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On July 30th, Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, stated in a report that the Federal Reserves decision to maintain interest rates, given the dissenting votes of three committee members, appeared more like an internal debate than a consensus decision, confirming market expectations of a delicate balance before the meeting. The statement offered little new information, but these dissenting opinions conveyed a clear message: the Fed is not yet confident that the battle against inflation has been won. While a rate cut is currently unlikely, investors cannot rule out the possibility of another rate hike before the end of the year. Principal Asset Managements basic assumption remains that the Fed will remain on hold until the end of 2026 as underlying inflationary pressures ease, "but confidence in this view is low."On July 30th, Christian Hoffmann, head of fixed income at Chambord Investment Management, stated that the Federal Reserves decision to keep interest rates unchanged was "not a foregone conclusion," calling it a "disturbing pause." Despite some constructive inflation data, oil prices surged again amid increased geopolitical uncertainty. We are increasingly convinced that this is no longer a Fed that reveals its every move well in advance, nor one that frequently shares its thoughts on various occasions.On July 30th, Ed Hutchings, Head of Interest Rates at Aviva Investors, stated in a report that investors will have to adapt to greater uncertainty under the leadership of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, Warsh. While the Feds decision to maintain interest rates was largely in line with expectations, considerable uncertainty existed before the meeting regarding the outcome and subsequent wording. Under the new Fed Chairman, this appears to be something investors will have to adjust to.TD Cowen: Lowered its price target for Qualcomm (QCOM.O) from $225 to $175.French household spending rose 0.1% year-on-year in June, compared with 0.30% in the previous month.

Stock Markets Attempting to Build a Bullish Flag

Cameron Murphy

Apr 06, 2022 11:22


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S&P 500 Technical Analysis

During Tuesday's trading session, the S&P 500 dipped a little, but it wasn't a massive sell-off or anything. We look to be attempting to create a bullish flag, and if we can break through the downtrend line that I have shown on the chart, which is essentially the 4585 level, which is also where the previous double top occurred, we could see this market move much higher. 


To be honest, Wall Street is trying to figure out whether the Federal Reserve will come to their rescue or if they will attempt to battle inflation. Currently, it looks that the market will continue to be subjected to a great deal of back and forth pressure as a result of speculation.


If we break below the 50-day exponential moving average, I believe we will be in serious trouble. It's worth noting that last week's Friday candlestick was a hammer, implying that at the very least, the 4500 level will be key, and that there are buyers eager to enter this market. 


I don't believe we can read too much into this market until we get an impulsive candlestick, which we don't appear to be getting right now because we're simply moving sideways. We will, however, have that explosive session that will tell us which way we are more than likely ready to proceed in. Until then, short-term range-bound trading techniques are likely to triumph over all else.