Fed to maintain interest rates unchanged in the first half of the year, with a resumption of rate cuts postponed until the second half. However, if rate cuts are a passive response to a deteriorating economic or financial environment, it will be difficult to boost market risk appetite.Market news: HSBC is considering large-scale layoffs in a multi-year restructuring driven by artificial intelligence.Samsung Electronics shares fell 4%, and SK Hynix shares fell 4.2%.According to the Wall Street Journal, sources say India has purchased more than 30 million barrels of unsold Russian oil. More deals are expected soon.March 19 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures closed higher on Wednesday, with the benchmark contract rising by about 2%, mainly reflecting the strength of Brent crude oil futures and the potential reduction in U.S. corn planting area this spring. A research report released by Bank of America indicates that the agricultural futures market has not yet fully felt the full impact of the turmoil in the Strait of Hormuz. The ripple effect caused by the sharp fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices has begun to transmit to the cost side of agricultural inputs such as fertilizers and fuels. If fertilizer prices remain high and supply tightens, the expected yield of major crops such as U.S. corn may face severe challenges. According to a survey of farmers conducted by Allendale, the U.S. corn planting area this year is expected to be approximately 93.68 million acres, a decrease of 5.12 million acres from last year, and also lower than the 94 million acres predicted by the U.S. Department of Agriculture at a forum last month.

The SEC and the Fed Hold the Key to ETH's Return to $1,600

Daniel Rogers

Feb 14, 2023 14:41

 截屏2023-02-14 下午2.34.13.png

 

On Sunday, Ethereum (ETH) declined by 1.56%. ETH closed the week down 7.00% at $1,515, somewhat offsetting a 1.72% gain on Saturday. Since January 14, ETH has fallen below $1,500 twice.

 

After a range-bound morning, ETH reached a high of $1,548 in the late afternoon. ETH reached a late low of $1,494 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,554. ETH dropped below the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,515 and closed the day at that price.

 

You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose while trading derivatives. The trading of derivatives may not be suitable for all investors; thus, you should ensure that you fully comprehend the risks involved and, if necessary, seek independent counsel. Before entering into a transaction with us, a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) can be received through this website or upon request from our offices and should be reviewed. Raw Spread accounts offer spreads beginning at 0 pips and commissions of $3.50 every 100k traded. Spreads on standard accounts begin at 1 pip with no additional commission fees. CFD index spreads begin at 0.4 points. This information is not intended for inhabitants of any country or jurisdiction where distribution or use would violate local law or regulation.

 

Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 0.32% on Sunday. BTC closed the week at $21,796 down 4.94%, somewhat offsetting a 1.04% gain from Saturday. BTC finished the day below $22,000 for the fourth session in a row and returned above $22,000 for the first time in three sessions.

 

After a mixed morning session, BTC reached a high of $22,096 in the late afternoon. BTC reached a late-day low of $21,666 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $21,977. Before closing the day at $21,796, BTC momentarily breached the First Major Support Level (S1) at $21,684.

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