• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On August 7, the New York Federal Reserves latest monthly survey showed that consumers confidence in the Federal Reserves long-term inflation management has declined. The data showed that consumers expectations for inflation over the next five years were 2.9%, up from 2.6% in the June survey. Short-term inflation expectations remained largely unchanged, with expectations for the next year rising to 3.1% from 3% in June, and expectations for the next three years remaining stable at 3%. In other aspects, consumer confidence remained good in July. Fewer consumers (37%) believed that the unemployment rate would be higher in a year, the lowest proportion since January. Consumers believe that if necessary, they are 51% likely to find a new job in the next three months, up from 49.6% in June. Consumers said they expect government debt to grow by 9.1% over the next 12 months, up from 7.3% a month ago.Bank of England Governor Bailey: I will not prejudge the Bank of Englands decision on the pace of quantitative tightening in October. The steepening of the yield curve is a global phenomenon.New York Fed: The three-year expected inflation rate remained unchanged at 3.0% in July; the five-year expected inflation rate was 2.9% in July, higher than 2.6% in June.New York Fed: Home price increase expectations remained unchanged at 3% in July, and consumers believe it will be easier to obtain credit in the future.The New York Fed’s one-year inflation forecast for the United States in July was 3.09%, compared with 3.02% in the previous month.

The EUR/USD Declines toward 1.0500, with US Inflation and ECB Lagarde in the Spotlight

Alina Haynes

May 09, 2022 10:10

The EUR/USD fell below 1.0530 and is likely to test the psychological support level of 1.0500. After Monday's opening bid, the value of the asset is continuing to decline. As of now, a bearish open trend has been noticed, and the index is attempting to challenge its bottom from the previous week at 1.0483.

 

Euro bulls are anticipated to stay volatile this week ahead of Wednesday's speech by Christine Lagarde of the European Central Bank (ECB). Lagarde's statement will shed light on the expected monetary policy action taken by the ECB in June. Notable is the fact that the ECB left its interest rates constant in its most recent announcement regarding interest rates. Until the end of its bond-buying program, which is anticipated for the third quarter, the European Central Bank (ECB) has mandated that policy rates would remain constant. Consequently, investors should not anticipate a rate increase from the ECB before the end of the year. In addition, fears of stagflation in the eurozone following the Ukraine crisis have diminished the likelihood of the ECB adopting a hawkish tone.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) transforms any corrective downturn into an ideal purchasing opportunity for market participants. The DXY is robust as the probability of a June rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) rises. At the time of publication, the DXY has risen above 130.90 and is inching closer to recapturing last week's peak of 104.06.

 

Aside from ECB Lagarde's speech, investors are focusing on Wednesday's release of US inflation data. A preliminary estimate for annual US inflation is 8.1 percent, down from the previous estimate of 8.5 percent. 

EUR/USD

image.png